Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/3)-(9/4/3) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/4/3)-(9/4/3)-(9/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (9/4/3)-(5/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/8/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/8/3)-(5/4/8/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/6/1)-(7/3/8/1) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(7/3/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/8/1)-(5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/8)-(5/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(6/5/4/2)-(4/3/6/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (6/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/4/2)-(4/3/6/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMANDER CODY Jul25 Nov22 Nov06 Oct23 Oct11 (cuttino mario)NELSON TYRONE 123 12.00    
2  ROLL ME OVER May06 Apr21 Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 (cuttino mar)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00    
3  HOPPERNESS Jun26 Jun05 May22 May01 Feb17 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 6.00 10% 8.80    
4  KEYSER Sep05 Aug02 Jul18 Mar15 Feb02 (gotera car)LEON A 118 8.00 23% 3.40    
5  CAPTAIN BERNARDO Sep05 Aug14 Jul18 Jul02 Jul27 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
6  CAB BEEF         (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 10.00    
7  RECTANGLE Aug25 Aug10 Jul01 May06 Apr19 (cascallares nest)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
SCR  ALPHA LEA Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Jun21 Jun03 (howard a)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.50    
9  SARGENT LEE Jun18 Sep04 Aug07     (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 123 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
MNR-2   09/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIKITA Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul16 Jun18 (blackh)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 12.00    
2  PACKIN Aug30 Aug02 May22 Apr15 Apr05 (norris st)HERNANDEZ H 123 10.00    
3  COUNTESSOFLOVELACE Sep06 Aug28 Jul31 Jun21 May15 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOGRATZ Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 Jul09 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  SHEZ FIRED UP Aug30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun20 May22 (mcgaffic gregory)VIGIL NOEL 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
6  BABY BONNIE Sep03 Aug20 Aug09 Jul16 May29 (johnson jen)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 5.00    
7  JASIRA Jan14 Dec17 Dec02 Nov17 Oct15 (rangel )NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00    
8  LIFENHOWULIVIT Aug29 Aug07 Jun24 May27 May03 (stansbury julie)LEON A 123 2.50 ★    
 
MNR-3   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHINIST Aug20 Aug09 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SKYSCANNER Aug28 Jul10 Oct19 Oct09 Sep26 (langley wils)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 56% 0.80    
3  TOMMY TUESDAY Aug30 Aug08 Jul30 Jul18 Jul03 (gray l)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
4  HE'S ON THE FLY Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 (o fe)ALENCAR WALBER 120 2.00    
5  OLA QUE TAL Aug22 Jul09 Jun13 May28 Apr30 (weymes andrew)TOLEDO S 120 30.00    
6  BEYOND GONE Aug15 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May22 (zook je)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
7  LAST DROP OF WINE Aug09 Jul10 Jun13 May17 May03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 115 1.60    
 
MNR-4   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEEL HAWK May26 Apr30 Dec09 Nov17 Oct01 (poole a)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of FRECKLEDBIRD by MINESHAFT)
2  DON'T FLINCH Sep03 Aug08       (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 113 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNFLINCHING by STRAIGHT MAN)
3  KNOCKOUT GUY Aug06 Jul26 Jul16 Jul10 Jun26 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  BAYTOWN BEAVER Sep05 Aug13 Jul22 Jul10 Jun04 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 118 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TRES LINDA by MARQUETRY)
5  MR HARRY Sep03 Jul02       (sipp k)LEON A 118 30.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH CAT by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  MO TOWN BLUES Sep08 Aug11 Aug02 Jul22 Jul01 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TRUFFLES by DON B.)
7  WICKED REVIEW Sep03 Aug23 Aug04 Aug26   (larue s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.60 54% 0.80    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RAVE REVIEWS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
8  WHOOP GONE Aug29 Aug10 Jul18 Nov17   (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 6.00 5% 18.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ATHENA STAR by STAR CAT)
9  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Dec16 Oct19 Sep01     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of PARIS GIRL by PULPIT)
 
