Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/8)-(6/3/5/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/9)-(6/3/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/9)-(6/3/5/9)-(6/3/5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/5/9)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/9)-(2/3)-(4/3/9) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/3/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/9)-(4/3/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/9)-(4/3/9)-(4/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/9)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/8)-(1/6/9) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/8)-(1/6/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/9)-(1/6/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/9)-(1/6/9)-(1/6/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLA OF TROUBLE Sep08 Aug18       (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 3.00 13% 6.60    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of EBONY ORO by BOB AND JOHN)
2  BAYTOWN ANGEL Sep11 Aug21       (mcente)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00 52% 0.90    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HOMESICK ANGEL by DIVINE PARK)
3  MAGNA CAT         (godsey ma)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of MAGNA G by MAGNA GRADUATE)
4  BIG RED WAVE Sep11 Aug21       (delong ben)NELSON TYRONE 118 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FOLLOW YOUR BLISS by THUNDER GULCH)
5  MOON RIDGE Sep11 Aug21 Jul04 Jun22   (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 6.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MOONSHOT by GRAND SLAM)
6  MACI'S WORLD Sep11 Aug21 Jul20 May01   (stanoszek sa)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLUE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  TALLY'S RIVER         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 6.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of SPLIT TALLY by TWO PUNCH)
8  LUNA SOL         (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 12.00 7% 13.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of JIM'S CHARM by GONE ASTRAY)
9  THIRSTY FOR LOVE Sep03 Jul27 Jul01 May20   (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EMPRESS OF LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
 
MNR-2   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCGOLDEN Sep05 Aug13 Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 3.00    
2  LAKE HAMILTON Aug16 Jul25 Jul05 Jun10 May15 (barker james )CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
3  PER DIEM Aug16 Apr21 Apr06 Feb24 Feb05 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
4  GLOBAL PRIDE Apr01 Feb01 Nov26 Oct30   (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 5.00    
5  OLD FORTY FIVE Sep17 Sep04 Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 (hebert kitty)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 7% 13.40    
6  FIFTY PESOS Sep17 Aug20 Jun25 May29 May21 (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 118 4.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  HARTEL Sep12 Aug29 Aug20 Aug02 Jul26 (sipp k)BRAVO MISAEL 110 20.00    
8  SHADY STAR Sep20 Sep04 Aug04 Jul15 May05 (devill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
9  IN THE GOSPEL Aug27 Aug16 Jul19 Nov23 Nov13 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-3   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIDING THE BRICK Sep17 Aug27 Jul24 Jul11 Jun11 (gray christo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
2  UNYIELDING Sep03 Aug08 Jul10 Jun21 May28 (davidov)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.40 33% 2.00    
3  COLONEL MIKE Sep11 Aug22 Aug04 Jul25 Jul12 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
4  UNION BROTHER Aug30 Aug07 Jul24 Jun27 Jun04 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00    
5  CATES SWOOSH Sep12 Sep03 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 (cain crysta)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 2.00    
6  THE FILTER Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jun27 Jun05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
 
MNR-4   09/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MS KAYS COWGIRL Sep22 Sep04 Jul13 May24 May12 (kravets)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00    
SCR  TEST YOUR FAITH Sep12 Sep06 Aug29 Aug14 Jul19 (wade justin)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00    
3  TWELVE SHARP Sep06 Aug29 Aug07 Jun18 May18 (alamo miguel)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 25% 2.90    
4  AGENDA Aug01 Jul19 Jul09 May29 Apr28 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  COUNTESSOFLOVELACE Sep17 Sep06 Aug28 Jul31 Jun21 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
6  FRANCIA (PER) Sep11 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 May15 (pizzurr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00    
7  LIPARI Sep15 Aug18 Jun27 Jun10 Feb10 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 2.50    
8  ICY RAIN Aug17 Aug01 Jul09 Jun26 Jun14 (ratliff gobel)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00    
9  REINA DEL BALI Sep12 Aug27 Aug01 Jul09 Jun08 (monday kevin)VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-5   09/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PITCH DARK Aug27 Aug02 Jun21 Aug12 Jul07 (bright derrick)JURADO EDDIE 120 2.50    
2  CRACK THE MOON Aug13 Jul25 Jul05 Jun20 May16 (hebert kitty)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  THREE MILE LIMIT Sep13 Aug27 Aug14 Jul12 Jun14 (boyd l)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
4  GENIUS Sep11 Sep04 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 (devill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
5  CAJUN MANDATE Sep06 Aug14 Aug06 Jul15 Jun03 (suarez wlaima)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  AS DE ORO COCO Aug27 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jul09 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
7  AMES MISTER Oct27 Sep13 Aug25 Jul28 Jul05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
8  HEY SACH Jun21 May20 May09 Apr11 Feb20 (spiess shane )GUERERE ANGEL 120 15.00    
 
MNR-6   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Sep14 Aug17 Aug01 Jun10 May22 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
2  GATES OF HEAVEN Jul05 Jun19 May22 Mar27 Mar05 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
3  SAVVY LAYLA Sep18 Aug22 Jul27 May27 Apr22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 61% 0.60    
4  FULCO Sep10 Sep02 Aug10 Jul27 Jul08 (monday kevi)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ESTILO VARONIL Sep05 Aug13 Jul18 Jun26 Jun05 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00    
6  SOUTHERN WILL Sep03 Aug04 Jun23 Mar13 Feb20 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50    
7  HAPPY CHARLIE Sep01 Jul21 Jul01 Jun03 May06 (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 2.50    
 
MNR-7   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMMY Aug11 Jul25 Jun27 Apr22 Apr01 (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00    
2  SCREAMING JEREMY Sep20 Sep06 Aug13 Aug02 Jul05 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 8.00    
3  ALTMEISTER Sep06 Aug15 Aug06 Jul10 Jun27 (norris step)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  GREENRIDGE THUNDER Sep13 Jul03 Nov07 Oct25 Jul25 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  ATLANTIC VAQUERO Aug18 Aug10 Jul29 Jun22 Jun01 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
SCR  SARGENT LEE Sep17 Jun18 Sep04 Aug07   (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 120 3.00    
SCR  LOW COUNTRY DUDE Aug06 Jul25 May14 Apr22 Mar27 (cuttin)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00    
8  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Aug16 Jul19 Jul12 Apr22 Apr01 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
MNR-8   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME FOR CUPID Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 Jul20 Jul03 (norris)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  PAINTED ROCKET Jun19 Oct18 Aug08 May22 May08 (kocijan a)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
3  DON'T LOSE HOPE Feb12 Sep28 Sep06     (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 3.00    
SCR  JUST LIKE INDY Sep10 Aug09 Jul31 Jun24 Jun07 (lawrence da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00    
SCR  BIZZY GAL Sep19 Aug28 Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 12.00    
6  NYSSA Sep11 Aug08 Jul26 Jul17 Jul03 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00 5% 18.50    
7  W H LITTLE MISS GO Sep11 Aug16 Jul23 Jul02 Jun21 (johnston scot)NELSON TYRONE 120 20.00    
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY Sep22 Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 Jun30 (kravets)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.50    
9  GOLD PASS Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  NURSE KATIE Sep04 Aug16 Jul05 Jun19 May23 (gilbert timothy)VEGA L 120 30.00    
SCR  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Sep14 Aug19 Jul29 Jun16 Apr29 (shanley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
SCR  MOSE DEFINITELY Jun06 Apr26 Mar17 Feb10 Jan20 (bissell cheyan)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00    
13  AWESOME INCENTIVE Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Jan06 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.