Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/6)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/6)-(6/5)-(3/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
IND-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(3/4)-(7/4/10/3/6) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
IND-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(7/4/10/3/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(7/4/10/3/6)-(3/5/6/2/7) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
IND-4   WIN (7/4/10/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/3/6)-(7/4/10/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/3/6)-(7/4/10/3/6)-(7/4/10/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/10/3/6)-(3/5/6/2/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/10/3/6)-(3/5/6/2/7)-(5/7/2/1/3) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
IND-5   WIN (3/5/6/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/2/7)-(3/5/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/2/7)-(3/5/6/2/7)-(3/5/6/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/6/2/7)-(5/7/2/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/2/7)-(5/7/2/1/3)-(8/9/6/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-6   WIN (5/7/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/2/1/3)-(8/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/1/3)-(8/9/6/7)-(2/12/11/4/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (8/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/7)-(8/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/7)-(8/9/6/7)-(8/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/6/7)-(2/12/11/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/12/11/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/12/11/4/6)-(2/12/11/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/12/11/4/6)-(2/12/11/4/6)-(2/12/11/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   07/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Jun15 May20 May04 Apr08 Jan23 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
2  VINTAGE VINYL May24 May08 Apr27 Sep15 Aug08 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  VERSATILE Jun17 Jun07 May25 May11 Mar11 (garcia israe)RAMOS D 122 6.00    
4  MR CREED May06 Apr15 Mar25 Feb12 Feb04 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
5  CHARLIES MEDAL Jun27 May24 Apr26 Apr01 Mar17 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  CONNECT ME Jun19 May25 May15 Apr26 Apr05 (estvanko rich)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FIRING RANGE Jun17 May22 May11 Apr27 Nov02 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 119 10.00    
SCR  WHITE PIGEON May30 May08 Apr27 Jan28 Dec13 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 122 15.00    
 
IND-2   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVENGE TOUR Jun22         (short travis)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  FIVE STAR RUN Jun10 May11       (nihei michell)GILLIGAN JACK 120 1.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FIVE STAR FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  BAYTOWN CONNECTED         (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PARTYIN by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND         (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of BOOM BOOM DYNAMITE by LANGFUHR)
5  MASTER OF DISGUISE Jun22         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by MASTERY out of SENDA by SCAT DADDY)
6  INMYDREAMS Jun10 May29       (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 4.00 65% 0.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of WINTER EVENING by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX Jun24 May29       (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 120 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ENDLESS CHATTER by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
IND-3   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADLY DANCING Jan21 Dec09       (ortiz j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TAMBOZ by TAPIT)
SCR  SHE'S MAGIC Jun03 Apr29 Mar26 Sep18   (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of WILD SUMMER by WILD AGAIN)
3  GIADA Jun15 May02 Mar25     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TASTEFUL by STREET CRY)
4  SUPER LUXE Jun15 Apr19 Mar25 Jan21   (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 19% 4.10    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  UNDOUBTEDLY May28 Apr08 Feb19 Jan05 Nov12 (mott i)SANJUR SANTO 120 5.00    
  (by BLAME out of AND WHY NOT by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  AUNT NELDA May03 Mar23 Feb08     (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SKIPPED by BROKEN VOW)
 
IND-4   07/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUCH CHARLIE         (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of FIT FOR A LADY by FIT TO FIGHT)
2  SHAPE NOTE         (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BURMA ROAD by STREET BOSS)
3  JUSTIN'S BAYTOWN         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of DATTTS LADY DI by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  SAMBALOVER         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GENEROSIDADE by NEDAWI)
5  ANORIA Jun08 May27 Apr28     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 117 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of EXTRAVAGANTLY by LEA)
6  KOLTEN'S PRIDE         (short thomas)RAMOS D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of FIGHT WITH PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE Jun16 May04       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 35% 1.90    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of LITTLE HIDDEN GEM by BODEMEISTER)
8  ROYALLY FLUSHED Jun23         (short t)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
9  ALL YOUR FAULT         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 15.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of WHOS TO BLAME by BLAME)
10  DO YOUR JOB         (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SHAKEDOWN SISTER by PUT IT BACK)
SCR  MAIREAD Jun29 Jun15       (hernandez rey)HUGHES CARLY 117 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STRING SECTION by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  IT'S LAST CALL Jun20         (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 110 8.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of EILA by BENNY THE BULL)
 
