Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (9/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/1)-(9/2/1) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2/1)-(9/2/1)-(9/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (9/2/1)-(4/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(6/3)-(2/4/5) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/8)-(6/3/9/8/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/8)-(6/3/9/8/2) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
MNR-8   WIN (6/3/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/8/2)-(6/3/9/8/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/8/2)-(6/3/9/8/2)-(6/3/9/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMICUS BRIEF Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 May28 Dec14 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00 8% 11.80    
PALACE PRINCE Aug09 Jul23 Jul17 Jul03 Jun27 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
MYSTIFIED Jul05 Jun03 Mar31 Feb23 Jan25 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 6.00    
FOREVER POE Aug16 Jul11 Jul05 Jun06   (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
SCR  SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) Aug02 Jun06 Mar15 Feb09 Jan19 (bourke davi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
TAMANRASSETT Aug15 Jul31 Jul16 Jul05 Jun19 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
PONT DU GARD Jul31 Jun19 May30 May08 Jan17 (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
SCR  CLEAR FOR ACTION May27 Mar15 Mar04 Dec03 Oct12 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00    
STRIKE THE TOP Jul31 Jul10 Jun06 May23 Nov04 (rogers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
MNR-2   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY AMERICAN Jun20 Jun05 May15 Apr24   (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.80    
SCR  FEVOLA Aug13 Jul31 Jun13 May30 May02 (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
HOBE SOUND (IRE) Aug13 Jul24 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 24% 3.10    
TEMPLET Jul13 Jul04 Jun12 May23 May16 (connelly ter)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
PICKFORD Jul31 Jun25 Nov10 Oct11 Aug17 (conto kevin)JURADO EDDIE 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  HARD COUNT Jul31 Jul05 Jun07 May16 Mar12 (bernardini jay )VEGA L 120 6.00    
LIGHT CRUISER Mar07 Feb25 Feb09 Jan30 Jan07 (wolfe greg)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
SEE SPOT RUN Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May30 May16 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 120 6.00    
BLUEBERRY Aug07 May03 Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 120 10.00    
 
MNR-3   08/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY MADISON Jul05 Jun18 Jun06 May21 Apr13 (viands gr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
SCR  LOTTA MOSCATO Jul16 Jun10 May04 Apr10 Jan02 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 8.00    
IMMACULATE HEART Jul26 Jul04 Jun12 May29 May02 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
EVER SO D'WILD Aug07 Jul21 Jun23 May27 Mar23 (mcdonald will)NELSON TYRONE 120 6.00    
GIRO KATE Jul11 Jun06 May09 Dec12 Nov30 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 3.00    
SMOOTH RITHMS May29 Oct23 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  SONG OF INDY Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 Oct24 (rogers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50    
 
MNR-4   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUITCHERSNIVELIN Aug04 Jul26 Jul16 Nov16 Oct16 (snatchko pa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00    
SEMIRAMIS Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 Jun04 (cordero-lopez a)LEON A 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
NOT SHY Aug08 Jul16 Dec11 Nov28 Nov22 (herrington cally)WHITACRE B 120 4.00    
PRECISION PRADO Jun12 Nov30 Nov02 Sep27 Sep07 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 3.50 12% 7.10    
MYRA FLEENER Aug08 Jul19 Jul11 Jun20 Dec06 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50 7% 12.40    
CONNECT IT Jul23 Jun25 Sep29 Sep22 Sep03 (logston chr)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
CONDUTTORE Aug08 Jun10 May20 May03 Mar22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
 
MNR-5   08/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENCING Jul20 Jul11 Jun13 Dec29 Dec08 (johnson l)DIAZ I 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Mar14 Feb14 Dec12 Nov30 Nov22 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 9% 10.70    
SCR  MAMALONA Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 May21 (soto antonio)NELSON TYRONE 120 8.00    
SHARP JUSTICE Aug13 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 May18 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 10.00    
WEDDING CHAPEL Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 (silv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  LOVE TO ZOOM Aug09 Jul26 May12 Mar31 Mar10 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50    
DE PURA SANGRE Aug08 Jul17 Oct12 Oct03 Sep05 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
G MONEY LIV Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 May23 Apr29 (jansen kenny)VEGA L 123 8.00    
 
MNR-6   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODIE Jul14 Jun21 May23 Apr27 Mar13 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.20 64% 0.60    
HIDDEN RULER Jul17 Jul05 May07 Mar15 Feb09 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 9% 9.70    
JULIE'S FERRARI Aug14 Jul26 Jul02 Jun06 May23 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 6.00    
TEN TWENTY NINE Aug08 Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 May16 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL CRUSADER Aug11 Jul21 Jun24 Jun13 May07 (farrior anthon)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00    
KANTPAYTHETOLL Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 May22 May04 (boyd l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  DARK HEDGES Jul16 May14 Apr23 Mar30 Mar09 (patterson ke)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 4.00    
 
MNR-7   08/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRADARI Aug07 Jul24 Jun18 May21 May14 (mcdonald willia)LEON A 120 8.00    
MYRRH Aug08 Jul12 Jun20 May23 May02 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.00    
SCR  DAT DARES GOLD Jun26 May27 May06 Apr15 Mar30 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 3.50    
COWGIRL KIMMIE Jul12 Jul02 May02 Mar13 Feb22 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 4.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  ROMANTIC COMEDY Aug09 Jul07 Jun10 May27 Apr07 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00    
SCR  BIZZY GAL Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 May04 Feb26 (clouston edw)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 12.00    
SCR  SUMMER STORM Aug12 Jul25 Jul05 Jul10 Jun18 (rice anthon)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
SHELLEY'S GEM Jul04 May06 Apr24 Feb02 Jan09 (johnson l)DIAZ I 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
MNR-8   08/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUNNING HERO Aug13 Dec07 Nov27 Nov01   (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 10.00    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of SID'S KID by SMART STRIKE)
BALLOT BOX Jun19 May07 Dec07 Oct09 Sep13 (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
LUTE'S ANGEL Dec29 Dec08 Sep28 Aug10 Aug03 (cordero-lop)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 6.00 24% 3.10    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of DISCREETLY ELUSIVE by DISCREET CAT)
WICKED REVIEW Aug04 Aug26       (larue steve)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RAVE REVIEWS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
LET'S EAT Aug08 Jun30 Nov15 Oct19   (keller ed)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
SPICE CITY         (godsey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of JAZZ IN THE CITY by TEMPLE CITY)
PAPA DEL CIELO Aug13 May20 May06 Apr20 Mar12 (gotera c)GUERERE ANGEL 116 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of QUANIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
PISTOL JERRY         (larue steve)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of DANCE SOMEWHERE by DANCE MASTER)
OFF TO THE RACES Jun17 May21 Mar12 Mar04 Nov14 (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
  (by RACE DAY out of SWEET REVEILLE by SUAVE)
10  MALIBU COWBOY Nov20 Oct28       (cuttino mario)SIMPSON JASON 116 8.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MALIBU MELODY by MALIBU MOON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.