Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Meadowlands Tb
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MED-1   WIN (2/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MED-2   WIN (10/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/2)-(10/3/8/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/2)-(10/3/8/11/2)-(10/3/8/11/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MED-3   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MED-4   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MED-5   WIN (9/2/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/10)-(9/2/6/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/10)-(9/2/6/10/5)-(9/2/6/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MED-6   WIN (5/1/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/9)-(5/1/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/9)-(5/1/7/9)-(5/1/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MED-1   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEDONA ROCKS Aug13 Jul16 Jun30 Jun03 Dec18 (harris holly)IORIO MELISSA 111 4.00 14% 6.30    
TI SENTO (IRE) May26 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Jan26 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 37% 1.70    
ROCKIN THE BANK Sep06 Aug13 Jul24 Jun30   (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 6% 16.80    
VINDICATO Sep06 Aug18 Aug02 Jul17 Jun12 (pessanha ney)RUIZ ELISEO 114 3.50 20% 4.10    
UNCLE REMI Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Jul09 Jun19 (smith lawr)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 15.00    
CONSTITUTIONAL BID Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 Jan31 Oct22 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
LITTLE J P Sep05 Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 May06 (padilla o)LUZZI J 117 4.50    
SHOW EM THE LIGHTS Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jun23 May15 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 12.00    
 
MED-2   09/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER FLOWER Aug27         (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 110 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PHALEONOPSIS by SIPHON (BRZ))
ESTRELLA KIARA         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SARANDA by SMART STRIKE)
COMPETITIVE THREAT (IRE)         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by DARK ANGEL out of SHELBYSMILE by SMART STRIKE)
SPEIGHTS DANCE         (duggan p)LUZZI J 117 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of NESSELRODE by LEMON DROP KID)
HARLEE Aug15 Aug01       (bedard alan)OCASIO M 117 30.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TIZNOWORNEVER by FREUD)
SHE TAKES CASH         (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of RESOUNDINGLY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
BAY BAY BIRDIE Aug21 Jul17       (reid e)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of RED BANK ROBIN by INDIAN OCEAN)
FOREVER HOPEFUL         (stidham m)VARGAS A 117 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MY HOPEFUL HEART by STRONG HOPE)
FLOGE Sep04 Aug19       (servis j)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HAKA'S SISTER by DECLARATION OF WAR)
10  IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE) Aug06         (brown c)JUAREZ NIK 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of JANICELLAINE by BEAT HOLLOW)
11  BOLD LOOK         (russell britt)OLVER MADISON 110 6.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of MOON DELIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
 
MED-3   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICAL WAY Aug18 Jul28 Jun24 Jun10 May10 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 119 10.00    
SHIMMERING LEROID Aug04 Jul08 May29 Apr22 Apr02 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
NINTH OF APRIL Sep06 Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 8.00    
LOST A LEGEND Sep03 Jul19 Jul02 Jun09 May28 (perez carl)RIVERA R 114 8.00 10% 8.50    
BOOM BOOM KABOOM Sep10 Sep02 Jul15 Jul07 Jun27 (gallimore trevo)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00    
DEVILS ONLY FRIEND Aug26 Jul29 May20 May06 Apr08 (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 116 2.00 22% 3.50    
TRUEBELIEVE Sep10 Jun02 Oct13 Aug18 Jul17 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 119 3.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  HARDSCRABBLE May29 Mar11 Feb12 Jan15 Apr30 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.00    
 
MED-4   09/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT CHICK Aug20 Jun25 May06 Apr08 Sep17 (maker j)JUAREZ NIK 117 2.50    
QUEEN DEYMAR Aug26 Aug04 Jun18 May21 Jan22 (perez l)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
FEARLESS KRISTIE Sep07 Aug04 Jul21 May04 Apr13 (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
REBEL CONSORT Sep06 Aug24 Aug03 Jul08 Mar31 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 117 10.00    
PIMENOVA Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 Apr22 Mar12 (falcone robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00 10% 8.90    
JUDGEMENT TIME Aug18 Aug05 Jun30 Jun02 May13 (thompson glen)IORIO MELISSA 112 8.00    
OSCAR GAZE Sep04 Jul14 Jun25 May14 Apr29 (dini mike)VARGAS A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTURE THIS Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jul29 Jun17 (ortega leopold)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00    
 
MED-5   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YELOMA Jul30 Jul19 Jun18 May25 May03 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 20.00    
BINGO STAR Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 May27 May13 (delgado )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  AKIVA Jul30 Jun03 May18     (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 111 30.00    
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT Aug29 Jun26 Jun05 May08 Apr25 (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 111 6.00    
NEVER PERSONAL Sep10 Jul23 Jun23 May13 Jan14 (falcone robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50    
MY REAL DREAM Jul29 Jun24 Dec15 Oct23 Sep23 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 10.00 7% 12.80    
ROXEN Aug29 Aug16 Jul23     (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 123 15.00    
TWYLA Aug20 Jul07 Jun09 May20 May03 (carango anthony)RUIZ ELISEO 116 15.00    
GET LOADED Aug26 Aug18 Aug05     (sacco greg)RIVERA R 113 3.00 36% 1.80    
10  HARD TO CATCH Aug13         (spina charles)MOYA F 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  ZULLY BELLA Sep10 Aug13 May03     (hernan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
12  WITHOUT A NET Aug20 Jul23       (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00    
SCR  FILLY PHANATIC Aug06         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 4.50    
SCR  MAGNOLIA WIND Aug10 Jul16 Jun03 May12 Mar24 (dunham bernard)ADORNO ABNER 118 10.00    
 
MED-6   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERRY'S TURN Aug26 Jun16 Apr15 Apr01 Mar01 (hills timothy )LUZZI J 120 12.00 29% 2.50    
OUTLAW COUNTRY Aug26 Aug04 Jul09 Jun24 Jun10 (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
SEAVER Aug14 Jul23 Jul01 May13 Apr22 (hills timothy )TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
SCR  PLAYGROUND LEGEND Aug26 Jul22 May28 Apr26 Oct29 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 112 5.00    
PHANTOM SMOKE Jul13 Jun17 Jan07 Nov18 Oct22 (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
FADETHENOISE Jul15 Jun23 May20 Apr16 Aug19 (maker j)JUAREZ NIK 117 6.00    
C C GOLDRUSH Jul23 Jun06 May22 Dec12 Sep26 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  O'BRIEN Aug26 Jul18 Nov16 Sep24 Sep05 (dotolo davi)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 30.00    
THREE ZERO Sep02 Jul27 Jun09 May13 Mar25 (abreu fernan)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Jul29 May28 May21 Sep03 Aug10 (aguirr)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.