Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - December 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(5/1)-(10/2/1/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(10/2/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(10/2/1/3)-(5/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/3)-(10/2/1/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/3)-(10/2/1/9/3)-(10/2/1/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/1/3)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1/3)-(5/1/2)-(7/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(7/4/2)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-5   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(4/2/1)-(2/8/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/8/4/5)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/5)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/5)-(3/1/5)-(7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-8   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUERIDGEBALLERINA Oct27 Aug05 Apr12 Feb11 Dec22 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50    
2  GRACE'S VISION Nov16 Oct19 Feb20 Jan14 Dec21 (daigle walter)DELCID MARLON 115 8.00    
3  ILIMITADA Oct28 Sep03 Jul23 Jul02   (escobar alis)BARRERA J 117 2.50 20% 4.00    
4  BEAT THE DOUBLE Oct28 May11 Apr26 Apr15 Feb15 (zeno benjamin)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00    
5  PENNIE'S MAGIC Nov09 Jun19 May27 May14 Mar23 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SENSE OF HEART Nov09 Oct06 Jun01 Apr28 Feb25 (noel dane)POMPELL L 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  CHARMING KAT Nov09 Aug21 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (senegal j)ROSIER R 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
8  SLIM CAUSEWAY Oct28 May06 Apr07 Mar19   (west henry)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 122 12.00    
 
DED-2   12/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEVER PRINCE Aug10 Jul29 Jun30 May19 Apr27 (bonin jr)POMPELL L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARLOS'S MAMA Nov18 Aug11 Jun22 May10 Apr08 (bernard john)STOKES A 122 10.00    
3  PETEY Nov22 Jul29 Jun23 Feb11 Jan20 (larrosa a)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 5.00    
4  SPARKIN Nov24 Sep11 Aug29 Aug05 Jul01 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 ★    
5  OURPERFECTPRINCE Oct20 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15 May18 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 1.80 73% 0.40    
6  GONE SOLUTION Nov18 Jun23 May26 May10 Feb28 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.00    
7  MULETRAIN Nov22 Oct27 Oct06 Sep04 Jul29 (bernard john)TORRES HUGO 123 15.00    
 
DED-3   12/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK SOLID WORDS Nov02 Sep03 Aug05 Jul03 May27 (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00 5% 18.80    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of FLAME RUN by HARD SPUN)
2  RUN CARLOS Nov02 May04 Apr14 Mar22 Feb28 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 122 6.00 8% 11.40    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  DIXIE'S ASTRO         (dunn ray)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of DIXIE THE CAT by PURE PRIZE)
4  EL IT Nov16 Jan27 Jan05     (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of THEYANKEEFUSE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
5  BELLAMY BROTHER Nov22 May13       (ali anc)THORNTON G 122 12.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of BELLAMY ROADSTER by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  CHARLIE'S PARADE Oct12 Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 Jun08 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 117 5.00    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of COLOR PARADE by WAY WEST (FR))
7  MYMANROWEN Nov02         (shamsie mik)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of STELLA HEY STELLA by RULER'S COURT)
8  ALL COUNTRY Oct26 Aug10 Jul21 Jun24 May12 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 122 20.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of ALL HER DUE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
9  K R POWER STORM Nov02 Feb04 Jan07 Nov30   (roberts kenneth)ROSIER R 122 4.50 ★    
  (by POWER JAM out of STORMY BRICK ROAD by STORM PASSAGE)
10  CATALINA DAY Nov04 Oct12       (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by CATALINA RED out of DOUBLE POINTS DAY by STORM DAY)
SCR  PAL'S ALARM Nov04 Oct12 Jun24     (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
  (by SOUND THE ALARM out of ANNAGRACE'SPAL by LUNARPAL)
 
DED-4   12/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Nov10 Oct13 Sep02 Aug03 Jul20 (winslow jani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 5.00 22% 3.50    
2  CHAOSMOS Nov17 Nov03 Aug12 Jun17 Jun02 (richard russell)POMPELL L 123 3.00 12% 7.20    
3  HUNTERS GHOST Oct20 Aug13 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 (pierce mich)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00    
4  DISCREET INVASION Nov16 Sep24 Sep17 Aug26 Aug14 (arnett g)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
5  INDIMAAJ Nov03 Oct14 Jul06 Jun09 May04 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00 33% 2.00    
6  HOT LE ROY Nov15 Oct19 Aug03 Jul21 Jun29 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50    
 