MNR-5   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERJURY Aug09 Jun24 Feb17 Jan17 Dec31 (cross kenny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
SCR  OMEGA GOLD Aug29 Aug16 Jul03 Jun19 May30 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00    
3  PENNY LOAFER Aug22 Aug08       (cuttino mar)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 5.00 15% 5.50    
4  RIVER ANT Sep05 Aug13 Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
5  HASTINGS SUNRISE Aug16         (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  LOW COUNTRY DUDE Aug06 Jul25 May14 Apr22 Mar27 (cuttino mario)CEDILLO MAURO 120 4.00    
7  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Aug16 May07 Apr08 Mar19 Feb25 (jensen)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 6.00    
8  COUTH Aug20 Aug05 Jun23 May29 Apr22 (stephen anth)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY BOY CLYDE Nov05 Oct26 Sep10 Aug19 Jul23 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
 
MNR-6   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKE SEGAL Aug11 Jul16 Jun02 Apr01 Mar16 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  LITTLE VAQUERO Aug21 Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 May29 (mcgaffic gregory)VIGIL NOEL 118 30.00    
SCR  UNYIELDING Sep03 Aug08 Jul10 Jun21 May28 (davidovich jamen)AVILES YAN 120 5.00    
4  DRIVE BY LAYOVER Jul30 Jul16 May16 Nov28 Nov15 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
5  OVER THE HILLS Aug21 Jul31 Jun21 Jun05 May08 (pizzurr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
6  OX DOC Aug16 Jul21 Jun30 Jun14 May26 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.00 59% 0.70    
7  BLACK CANDY Sep04 Aug05 Jul20 Jun21 May26 (blackhurst )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
8  HIDING THE BRICK Aug27 Jul24 Jul11 Jun11 May28 (gray christop)CEDILLO MAURO 115 20.00    
 
MNR-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKX TURBO Sep04 May28 May14 Dec14 Dec05 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
2  SHELTOWEE'S BALI Sep03 Aug21 Jul30 Jun21 Dec14 (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00 8% 10.80    
3  HILLBILLY LOGIC Sep02 Aug23 Aug02 Jul14 Jun20 (howard a)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.50    
4  FREEDOM RIDER Aug25 Jul31 Jun10 May18 Apr29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
5  SPEIGHTY WAR Sep03 Aug16 Jul19 May28 May14 (wolfe g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
6  COLLECTORATE Aug21 Jun18 Apr21 Mar17 Feb08 (jackson l)CULLUM W 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
7  LIGHTNING JACK Jul31 Jul21 Jun20 May14 Dec14 (kocijan marcu)TOLEDO S 120 30.00    
8  MAMBA TWENTY FOUR Sep01 Aug12 Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 (stephen anth)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 6.00    
9  DOCTOR WU Aug16 Jul25 Jul01 Jun15 May14 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 10.00    
 
MNR-8   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD FORTY FIVE Sep04 Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 Jun11 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SALTY SNAPPER Sep06 Aug08 Jun27 Sep05   (kocijan m)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00    
3  FIFTY PESOS Aug20 Jun25 May29 May21 May07 (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
4  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Aug18 Jul25 May11 Apr27 Apr06 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Aug30 Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 May25 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
6  MYSTIC MINISTER Sep05 Aug21 Jul18 Jul02 May23 (fletche)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROARING OCEAN Sep04 Jul10 Jun13 Jun14 Jun01 (treharne da)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00    
SCR  PRIVATE CONNIE Aug29 Aug10 Jul03 May09 Apr04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 115 6.00    
9  BRAVE HILARIO Sep04 Mar11 Feb11 Feb03 Jan27 (stansbury julie)LEON A 120 10.00    
10  CHEEKY CHAPS Aug29 Aug20 Aug02 May30 Dec13 (sipp k)TOLEDO S 120 5.00    
11  EL DUQUE Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul25 Jul03 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00    
SCR  GREGORIA'S BAY Aug09 Jul30 Jul07 Jun01 Oct22 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.