Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(6/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(6/2/4)-(7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(7/6)-(7/6/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/6)-(7/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(7/6/8)-(7/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8)-(7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/8)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8)-(7/2/4/6)-(9/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/6)-(9/7/1/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/6)-(9/7/1/6)-(1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-6   WIN (9/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/6)-(9/7/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/6)-(9/7/1/6)-(9/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/1/6)-(1/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/6)-(1/5/4)-(7/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(7/6/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/9)-(7/6/1/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/6/9)-(7/6/1/9)-(7/6/1/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Aug18 Jul26 Jul10 May29 Apr05 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
FOLLOW THROUGH Aug11 Jun29 Apr28 Jan20   (deville carl)ALENCAR WALBER 118 8.00    
BEAST BUNNY Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 Jun19 Mar17 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 2.50 15% 5.70    
DRIFTING MELODIES Aug14 Jul27 Jun24 Jun02   (deville j)ALLEN D 118 12.00 10% 9.10    
OPTIMIZME Aug11 Aug01 Jun16 Jun01 Jan05 (alvarez nery)AYALA J 118 6.00    
IRISH VICTORY (IRE) May29 Apr07 Mar24     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
SOUPER SLEWS CASH Aug15 Jul29 Oct29 Sep11 Aug17 (potts g)ROJAS MARTINA 113 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
PID-2   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDING Aug14 Aug08 Feb02 Dec13 Nov09 (valdez moise)ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00    
MR. YASUDA Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 Jun14 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.50 12% 7.70    
FLAT BUSTED Aug21 Aug07 Jul25 Jun26 Jun12 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 2.50    
THREE O ONE Aug07 May13 Mar25 Nov05 Oct22 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 (sarson alisa )ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
FREDDY'S MUSIC Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun12 Feb17 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
GEMINI MOON Aug22 Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 Jun14 (depasqua)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
 
PID-3   09/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUANSEN         (miller henry )WALKER M 120 6.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of DIAMONDS FOR LEAH by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
BUNDABURG Aug21 Aug01       (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SHE'S GONNA FLOAT by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
BRADY Jul12 Sep18       (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 12.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of TIZ BOA by TIZNOW)
LEFT ON BOYLSTON Aug16 Oct08 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 4.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SRIKINGLYBEAUTIFUL by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MAJESTIC FLAG Jul31 May12 Mar12 Jan13 Dec18 (flores c)GALLARDO A 124 3.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of MISS PERSONALITY by EL PRADO (IRE))
ALEMAN         (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of CUP OF JAVA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
PATIENCE WORTH Aug01 Jun22 Apr27 Mar04 Feb04 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 117 1.40 67% 0.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HYSTERICALADY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
PID-4   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FUNKY MUSIC Aug14 Feb16 Jan12 Nov03 Oct11 (fletche)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 Jun20 May23 (tasso mark)MORALES PABLO 122 12.00    
T C GREELEY Aug15 Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
GENIUS Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 May26 Apr29 (deville j)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
SCR  HINDENBURG Aug15 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 Jun06 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
HENRY'S WORLD Aug10 Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 May29 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
SOUTH SEA Aug22 Aug16 Jul24 Jun14 May18 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
LONTANI Jun20 Jun05 May15 Jan05 Dec14 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
ANOTHER BREEZE Aug22 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Jun14 (potts g)WALKER M 122 5.00    
 
PID-5   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCIENCE TO WIN Aug02 Jun05 May17 Nov01 Oct11 (kocijan boris)BAEZ M 122 12.00    
THE FIVE B'S Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May19 Apr29 (deville carl )ROJAS MARTINA 113 2.50 22% 3.60    
PUNX Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 Jun05 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
SILVER TOKEN Aug17 Aug01 Jul18 Jun19 Jun05 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
BAD LITTLE BEAST Aug17 Jul19 Jul03 Jun05 May15 (winters michelle)DIAZ R 122 8.00    
ASPLUNDER Aug21 Aug10 Jul18 Jul05 Jun19 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
ARGYLL Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 Oct10 (dodge albert)WALKER M 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
GET ALONG Aug13 Jul04 Jun19 May29 May20 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 30.00    
CITY TRIPPER Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 3.50    
 
PID-6   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANGER BLUE Aug17         (tasso mark)FRATES D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SINGLE MALT FEMALE by SKIP TO THE STONE)
LOVE THAT BIRD Aug18 Jul28       (ferraro ant)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of ASPREE by FREUD)
SO CLOSE SO FAR Aug07 Jul18       (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ONE FAST CHICK by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  Z INDY LINDY Aug21 Aug02       (connelly teres)ALLEN D 117 15.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of LINDZ WINZ by VRONSKY)
MORTAL SIN Aug17 Jul27 Jul07     (doran carl)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GALADRIEL'S LIGHT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
EXPRESS STAR Aug07         (miller henry)ALENCAR WALBER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of STARSHIP ESPRESSO by TALE OF EKATI)
SEMINARIAN Aug17         (lecesse micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of RARE EDITION by SIYAH KALEM)
A ROSE FOR TINA Aug21         (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 5.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of SCORE BOYERA by SCORPION (IRE))
CALLER Aug07         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of GLAMOUR MANOR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
PID-7   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANNON Jul16 Nov30 Oct19 Sep01 Jul31 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
ZIP CODE ENVY Aug10 Jul18 Jun21 May30 May15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 5.00    
A NITE IN CAIRO Aug16 Jul26 Jan18 Dec17 Oct03 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
CAROLINA SUN Aug03 Jul15 Jun25 May27 Apr20 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 6% 15.90    
GOLDEN ISLE Aug21 Jul21 Apr09 Feb10 Dec10 (hoffman mark)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50 29% 2.50    
TELL ME WHEN Aug07 Jun11 May11 Apr14 Jan14 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 118 2.50    
 
PID-8   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTINVADEMYSPACE Aug26 Aug21 Jul05 Jun06 May16 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 113 3.50    
SCR  SCREAMING JEREMY Aug13 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun04 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
TWELVETWO Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 May31 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 120 6.00    
SHADY STAR Aug04 Jul15 May05 Apr01 Feb18 (deville j)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
HUNTIN' THE RUT Aug07 Jul25 Jul17 Jul05 Oct25 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
VOORHEES Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 118 12.00 6% 16.10    
FIGHT Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 May07 Apr21 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50 67% 0.50    
SUMMER BOSS Aug10 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 May08 (schneider ki)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
GOVERNOR ATWOOD Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.