Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - September 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/1)-(8/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1)-(8/9/1)-(9/4/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/1)-(8/9/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/9/1)-(8/9/1/2)-(8/9/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/9/1)-(9/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1)-(9/4/8/3)-(8/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/3)-(9/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/3)-(9/4/8/3)-(9/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/8/3)-(8/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/8/3)-(8/4/3/7)-(9/3/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/7)-(9/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/7)-(9/3/2/8)-(9/7/4/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/2/8)-(9/7/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2/8)-(9/7/4/10)-(4/1/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/7/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/10)-(9/7/4/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/10)-(9/7/4/1/10)-(9/7/4/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/4/10)-(4/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/4/10)-(4/1/6/7)-(1/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/7)-(1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/10/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/10/8)-(1/7/10/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MONEY MACHINE Sep02 Aug10 Jul07 Jun15 May07 (viands r)ACOSTA D 121 6.00 12% 7.60    
2  SECRET MOMENT Sep22 Jul24 May13 May04 Oct06 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 124 30.00    
3  MISSING A SOCK Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Sep14 (miller a)HO WESLEY 124 6.00    
4  BLUE TWIRLIN Jul27 Jun10 May13 Jun02 Apr30 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  EMBRACEABLE Sep02 Aug11 Jun30 May29 May02 (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
SCR  LADY CAIRO Sep21         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
SCR  DEAREST M. A. Sep02 May18 Apr06     (jones y)RODRIGUEZ V 121 30.00    
8  PLANET FROLIC Jun04 Apr15 Jan26     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80 15% 5.90    
9  NELLY TOO Sep02 Aug10 Jul20 Feb05 Jan13 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 12.00    
 
CT-2   09/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE IN FLASH Aug27 Aug12 May20 Apr07 Mar17 (harting chris)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIGHTFOOT MISS Jul01 May20 Apr29 Mar17 Feb11 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 ★    
3  HIT A HOMER HONEY Sep08 Aug30 Aug04 Jul14 Jul05 (miller marl)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
4  SO RED THE ROSE Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun15 (obed-letts ketur)MAWING A 122 15.00    
5  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Aug26 Jul29 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
6  UPSY DAISY DO Sep09 Aug12 Jun15 May20 Apr13 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
7  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Sep09 Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 15.00    
8  MARKETABILITY Sep09 Aug12 Mar17 Feb11 Jan21 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 0.60 69% 0.40    
9  MISS WILD Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 7% 14.20    
 
CT-3   09/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOKOYA ROAD Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 Jun09 May20 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  MY MIRACLE MAN Aug12 Jul15 Jun15 May18 Apr14 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 122 6.00    
3  TOUGH TO TAME Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 Jun02 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MYSTIFIED Aug23 Jul05 Jun03 Mar31 Feb23 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  ATTENTIVE Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 May13 Apr30 (brown a)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
6  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Aug18 Jul07 Jun24 Jun03 May18 (schottroffe ed)REYNOLDS C 122 12.00    
7  ROCKY DICE Sep01 Aug11 Aug03 Jul13 Jul07 (murdock stephen)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
8  LADDIE LIAM Sep01 Aug11 Jun24 Jun02 May12 (racanel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 7% 13.20    
9  ELVIRUS Aug26 Jul26 Jun15 May20 Apr27 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 51% 1.00    
 
CT-4   09/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE HALF Sep08 Aug19 Jul06 Jun15 May04 (davis russe)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
2  QUEEN CASHMERE Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 Feb08 Jan20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
3  GARY DOING BIZ Sep08 Jul07 May25 May04 Apr13 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
4  ALWAYS SOMETHING Aug25 Jun02 May02 Mar01 Jan28 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 16% 5.20    
5  ONE TOUGH ROSE Sep14 Aug25 Aug04 Jul05 May31 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 10.00    
6  GRANDIOSELY Sep08 Aug24 May05 Mar01 Feb15 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00    
7  THUNDER PUNCH Sep08 Aug18 Jul06 Jun16 May13 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
8  RUNNING FREE Aug26 Aug18 Jul27 Jul08 Jun16 (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
CT-5   09/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREVER TAKES TIME Jul08 Jun02 Apr14 Feb22 Feb02 (barber donald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
2  AUBURN MILL Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
3  THEWITCHISGONE Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 May27 Apr13 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
4  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50    
5  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 Jul12 Jun23 (boggs joanna)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
6  BLUE N GOLD Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 May25 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
7  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Aug24 Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
8  GOLDEN APPEAL Aug31 Aug19 Jun24 Jun03 May27 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  NEVER COMPROMISE Aug31 Aug18 Jul15 Jun24 May27 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
CT-6   09/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALYPSO JOHN Sep01 Aug17       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 121 4.50 ★    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of CALYPSA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  GOLDEN ASSET         (mcdonald timothy)MAWING A 121 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
3  ESPRESSO Sep08         (brown kei)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 6.00    
  (by JUBA out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
4  MAGICAL SURPRISE         (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MIDWAY MAGIC by CORMORANT)
5  DIMELO PAPI Sep08         (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of GIANNA BELLA by FIBER SONDE)
6  ARYA CHARMING Sep08         (wilhelm m)CECIL Y 121 30.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
7  GREY BOUQUET Sep08 Jun03 May13     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of CHOCOLATE BOUQUET by ESKENDEREYA)
8  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Sep08 Jul20 Jul06 Jun09 Apr08 (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 121 50.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
9  KARMA BUS Sep08 Aug17 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 1.80 33% 2.10    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of AD MUSTER by DIXIE UNION)
10  THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of LIL LADY BIG PURSE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CT-7   09/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST Henry Mercer Memorial Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAN OUT OF TRAINER Sep22 Aug05 Jul06     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 117 4.50 25% 2.90    
  (by TONALIST out of MY GIRL TRICKSY by HAT TRICK)
2  LOVE IS WICKED Sep16 Sep01 Jul21 Jun30   (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  TWO BRONZE STARS Aug31 Aug05 Jul14     (brion keri)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MOUNTAINEER CAT by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  POWERED BY LOVE Jul21 Jun30       (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GAME OF LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  KING KONTIE Sep09 Aug05 Jul14     (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of JUMELLE SPRINGS by MORE THAN READY)
6  JUBAWITHATWIST Sep02 Aug05 Jun30     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
7  GRANDY Aug11         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
8  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Jul14 May25 May01     (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 117 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ HER NOW by TIZNOW)
9  DORADO Sep01         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BOPPIN ROCKET by OFFICER ROCKET)
 
CT-8   09/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIGGY MON Aug31 Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 May28 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
SCR  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Sep09 Aug27 Jul28 May26 May11 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
3  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY Jun28 May31 May01 Feb20 Jan19 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 113 30.00    
4  GRAND FIBER Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 May27 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
5  WIZARD OF ODDS Aug31 Jul20 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 50.00    
6  PROTA Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jul21 Jun24 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
7  MAGICAL EXPRESS Aug26 Jul30 Mar13 Feb15 Jan26 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
8  BIG DADDY D R Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 Jun15 May13 (utterback barry)CECIL Y 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GOT FLOFFY Aug31 Jul15 May18 May06 Mar30 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
10  INDIANA RED Aug26 Aug05 May20 Feb01 Jan12 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 ★    
SCR  BE BE BOP Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Apr28 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
SCR  YABBA DABBA DUDE Aug26 Jul27 Dec14 Nov03 Oct13 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.