Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/3/5)-(5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/2)-(3/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/1/5)-(2/7/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/7/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/7/3/9)-(6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/7/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/9)-(2/7/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/9)-(2/7/3/9)-(2/7/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/9)-(6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/9)-(6/7)-(6/7/1/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-6   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/7)-(6/7/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(6/7/1/8)-(3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/8)-(3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/8)-(3/8/5)-(8/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-8   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/5)-(8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-9   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA B KITTEN ME Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jun11 May25 (gonzalez lilia)REYES FRANK 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  HOLY IMAGE Aug20 Jul23 Jul06 Jun14 May28 (weir georg)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00 22% 3.50    
3  HIP HOP EMMY Aug20 Apr30 Apr02     (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
4  DR. BELLA Jul20 Jul03 Mar25 Mar10 Sep16 (granitz j)FELIX E 118 3.00    
5  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Aug05 Jul06 Jun10 May27 Apr16 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
6  EVIE JEAN Aug20 Aug09 Jul23 Jul09 Jun29 (ryan chr)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00    
SCR  SUNSET PAYNTER Aug23 Aug06 Jul20 Jun08 May05 (knott nancy )CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.00    
 
HAW-2   09/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STACY ATTACK Aug13 Jul30 Jun11 May25 Apr13 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 4.00    
2  SENSE OF SELF Aug23 May25 Apr23 Nov13 Oct01 (ramirez c)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
3  GET NONE Aug23 May25 Oct16 Jul17 May20 (rodriguez h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 11% 8.10    
4  GOOD MONGOLIA Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun11 Apr23 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 5.00    
5  FIRST SQUADRON Aug27 Aug13 Jun11 May25 May11 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL Aug13 Jul27 Jun10 Sep21 Sep08 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.00 63% 0.60    
7  ARCH FLYER Aug27 Jul27 Jul16 Jul06 Jun18 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
 
HAW-3   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VISIONISTA Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun07 Apr27 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.00    
2  MAGNA MASSA Aug06 Jul12 Jun22 May27 May03 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  HEAVENLY SCENT Aug17 Aug06 Jul20 Oct16 Sep23 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
4  MARYHADALITTLELAM Aug17 Jun25 Jun10     (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
5  SISTER KISSES Aug11         (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 1.80 62% 0.60    
6  SEQUAYA Aug23 Aug17 Jul27 Jul16 Jun15 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00    
 
HAW-4   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ON THE MAP Aug27         (banks chris)LEZCANO ABEL 124 1.80 17% 4.90    
2  SHE APPEALS HOLY Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jun22   (weir georg)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 15.00    
3  CHERRY ORCHARD Aug17 Jul30 Jul19 Jul05 Jun25 (hughes w)COLON H 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  INDIO GUAPO Aug10 Jul23 Jun14 Dec17 Nov25 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 10.00    
5  CELIA'S CIRCLE Jul01 May20       (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  JACKPOT BOY Aug17 Jul13 Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 4.00    
7  ONE ACE Aug17 Jul18 Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
 
