Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - November 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/4)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(3/2/6)-(10/8/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(10/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(10/8/5/1)-(3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (10/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/5/1)-(10/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/5/1)-(10/8/5/1)-(10/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/8/5/1)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/5/1)-(3/1/4)-(2/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/4/1/7)-(4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/3/7)-(2/4/1/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/1/7)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/7)-(4/5/1)-(5/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(5/7/3)-(2/5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(4/2/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3)-(4/2/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/2/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/10)-(4/2/3/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/10)-(4/2/3/5/10)-(4/2/3/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKE IT BABY Oct23 Oct07 Aug12 Jul22 Jun16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  REMEMBER ME Oct14 Aug31 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
3  BROWN SUGA BABE Oct25 Sep28 Sep01     (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
4  INDEPENDENT Oct21         (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 20.00 7% 13.70    
5  FAINOR'S FILETS Oct28 Oct07 Sep10 Sep01   (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  WAIT FOR TOMORROW Oct22 Oct03 Aug24 Jul21 Jun25 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
SCR  NEOLITHICA Oct29 Oct13 Sep24 Aug19   (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 115 20.00    
8  MADE BIRDIE Oct23 Sep19 Jul29 Jul14 Jun22 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 20.00    
9  TRUE SUNSHINE Oct28 Oct05 Aug25     (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 8.00    
10  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 Aug05 Jul14 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 110 30.00    
 
LRL-2   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENATE CHAMBER Nov03 Oct11 Sep22 Aug28 Jul23 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 15.00    
2  HEADS OR TAILS Nov03 Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 Jul08 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  NOTTOWAY Nov16 Oct20 Oct04 Sep14 Sep06 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 48% 1.10    
4  BLACK CANDY Nov06 Oct28 Oct11 Sep17 Sep04 (tomczak)BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
5  FREE SQUARE Nov11 Oct14 Oct06 Sep01 Aug05 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 114 1.40    
6  ARISTOCRATIC Nov04 Oct06 Sep01 Jun17 May05 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-3   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY ROOM Oct20 Sep30 Aug11 Jul16 May13 (hohlbein kerr)ROJAS MARTINA 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOLEY MOLEY Oct28 Oct06 Sep06 Jul22 Jun17 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50    
SCR  JUKE JOINT         (alvarado )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
4  CORRECTED PEDIGREE Nov02 Oct13 Jun03 Apr28 Mar24 (perri gin)HERNANDEZ F 120 15.00    
5  MARYLAND MOON Nov04 Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 May06 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 124 10.00 5% 18.60    
6  LONGWORTH Nov12 Oct06 Sep17 Aug11 Jul09 (voss kathari)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
7  PASCHAL MOON Oct13 Oct06 Sep04 Aug17   (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
8  THE BIG MOZZ Oct21 Aug20 Jul21 Jun01 Jan04 (trujillo el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 18% 4.50    
9  IMSTILLHERE Oct20         (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 124 30.00    
10  VON HOFF         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.40 53% 0.90    
 
LRL-4   11/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURYA (ARG) Nov04 Oct15 Aug31 Jul27 Jul15 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
2  SHE IS WISKY Oct29 Jul14 Jun11 May04 Apr14 (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
3  I CAN RUN Nov04 Oct15 Sep29 Aug27 Jun04 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  RUDA Nov04 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 16% 5.40    
5  HAINT BLUE (FR) Nov19 Nov04 Oct15 Oct13 Sep29 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
6  CHARMING WAY Oct29 Aug12 Jul30 May20 Mar26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50    
7  CHAMPAGNE TOAST Nov11 Oct15 Sep16 Jul27 Jun23 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 2.50    
 
LRL-5   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED WIND Nov02 Oct06 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 123 8.00 20% 3.90    
2  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Oct13 Sep29 Aug25 Jun23 Jun04 (mcmaho)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 2.00 29% 2.40    
3  LUCKY LORRAINE Oct06 Sep06 Aug09 Jun02 Apr30 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 ★    
4  FOOL YOURSELF Oct27 Sep29 Aug19 Jan21 Nov13 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  CHALK HILL Nov04 Oct21 Oct06 Sep27 Jul26 (ramirez jo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 15.00    
6  VIKING QUEEN Nov05 Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Sep04 (garibay andres)MENA E 123 8.00    
7  ILLUSION OF HOPE Oct19 Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 (frock charles)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  REDWHITEANDTACOS Nov05 Jul13 Jun30 May11 Mar22 (horn elizabet)ALVELO C 119 30.00    
9  NINJA ABARRIO Nov05 Oct06 Sep29 Sep09 Aug25 (wilson fait)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
10  THEA'S THEME Oct14 Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 (ramirez jose )CHAVEZ ANDRES 112 15.00    
SCR  SNEAKY CHEEKY Nov12 Nov02 Oct13 Oct06 Sep14 (mohan d)BRICENO GREGOR 119 30.00    
 
