Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - December 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(1/6/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(1/6/2/9)-(7/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/9)-(1/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/9)-(1/6/2/9)-(1/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/9)-(7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/9)-(7/3/6)-(4/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(4/6/3)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/6/1)-(1/9/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/9/7/4)-(9/7/4/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/4)-(1/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/4)-(1/9/7/4)-(1/9/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/7/4)-(9/7/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/4)-(9/7/4/6/5)-(7/8/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/7/4/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/6/5)-(9/7/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/6/5)-(9/7/4/6/5)-(9/7/4/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/4/6/5)-(7/8/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SEE NOTHING Nov24 Nov11 Oct20 Oct13 Sep09 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
2  CALIFORNIA GHOST Nov10 Oct28 Oct08 Oct01 Feb17 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 120 8.00    
3  LEG UP Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 Oct12 Sep15 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
4  BARRELHOUSE Dec01 Oct05 Sep09 Aug17 Aug08 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00 11% 7.70    
5  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Nov15 Nov01 Sep30 Sep14 Aug19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 14% 6.30    
6  MARCUS JUNIUS Nov11 Sep20 Aug30 Aug06 Jul08 (caiazzo corb)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.50    
7  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Nov11 Nov01 Oct14 Sep15 Sep04 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  ONLY GET'N BETTER Nov11 Sep30 Sep02 Aug18 Jun10 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDE THE RAPIDS Nov18 Nov03 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  PARTY MONSTER Nov03 Oct21 Oct06 Sep09 Aug30 (smith collie)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
3  PRACTICALLY THERE Nov10 Nov01 Oct20 Oct05 Aug24 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
4  TIZBIT Nov18 Nov03 Sep30 Sep14 Aug26 (gillespie a)MAWING A 122 20.00    
5  BECKON Nov08 Oct17 Oct09 Sep14 Sep01 (synnefias pa)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
6  EXTRA CRUNCHY Nov17 Oct27 Oct08 Sep04 Jul29 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 115 3.00 18% 4.70    
7  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Nov17 Oct27 Sep14 Aug24 Aug05 (jones r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
8  DORITA'S HEART Nov10 Oct25 Apr28 Mar24 Mar04 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
9  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 Sep02 Aug12 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 8% 11.50    
 
CT-3   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HANDSOME MAN Nov18 Nov01 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
2  BON BUENO Sep16 Sep09 Jul31 Jul07 May25 (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 5.00    
3  HOT FUDGE SONDE Nov18 Oct28 May12 Apr22 Apr01 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  THE HAPPY GIANT Nov17 Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
5  MACHEN'S RIDGE Nov29 Nov18 Oct27 Sep21 Sep09 (ovando me)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00    
6  STOMPING MOON Nov22 Oct05 Sep22 Sep02 Jul30 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
7  PERSONABLE Nov17 Oct28 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
CT-4   12/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONKEY WRENCH Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 Jul15 Jun09 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
2  HILLBILLY ROCK Nov24 Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 Jul15 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
3  RED HOT TODDY Nov24 Oct06 Aug11 Jul15 May26 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00 18% 4.60    
4  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Nov25 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 35% 1.90    
5  BOP ZAPPER Nov16 Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 Sep22 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00    
6  WATCHING SNOW FLY Nov14 Oct25 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (delong ben)BATISTA A 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
7  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 (atkins michael)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
 
CT-5   12/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERY VENUS Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 10% 8.70    
SCR  WINDSOR'S MEMORY Nov30 Oct25       (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 118 12.00    
3  MACHEN MARGARITAS Nov29 Nov04 Oct03 Jun06   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  TUESDAY TOO Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 Jul21 Jun30 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00    
5  OUR GREAT NOTION Nov30 Oct19 Sep16 Aug25 Jul28 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 118 5.00    
6  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Nov17 Nov01 Oct19 Aug18 Aug04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.80 28% 2.60    
7  S S COSMOPOLITAN Nov27 Oct03 Sep03     (jimenez mig)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
 
CT-6   12/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAGABOND VIRGIN Nov01 Oct18 Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 56% 0.80    
2  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Nov18 Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 Aug18 (atkins michael)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
3  SUMMONING DENIS Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 Oct14 Sep22 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
4  REVEREND JACK Nov18 Sep15 Aug18 Jul20 Jun09 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARPERSGONEFISHING Nov18 Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 Aug05 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
6  OCEAN STORM Nov30 Nov11 Jul06 Jun02 May06 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
7  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Nov18 Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 Aug25 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 10% 9.30    
8  SCARE DEM Nov24 Oct27 Oct18 Sep22 Sep08 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
9  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Nov18 Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 Aug04 (sigler ronald )REYNOLDS C 118 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
CT-7   12/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul20 Jul12 (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
2  BOMBOLONI Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Aug20 Aug03 (capuano phill)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.50    
3  POLITICAL DECISION Nov11 Oct21 Oct13 Aug24 Aug13 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 120 30.00    
4  GAMMA SQUEEZE Nov18 Nov08 Oct18 Sep16 Aug18 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  HIS ROYAL G Nov25 Oct22 Sep22 Sep01 Aug05 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AZZARO STEEL Nov18 Oct31 Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 6% 15.60    
7  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Nov13 Oct24 Oct07 Sep01 Jul16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
8  BY ITS ABSENCE Dec01 Nov05 Oct19 Oct07 Sep17 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 3.00    
9  THEWITCHISGONE Nov22 Nov04 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 39% 1.60    
10  SUPER QUALITY Nov25 Nov04 Oct07 Aug03 Jun18 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   12/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE BUCKPASSING Nov29         (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 121 6.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of METAL FIRECRACKER by LITE THE FUSE)
2  OUR BREW Nov02 Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 Aug03 (rawlings ama)MARRERO CARLOS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
3  SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE Nov29 Nov04 Oct13 Oct28   (hamlin kathl)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 4.00 8% 11.30    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BENEDICTA by ORIENTATE (GB))
4  FAR MORE Nov02 Oct13 Sep15 Aug04 Jun23 (groves janice)BATISTA C 124 4.50    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  LIME STAR Nov24 Nov01 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 (conn p)REAP E 121 50.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of MIDNIGHT STAR by BOLD BADGETT)
6  PRINCESS URSULA Oct13         (schottroffe ed)ARAUJO DENIS 124 30.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of SMART COLONY by COLONY LIGHT)
7  MISS ARGENTINA Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 114 1.40 44% 1.30    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DEPUTY JOLIE by DEPUTY RUMMY)
8  PRINCESS MARGARET Nov29 Nov02 Oct13     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
9  S S FLAMINGO Nov27 Oct03       (jimenez mig)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 15.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of VERONICA'S LAKE by SALT LAKE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.