Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/6/3)-(3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/5)-(7/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(7/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(7/2/4)-(3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(3/7)-(5/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/5/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(5/4/7)-(1/5/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(1/5/4/6)-(6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/6)-(6/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPPITY UP Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul11 Jun21 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 2.50    
2  EMALTHA Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Nov25 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 119 4.00    
3  FOLLOW THROUGH Sep11 Sep04 Aug11 Jun29 Apr28 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 8.00    
4  WINE WITH A ROSE Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 May30 Apr23 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
5  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Aug18 Jul26 Jul10 May29 Apr05 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
 
PID-2   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE OR STROLL Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 2.50    
2  THE TWO NANCY'S Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 Aug02 Jul19 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
3  LIGHT HEARTED Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 (herrington c)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  EVERY LITTLE BIT Sep05 Aug21 Aug02 Jul05 Sep21 (lucarelli shana)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 65% 0.50    
SCR  CLASSY HALO Sep25 Sep13 Aug21 May09 Sep06 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
6  ODD GAL Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.50 11% 7.70    
7  AMAZON LIZZIE Sep25 Aug22 Aug09 Aug02 Jul19 (grace john)AYALA J 122 4.00    
 
PID-3   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YARDMAN Sep20 Aug21 Aug08 Jul11 Jun26 (musarro josep)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
2  TWELVETWO Sep19 Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 119 10.00    
3  SPAN OF CONTROL Sep19 Sep05 Aug10 Jul25 Jul18 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  LUNA WARRIOR Sep05 Jul29 Jul09 Jun15 Mar30 (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40    
5  JOYFUL GHOST Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Dec17 Oct21 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  SPENDOLINI Sep21 Jul24 Oct25 Oct07   (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 114 2.50    
 
PID-4   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO Aug23 Jun17 May29 Mar19 Feb20 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 1.80    
2  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Aug02 Jul10 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
4  UNCLE JOCK Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 (potts g)ALLEN D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CITY TRIPPER Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 5.00    
6  KAELY'S BROTHER Dec05 Oct27 Sep22 Jan30   (rivelli )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
7  HAMMER LANE Aug30 Aug01 Jul12 Mar26 Dec22 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
PID-5   10/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF HEARTS Jul28         (fennessy john)WALES GARY 120 10.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
2  MOM'S OPAL         (trombetta mich)ALLEN D 120 5.00 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of COPPER GEM by GEMOLOGIST)
3  ROCK N REWARD Sep20         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 67% 0.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LUST FOR DIAMONDS by STREET BOSS)
4  CONTEMPTUOUS MISS Sep14 Aug31 Aug23     (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 110 4.50    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of CONTEMPTUOUS by GOLD TOKEN)
5  TWISTED EMPRESS Sep21 Sep05       (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 120 3.50 ★    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TWISTED PURPOSE by HARD SPUN)
6  MY JENNY Sep05         (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ANNIE'S MELODY by FORESTRY)
7  CHANNEL ME IN         (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY AUDUBON by AMERICAIN)
8  REIGERT GIRLS         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of REIGERT by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
PID-6   10/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAM STORMY Aug16 Jul20 Jun01 Apr21 Feb25 (lopez r)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50    
2  UNSTABLE PRINCE Aug27 Aug13 Jul28 Feb20 Jan07 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
3  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Aug30 Jul27 Dec30 Nov30 Nov14 (weaver cassondr)STANLEY O 119 4.00    
4  R ADMIRAL Aug28 Aug16 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
5  ALEMAN Sep19 Sep04       (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 116 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  INAPPROPRIATE Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 Nov14 Oct12 (gutterson ka)AYALA J 122 6.00    
7  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Sep10 Aug05 Jul19 Jun24 May20 (engler jeff)ALLEN D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   10/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET EVEN Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 4.50 36% 1.70    
2  BEACH HOLIDAY Sep10 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
3  HOLLA AT YOUR BOY Sep15 Aug19 Aug02 Jun15 Jun01 (brion ke)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
4  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 Jul31 Jul05 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
5  GAMBLER ROCKET Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jul14 Sep18 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  CERTAIN JUSTICE Sep15 Sep01 Aug02     (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Aug24 Jul27 Jun30     (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00    
8  BRADITUDE Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jul19 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00    
9  HARD ROCK GOLD         (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
 
PID-8   10/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOMIN GOOSE Sep10 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  E. P. MILTON Sep18 Aug25 Jul31 Jul15 Jun06 (cooney sus)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00    
3  TAPSOLUTION Sep05 Aug08 Jul12 Jun26 Jun05 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
4  CREATIVE CHOICE Sep18 Aug23 Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
5  LORD OF LEGENDS Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 Jun14 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 10% 9.00    
6  LIFE MISSION Sep18 Aug16 Jul05 Jun20 May29 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  UNCLE ANDREW Sep20 Sep01 Aug20 Jul15 Jun05 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00    
8  J W RUCKUS Sep15 Sep01 Aug15 Jul27 Mar31 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00    
SCR  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Sep10 Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 Apr21 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.