DED-5   12/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINTORA Nov18 Oct28 Oct06 Aug12 Jul08 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50 ★    
2  TALKABOUT Nov11 Sep05 Jul23     (broussard jarmo)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CUPIE CUTIE Nov16 Jul29 Feb15 Aug25 Aug04 (silva walter)EDISON JOCELYN 115 20.00    
4  OUR HALLIE Nov18 Oct28 Sep03 Jul17 Jul09 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 2.50 11% 7.90    
5  ABBEY CAKES Nov09 Oct12 Aug20 Aug07 Jul24 (west henry)STOKES A 122 4.50    
6  GYPSY JACKPOT Nov16 Oct25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul08 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
7  TWISTED BRADE Nov09 Oct12 Aug29 Aug13 Jul24 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
8  SWEETHEART VISION Nov02 Jun09 May06 Apr15 Feb22 (garcia miguel)TORRES HUGO 120 10.00    
 
DED-6   12/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MISS DE BUY Nov17 Oct14 Sep11 Sep03 Aug21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 119 8.00 12% 7.60    
2  DONNAS FINAL WORD Oct27 Oct21 Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
3  BIND ON EARTH Nov17 Oct28 Aug12 Jul27 Jun29 (west henry)FUSILIER C 120 3.50    
4  SWEET CONFUSION Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Nov11 Oct22 (arnett g)NEGRON LUIS 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  FREEZER BURN Oct20 Aug12 Jun24 Jun02 Apr01 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
6  LOTS OF GOLD Oct21 Aug12 Jul04 Apr28 Apr22 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
7  STARBUCK LUCK May10 Apr15 Jan28 Dec30 Oct27 (segura kearney)STOKES A 116 3.00    
 
DED-7   12/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEALIN' STELEN Nov16 Oct19 Jul06 May25 May03 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 8.00    
2  U S NAVY CROSS Oct27 Oct06 Jun17 May27 Apr30 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  TEMPRANO Nov18 Nov01 Oct19 Jul30 Jun19 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 15.00    
4  MIAS MOONBEAM Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 Aug11 Jul06 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50 8% 10.80    
5  SPHEROID Nov17 Oct19 Jul23 Jun29 Jun02 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GETCHA Nov22 Nov01 Jul01 Jun22 Jun02 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
7  TAPALIST Nov22 Nov01 Oct18     (ladner billy)TAYLOR BETHANY 119 15.00    
8  G VICTORY Nov03 Oct13 Jul13 Jun17 Jun02 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 114 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Nov16 Oct19 Jul06 Jun09 May25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50    
 
DED-8   12/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPIN JUDY Nov11 Nov01 Oct18 Aug05 Jul21 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  SHELLBY Oct17 May21 Apr23 Mar25 Mar04 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00    
3  SHEMEANSBIZNESS Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 (arnett g)VARGAS P 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
4  IZATIZ Nov11 Oct21 Aug27 Jul23 Mar25 (gomez david)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00    
5  SUMMER LIGHTNING Oct12 Jul21 Jun11 May21 Apr29 (rangel raul)BARRERA J 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  WON DAY Nov04 Feb26 Feb03 Dec22 Dec01 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 ★    
7  SPANISH DELIGHT Nov11 Sep29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul07 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50    
8  HALF PAGE Oct11 Aug12 Jun10 May10 Apr14 (rubin donald)POMPELL L 116 8.00    
 
DED-9   12/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENETIC DAY Nov18 Nov03 Oct21     (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
2  CHAOTIC JACK Oct28         (klanfer alan)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
3  SMOKEY G Nov17         (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DADSAMUMBLER Nov18 Oct26       (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00    
5  FRUIT CUP Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 Aug29 Aug19 (garza e)STOKES A 122 15.00    
6  JOE T Nov10 Oct13 Aug05     (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  AUTUMN ROB Nov10 Oct28 Aug29 Jul20   (delany sarah)VARGAS P 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
8  POUND OUT A DEAL Nov10 Oct21 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 (pomier d)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50 ★    
9  MIGHTY MADDOX Oct28 Jun05       (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.