Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(8/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(8/1/6/4)-(4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (8/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/4)-(4/3)-(1/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/5)-(3/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/2)-(6/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/1/3)-(1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(1/3)-(12/4/9/6/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(12/4/9/6/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
BTP-8   WIN (12/4/9/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/4/9/6/3)-(12/4/9/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/4/9/6/3)-(12/4/9/6/3)-(12/4/9/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSTANG WILLIE Aug15 Aug03 Jul22 Jul08 Jun22 (calderon enri)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
1A  UNCAPTURED PULSE Aug01 Jul20 Jul11 Mar28 Mar14 (calderon enri)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 ★    
2  NO COMMISSION Aug09 Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 Mar12 (figueroa ces)MARCANO Y 119 2.50 16% 5.10    
3  VENICE BEACH Jul29 Jun29 May22 Apr27 Nov22 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 3.00    
4  BEACH FRONT Aug12 Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 Jun14 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
5  TOPPING Aug09 Jun23 Jun09 May19 Apr27 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 4.50    
 
BTP-2   08/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTHORITARIAN Jul27 Jul08 Jun03 May25 Feb25 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  ONE LUCKY DAY Aug03 Jul18 Jun07 May22 Apr05 (hernandez rey)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50    
3  NO HANG CHARLIE Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 May05 Mar31 (woodbury judy)AYALA ISAIAS 120 8.00    
4  DRAFT CAPITAL Aug12 Jul27 Feb10 Dec29 Nov30 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENJOY BASEBALL Aug16 Jul31 Jul18 Jul05 Jun11 (vickers r)CORREA L 120 10.00    
6  KNIGHT'S CROSS Jul29 Jul14 May24 Sep21 Mar05 (van thomas)MCKEE J 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS Jun16 Jun07 May31 Apr27 Apr16 (hernandez jav)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00    
8  LUCK OF THE DRAW Jul27 Apr30 Mar24 Feb25 Jan11 (combs bentley)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
9  HOLIDAY DANCER Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 Apr29 Dec14 (march william)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
10  INDOCUMENTADO Aug01 Jul15 Jun21 Jun09 May22 (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
SCR  DAWN WEST Jul27 Jun16 May20 May13 Apr13 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 115 12.00    
 
BTP-3   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILLBILLY LOGIC Aug02 Jul14 Jun20 Jun03 May19 (howard ann)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.00    
2  HENDRIX Aug09 Jul12 May20 May06 Apr28 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 116 3.50    
3  EL GAVILAN Dec28 Nov14 Nov02 Sep08 Jun01 (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 111 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT HURRICANE Aug04 Jul15 Jan21 Dec28 Nov26 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 122 2.50 69% 0.50    
5  NAVY CROSS Jul27 Jun16 May20 May06 Apr14 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 1.80    
 
BTP-4   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEREWEGOIN Aug02 Jun01 Nov12 Oct25 Sep09 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 May18 May04 (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 124 2.50    
3  FIRING RANGE Jul12 Jun17 May22 May11 Apr27 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 3.50    
4  DOWN HOME KITTEN Jul21 Jul08 Jun17 May25 May04 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 5.00    
5  DUDLEY Aug05 Jul19 Jun30 Jun14 May19 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
BTP-5   08/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABITIBI Jul07 Jun11 May04 Apr12 Mar09 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 8.00    
2  QUIERO MAS Aug03 Jul06 Jun16 May11 Apr23 (lobo h)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00 24% 3.30    
3  KING'S LEGACY May06 Feb16 Jan19 Dec21 Oct13 (van thomas)MCKEE J 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
4  DICHOTOMY Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 Mar31 Oct12 (haehn r)OUZTS W 120 1.80    
5  LADY JENNEVIERE Aug12 Mar23 Feb15 Jan21   (pitts dan)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
SCR  SUPER LUCY Aug05 Jun22 May17 Apr28 Mar23 (livers charlie)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Jul22 Jun15 May26 Nov12 Sep23 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  ADMAA Jul12 May15 Mar15 Jan24 Oct31 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
 
BTP-6   08/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH SPEED Jul30 Jul09 May26 May14 Apr22 (delacruz meji)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  SHEZA HOOT Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 (calderon enr)MARCANO Y 119 4.00    
3  ANCIENT BROWN Jul21 Jul10 Jun07 May05 Apr28 (mon)GONZALEZ JESUS 124 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  SHESMYBROKER Aug12 Jul21 Jul12 Jun11 Jun03 (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 119 6.00    
5  HERO OF THE BEST Jun21 Jun03 May24 May05 Mar17 (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00    
6  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Aug10 Jul30 Jun16 May14 Apr22 (cook b)MILLER CHASE 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
BTP-7   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURE WILBURNYA Jul26 Jun23 Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  MY PINK BABY BIRD Aug09 Jul31 May29 Apr30 Apr15 (vickers r)CORREA L 124 5.00    
3  BEEBLEGEE Jul14 Jun15 May26 Mar27 Mar16 (silva fernand)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
4  REYS PINA COLADA Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 Jun08 May25 (lopez carl)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00    
5  SWEETER THAN HONEY Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 Jun07 May25 (lopez carlos )PANAIJO JORGE 124 10.00    
SCR  MISS TREATED STAR Jul14 Mar08 Jan14     (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 2.00    
7  NANA ROZE Aug09 Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 Jun08 (morelos mate)MARCANO Y 119 6.00    
 
BTP-8   08/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Jul22 Jun24 Mar22 Feb26 Feb03 (barnett c)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
2  DAY IN THE COUNTRY Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Feb16 (meredith char)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
3  PANORAMA TRUCK Aug08 Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 May11 (acev)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Jul20 Jul06 Mar15 Feb19 Jan04 (caramori caio)REYES R 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
5  UNDISMAYED Jul05 May31 May04 Apr01 Mar11 (leonard georg)LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00    
6  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Aug01 Mar31 Mar15 Feb09 Jan14 (deegan c)MOJICA JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUPREME SONG Aug03 Jul14 Jun16 May20 Aug30 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 5.00    
8  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Aug01 Jul01 Jun16 May19 May05 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 120 20.00    
9  EDEN PARADISE Aug15 Jul27 Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 (james gerald)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
10  CINDY'S STORM Aug01 Jul12 Jul01 Jun16 May13 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
11  SENSE SHINES Aug03 Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May18 (mcvickers)CORREA L 120 20.00    
12  FUTURE VICTORY Aug01 Jul06 Jun16 May31 May18 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.