LRL-6   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST City Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINETYPRCENTMADDIE Oct22 Sep23 Aug22 Jun26 May13 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 124 8.00 12% 7.70    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
SCR  COFFEEWITHCHRIS Nov24 Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 May20 (salzman e)NO RIDER 124 15.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ANDIEMAC by OUTFLANKER)
3  PRAETORIAN GUARD Nov06 Sep23 Aug22 Jul04 Jun14 (linder louis )LYNCH FEARGAL 118 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUPER SHOPPER by SUPER SAVER)
4  POST TIME Oct21 Sep22 Dec03 Oct27 Oct07 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by FROSTED out of VIELSALM by FAIRBANKS)
5  LET IT RIDE Nov04 Apr08 Mar04     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PRINCESS COCO by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  SUPER ACCELERATE Nov24 Oct28 Aug25 Jul29 Jul01 (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BAWLMER HON by SILVER TRAIN)
7  VEESON Oct24 Sep18 Aug21 Jan24 Jan03 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 30.00    
  (by IL VILLANO out of SPRINGINGINTHEREIN by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  GIANT MISCHIEF Sep20 Feb25 Dec17 Nov04 Sep22 (cox h)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERTICAL OAK by GIANT OAK)
9  BYK Oct05 Apr30 Apr07 Feb20 Jan29 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 118 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MYKINDASAINT by SAINT BALLADO)
 
LRL-7   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Safely Kept Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORST BEHAVIOUR Nov02 Sep22 Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 (servis c)BOWMAN ADAM 118 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of C J'S LEELEE by MIZZEN MAST)
2  UNIFIED ALLIANCE Sep02 Jul14 Jun11 Apr29 Apr03 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STAR POWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  LIQUIDATOR Oct27 Sep30 Sep02 Jul29 Jul21 (shankle joanne)NO RIDER 118 30.00 5% 17.90    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MISSY RULES by PEACE RULES)
4  WARRIOR'S RANSOM Oct31 Oct10 Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  HOWL Oct28         (cox h)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  DOT MARIE Oct11 Aug31 Aug01 Jun14 May03 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 118 30.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MISS ANN PERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
7  APPLE PICKER Oct21 Sep16 Aug13 Jun18 May25 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
LRL-8   11/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Richard Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLIER Nov12 Nov02 Oct26 Oct01 Sep15 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 124 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TOUGH ISSIE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
2  BE BETTER Oct17 Sep10 Jul29 Jun17 May20 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
3  FOREWARNED Oct28 Sep23 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
4  MOVISITOR Oct30 Aug22 Jul26 Jun26 Jun02 (montoya m)CARRASCO R 122 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RISTRETTO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  MARKET MAVEN Oct14 Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of MY SONATA by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
6  KING KUMBALAY Oct17 Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun06 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 122 1.80 15% 5.60    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of LOVELY STAY by FLOWER ALLEY)
7  AIN'T DA BEER COLD Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug13 May29 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00    
  (by FREEDOM CHILD out of DISTINCT AFFAIR by WITH DISTINCTION)
8  HAY CHIEF Nov16 Oct28 Oct19 Oct08 Sep17 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
LRL-9   11/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCIENCE (IRE) Nov05 Oct21 Sep08 Aug20 Jul14 (gorham michael )MENA E 119 12.00    
2  FROG TOWN Nov04 Oct18 Sep15 Aug11 Aug04 (farrior a)CARRASCO R 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  SIR SMOAK Nov15 Oct21 Oct05 Sep20 Aug27 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 117 20.00 5% 18.30    
4  JOHN HALL Nov16 Oct27 Oct01 Feb12 Dec31 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
5  ISLAND D'LITE Nov04 Oct20 Sep09 Jul29 Jul09 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 ★    
6  LANDON JACK Oct19 Sep03 Jul15 Jun10 Mar04 (salzman john)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 15.00    
7  DISPUTED NOTION Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 Oct06 (tapscot)BRICENO GREGOR 119 15.00    
8  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Nov15 Oct16 Sep28 Sep04 Aug26 (brooks gerald)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00    
9  RASCALLY REBEL Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 Sep03 Aug20 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 117 30.00    
10  GRAND ESCAPE Oct06 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.