IND-5   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPRESS LADY Jun24 Jun07 May16 Feb10 Jan13 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
2  VOODOO JUSTICE Jun13 May29 Apr27 Aug08 Jun23 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 122 6.00 6% 15.70    
3  SMOOTH JUSTICE Jun24 Jun07 May10 Apr27 Nov17 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  SENTIMENTALJOURNEY Jun24 May29 May11 May02 Apr19 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 119 30.00    
5  NIGHTTIME JUSTICE Jun24 Jun07 Oct18 Sep28 Aug16 (mckeever an)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  BETCHA Jun24 Jun07 Apr29 Feb18 Jan27 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
7  MI ESTRELLA Jun24 Jun07 Oct25 Sep19 Sep07 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ELUSIVE JUSTICE Jun13 May18 Apr27 Jan04 Dec07 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 119 30.00    
9  SECOND EXCHANGE Jun20 May31 May11 Nov11 Oct25 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 121 4.50    
10  ROYAL TO BE Jun24 Jun14 May24 May11 Apr26 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 6.00    
 
IND-6   07/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMSEY Jun17         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHANNEL Z Jun21 May30 May15 Mar15 Sep23 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 124 4.50 15% 5.60    
3  BAYOU CHROME Jun21 May30 May09 Dec26 Dec03 (leonard)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOME RUN HANK Jun24 Apr08       (williamso)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
5  POLYGLOT Jun05 Apr28       (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50 45% 1.20    
6  LIAMS LAD Jun20 May13       (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00    
7  KANSAS COMET Jun04 Apr29 Mar02 Feb11 May21 (maker michae)RAMOS D 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
8  AUTO DIAL Jun25         (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00    
9  FEELINGOODBILLYRAY         (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 117 20.00    
 
IND-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHEST PRAISE Jun22 Jun01 May15 Apr19 Nov01 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 30.00    
SCR  GORMLEYS GOT GAME Jun04 Apr29 Feb21 Jan26 Jan12 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
3  SHIPSHAPE Jun22 Jun08 May30 Jan07 Dec16 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 119 30.00    
4  HARD NIGHT Jun22 Jun01 May15 Sep01 Aug16 (fosdick steve)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
SCR  TALE OF FAME Aug02 Jun11 Apr27 Mar31 Feb19 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 1.80    
6  MATERS N TATERS Jun01 Oct20 Sep27 Sep15 Sep08 (matthews rand)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 12.00 19% 4.20    
7  LAKE TAHOE Jun01 May15 Feb09 Jan12 Dec17 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MR MANNING Jun22 May09 Apr27 Nov21 Nov09 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00 31% 2.20    
9  JACKSON STRONG Jun01 May05 Apr19 Mar25 Mar05 (nations ke)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  VIVID VERSE Jun22 Apr26 Mar31 Mar18 Feb17 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50    
 
IND-8   07/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Jun27 Jun07 Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 (jarvis kat)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 30.00    
2  BETYAR AZETS May29 May10 Apr26 Feb19 Jan27 (silva miguel)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  FLAT OUT FREDA Jun15 Jun07 May18 Apr01 Mar24 (love alan)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
4  LUNAR LACE Jun22 Jun01 May11 Aug30   (fosdick steve)PEREZ E 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  NAUTICAL MILE Jun08 May10 Feb02 Dec14 Sep27 (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
6  STUPENDOUS Feb15 Jan26 Dec01 Nov03 Oct13 (riley donna)HUGHES CARLY 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLUE BLUE BAYOU Jun17 Jun08 May16 Aug11 Jul12 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00    
8  A STAR FOR CORA Jul03 Jun06 May10 May03 Mar25 (hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
9  CLOVERTOWNE Jun08 May16 May06 Nov22 Nov02 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 120 4.50    
10  GRACIE'S KITTEN Apr16 Mar10 Oct05 Aug19 Jul17 (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
11  MISS BRIGHTSIDE Jun17 May29 May16 Apr05 Mar18 (estvanko rich)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 10% 8.80    
12  MADRE DI GRANDEZZA Jun17 May29 Aug21 Jul30 Jul12 (ortiz joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  SAY SAYONARA Jun27 May29 May03     (thompson erin)PEREZ E 120 30.00    
SCR  VOGELSANG Jun27 Jun06 May24 May03 Mar25 (ewing michael)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.