Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (5/7/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
DED-2   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-3   Win (8/4/5/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
DED-4   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-5   Win (7/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00
DED-6   Win (4/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-7   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-8   Win (8/9/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   12/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMERCIAL FLASH Oct21 Jul01 May20 Mar23 Mar04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.00 7% 12.40    
STORMY VALENTINE Nov01 Aug03 Jul14     (breaux samuel)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Oct26 Jul27 May21 Feb23 Dec09 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHERE'S AUNT J Nov16 Nov03 Oct12 Aug20 Jul24 (bruno j)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00    
XTRAFRIESWITHAT Nov16 Oct25 Feb18 Jan12   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 5.00 42% 1.40    
DEBBIES PASSAGE Nov11 Oct28 Oct11 Aug06 Jul20 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00    
MADISON'S SCREEN Oct12 Aug28 Jul14 Jun29 May25 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 118 5.00 16% 5.30    
EVERLYN'S ANGEL Nov01 Feb23 Feb04 Jan13 Dec31 (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
DR STRICKLANDS ACE Nov25 Nov02 Aug11 Jul22   (averett ronnie)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
10  DAT GUITAR Nov25 Nov08 Jul22 Jun16 May05 (ramirez eduardo)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
 
DED-2   12/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BOSS SOSS Nov24 Nov02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
JOSAN Oct20 Jan05 Dec02 Nov10 Oct19 (morrell cynthia)TORRES HUGO 119 10.00    
REDDINGANDLEE Nov15 Oct20 Oct07 Aug21 Jul01 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
MANLY DEEDS Nov24 Nov02 Aug11 Jun30 Feb25 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 118 3.00    
JAYS HOLIDAY Nov24 Oct20 Jan05 Dec16 Dec02 (zenon shelton)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 4.50    
NATIVE STAR Nov24 Nov11 Oct18     (gelner jayde )DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-3   12/13/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAT THE DOUBLE Dec02 Oct28 May11 Apr26 Apr15 (zeno benjamin)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00    
SPARKLE CITY Nov18 Oct27 Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 (zeno benjamin)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
REINA'S VISION Nov16         (romero dale)STOKES J 122 15.00    
CRAFTROOM Nov08 Oct19       (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 15% 5.90    
BAILEY'S CHARM Oct25 Aug21 Jul29 May27 May07 (ramirez e)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 3.00 9% 9.70    
STARRY STARRY DAY Nov21 May06 Apr20 Feb16   (derousselle peter)POMPELL L 122 20.00    
PENNIE'S MAGIC Dec02 Nov09 Jun19 May27 May14 (melancon donald)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
STARSHIP NOLA Oct25 Aug10 Jul07 Jun08 May19 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 51% 1.00    
MALLORY UNBRIDLED Oct25 Sep03 Aug06 Jul01 May20 (avant kelly)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
10  GRACE'S VISION Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 Feb20 Jan14 (daigle walter)DEL-CID MARLON 118 10.00    
 
DED-4   12/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIAH (CHI) Nov16 Oct21 Jul22 Jul08   (alberto antoni)MAGNON H 122 3.00    
MISS LEONA Nov16 Jul22       (latour nichol)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 1.00 52% 0.90    
DON'T BE BOSSY         (ali ancil)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
SASSI STRUTTER         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00 12% 7.30    
GOOD BY FAITH Nov25 Nov10 Oct18 Aug28 Aug14 (escobar alison)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00    
MARY WHO Aug14         (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 122 12.00    
 
DED-5   12/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BILLIE K Nov30 Nov04 Feb28 Jan13 Dec28 (nelson r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 20.00    
BE A BANDIT Nov30 Nov02 Aug05 Jul27 Jul04 (zenon shelton)DEL-CID MARLON 111 10.00    
ROSES ARE GRAY Nov22 Nov03 Aug26 Jul08 Jun10 (bryant all)POMPELL L 118 5.00    
BATTY Nov02 Aug21 Jun19 Feb03 Dec15 (lara jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 15.00    
MSCHITCHATTOUR Nov22 Oct25 Oct14 Aug28 Aug12 (zenon shelton)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50    
SIMPLE PLEASURE Nov30 Jul14 Jun18 Jun03 May05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50    
BLAZING CHARM Nov25 Feb15 Dec30 Dec02 Nov05 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 3.50 68% 0.50    
AKASI Nov25 Nov09 Aug20 Apr10 Mar28 (troiani niccolo)NEGRON LUIS 119 5.00    
CYBER SNEAKER Nov30 Oct14 Apr30 Mar17 Feb23 (gonzalez)RUIZ GARCIA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   12/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAY RESPECT         (woodley j)ROSIER R 119 15.00 8% 12.00    
FLASHY LOVER Nov04 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Mar25 (dison mark)STOKES A 123 8.00    
MORO BEARD Nov17 Jul16 Jun18 Jul22   (ortiz javie)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
BOBBY MERLOT Oct26 Oct06 Sep06 Aug27   (ramsay-banks allis)MELANCON G 123 3.50 32% 2.20    
YO PLAY Nov29 Nov10 Jan12 Dec28 Sep13 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
INGLIS Nov29 Nov10 Oct07 Sep05 Aug12 (patt jr)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00    
ARKANSAS ZONG Nov29 Nov04 Oct07 Aug10 Jul21 (dison mar)TORRES HUGO 123 2.50    
RED ON THE HEAD Oct07 Aug10 Jul27 Jun23 May13 (courville ricky)THORNTON G 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
DED-7   12/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPE TO TAPE Sep29 Aug20 Jul27 Jul03 Jun09 (rivelli larry)THORNTON G 119 1.80 58% 0.70    
IN THE ARCH Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 Oct19 Aug20 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 123 10.00    
BLACK SWORD Nov18 Oct26 Aug05 Jun03 May06 (averett ronni)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
PICKENS Nov03 Oct13 Aug05 Jun17 May27 (bryant all)ROMAN KEVIN 116 5.00    
TOPPER T Oct26 Jul23 Jun24 May21 Mar29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 3.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  SCRAPPY ARTIE Nov24 Oct25 Jun17 May06 Apr19 (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
MY PAL MATTIE Nov03 Oct26 Jun17 May29 Apr23 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 118 6.00    
MIDNIGHT FIRE Oct26 Feb25 Jan27 Dec10 Aug04 (brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 119 12.00    
 
DED-8   12/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 9:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY BOY Nov17 Oct21 Sep09 Aug27   (escobar alison)ROMAN KEVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Oct27 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Oct23 (evans justin)BIRZER E 122 2.00    
WINDTAPPER WIN Nov04 Oct11 Aug19 Jul24 Jul04 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
WINNING DANCE Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 Aug26 Jul24 (melancon dona)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 20.00    
BUFFETT Oct27 Oct06 Aug11 Jul22 May20 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00    
COZY GEM Nov09         (landry ray)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
JUST BECAUSE Nov04 Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 (borel renay)THORNTON G 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
ADMIRAL RISTY Nov29 Sep14       (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
PARTY GRAS         (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
10  DOCE DE LA NOCHE Oct27 Aug12 Jun24 Jun10 Jan14 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUICK ZONG Nov29 Oct27       (dison mark)STOKES A 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.