HAW-5   09/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS ON FIFTY Jul26 May05       (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50    
2  SPEED WARNING Aug03 Jul02 Jun02 Mar16 Jan21 (engler jeff)FELIX E 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
3  ON K P Aug03 Jul09 Jun15 May19 Apr30 (rednour j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 9% 9.80    
4  DASTARDLY DEEDS Aug24 Aug13 Jul23 Jul06 Jun21 (flores j)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
5  SAWYER FOX Aug06 Dec10       (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
SCR  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Aug09 Jul19 Jul09 Jun01 Mar03 (divito jam)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 3.50    
7  EASY FAST Aug20 Jun11 May11     (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
8  MAN ON ATTACK Aug24 Jul30 Jul16 Jun21 May28 (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 12.00    
9  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEST WARPATH Aug02 Jul12 Jun07 May18 Apr30 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
SCR  DIAMOND DAVE Aug05 Jun20 Jun11 May27 Apr20 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00    
3  LYKAN Aug23 Jul27 Jun14 May25 Jan06 (young r)FELIX E 122 4.50    
4  TRY TRY AGAIN Aug23 Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 Jun04 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
5  PINBALLER Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
6  BLOW TORCH Aug23 Jul19 Jun26 May31 Apr28 (rosin coty)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
7  CAN MAN DO Aug02 Jun11 Apr30 Apr06 Mar09 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
HAW-7   09/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL NEWS Aug10 Jul19 Dec16 Nov27 Oct13 (martinez ralp)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 7% 14.40    
SCR  COMISKEY PARK Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 May25 Apr30 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
3  HUEY ATTACK Aug20 Jul13 Jun11 May28 Nov27 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
4  LAND MARK DEAL Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
5  BOURBON TEDDY Aug23 Jul26 Jun08 May25 May04 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 30.00    
6  SMOKIN RICHIE Aug10 Jul21 May03 Oct25 Oct07 (vanden berg)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
7  RACE DRIVER Jul14 May19 May04 Apr22 Mar23 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
8  MAJOR WAGER Jul21 Jul07 Jun02 May11 Apr16 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  LET'S GO ALAMO Aug17 Jul21 May21 Apr23 Apr01 (kendall elise)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00    
 
HAW-8   09/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Polar Expedition Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEMPER TANTRUM Jul13 Jun15 Dec26 Oct15 Aug07 (hernandez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50    
  (by FLASHBACK out of COZZY TEMPER by COZZENE)
2  WESLAN Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 May27 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 113 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of JULMAE by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  READTHECLIFFNOTES Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Jan27 (boyce mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
  (by READ THE FOOTNOTES out of LIL CORA TEE by LIL E. TEE)
4  JEFF THE LION Aug06 Jul12 Jun21 May18 Apr20 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 115 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN LION out of DUTCHIE by HALO'S IMAGE)
5  CAT ATTACK Jul20 Jun22 May21 Dec02 Nov11 (boyce michele)FELIX E 114 6.00 14% 6.20    
  (by GET STORMY out of KITTY'S CASTLE by CASHEL CASTLE)
6  SILVER QUARTERS Aug16 Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 5.00    
  (by GENERAL QUARTERS out of SYND by WILD SYN)
7  BEEALEA Aug16 Jul23 Jun25 Jun08 Jun01 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00    
  (by LEA out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
8  GITA'S LAD Jul26 Jun01 May11 Mar30 Dec18 (young terry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 115 8.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GHAALEB out of GITA by SAHM)
 
HAW-9   09/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT STRAW Aug13 Jul26 Jun15 Apr27 Apr06 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of PAPERBACK PRINCESS by NOTEBOOK)
2  PACIFIC VIEW Aug17 Aug03 Jul09 Jun07 May21 (clay pat)FELIX E 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BONITA D'ORO Aug24 Aug13 Aug02 Oct13 Aug26 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MEADOW MYSTIQUE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  GO ON GIRL Aug27 Aug10 Jul26 Jul09 Jun21 (hughes ear)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 30.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of HOLLARFORADOLLAR by BRING THE HEAT)
5  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Aug24 Aug02 Jul26 Jul06 Oct29 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 15.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JULIE DARLIN by SEATTLE FITZ)
6  ANGEL EXPRESS Aug13 Jul19 Jun11 Nov12   (childers )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of HI HANNAH by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  LITTLE HOT MESS Jun14 May20 Apr23     (thompson erin)PEREZ E 120 8.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of FOREVER SUNSHINE by WHITNEY TOWER)
8  MADAM BLUE Jul02         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by HALF OURS out of MAGIC MADAM by YOU AND I)
9  GOLD OAK Aug24 Aug13 Aug02 Jul19   (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIVE OAKS LEGACY by GULCH)
SCR  CHROME RACER Jul26 Jun17 Mar05 Feb11 Jan16 (roussel j)FELIX E 124 3.50    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.