Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(6/2/5)-(5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/2)-(8/5/7/3/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(8/5/7/3/9)-(1/5/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-4   WIN (8/5/7/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/3/9)-(8/5/7/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/3/9)-(8/5/7/3/9)-(8/5/7/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/3/9)-(1/5/3)-(4/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/3/2)-(3/7/2/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/7/2/10)-(10/4/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/7/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/10)-(3/7/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/10)-(3/7/2/10)-(3/7/2/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/10)-(10/4/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (10/4/8/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/8/2/1)-(10/4/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/8/2/1)-(10/4/8/2/1)-(10/4/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY US Jun29 Jun14 May24 May13 Apr27 (adams l)REYES R 121 4.50    
LOOKIN ROYAL Jun14 May27 May16 Apr27 Nov24 (huffman pat)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.00 10% 9.50    
SHEZA HOOT Jun22 Jun07 May24 May09 Jan02 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 121 4.00    
PELLETIER Jun22 Jun08 May27 May05 Mar17 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 3.00 13% 6.80    
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Jun21 May13 Apr11 Mar22 Feb27 (haehn r)BUSH V 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
BTP-2   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANY ROSES Jun17 May27 May06 Apr11 Mar25 (chain pearl)COLON H 120 5.00    
BEACH FRONT Jun14 Mar28 Mar09 Feb27 Feb15 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Nov30 Sep14 Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
RAF Jun09 Mar30 Mar16 Jan18 Dec21 (jarvis kathy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50    
ARMY SCOUT Jun11 May19 Apr27 Mar16 Dec08 (esquivel )CORREA L 122 4.00 8% 12.20    
D'MONEY HONEY Jun17 Jun01 May18 Apr27 Mar22 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
BTP-3   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jun11 May13 Jan27 Dec31 Nov17 (andrade hugo)COLON H 120 4.00    
POLE SETTER Apr22 Mar11 Feb04 Jan14 Jun21 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 2.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  DERBY DATE Jun15 Jul08 May27 Apr30 Mar18 (contreras ci)MARCANO Y 115 3.00    
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jun05 Apr16 Mar26 Mar17 Feb22 (salcedo r)CORREA L 120 6.00    
MY BUDDY B Dec13 Nov22 Oct30 Sep01 Aug08 (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 1.80 63% 0.60    
 
BTP-4   07/07/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Jun16 May31 May13 Apr28 Apr03 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 4.50    
ROUGH ENOUGH Jun24 Jun14 Mar05 Feb12 Jan13 (james gerald)REYES R 122 10.00    
SWEET BABY RAY Jun16 May31 Mar30 Feb23 Jan27 (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAMITA LINDA May20 Apr28 Mar24 Mar11 Jan06 (rodriquez re)MARCANO Y 117 20.00    
SOMEBODYLOVESYOU May13 Mar29 Feb27 Apr21   (reed r)MCKEE J 117 3.50 30% 2.30    
BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Jun14 May04 Mar11 Feb22 Jan25 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
MENDHAM MILL Jun14 Apr01 Feb03 Nov20 May01 (reed r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
RENAISSANCE (IRE) Apr01 Mar09 Feb22 Jan26 Oct27 (knippenbe)CORREA L 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
LUCKY SHORE Mar18 Mar02 Feb08 Jan13 Dec22 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SLENDER BETSY Jun14 May18 May05 Mar04 Feb11 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  OPTIMIZME Jun16 Jun01 Jan05 Dec14 Oct24 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 8.00    
 
BTP-5   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA ROSA May25 Feb15 Jan17 Dec20 Nov16 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
STATE OF GRACE Mar15 Feb15 Jan17 Dec12 Nov23 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.50    
CARLY'S FLIGHT Jun17 Jun08 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAYBE FRANKY Jun17 Jun07 May11 Sep27 Aug26 (adams l)REYES R 120 4.00    
NEXT GENERATION Jun17 Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 May10 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 1.80 34% 2.00    
REYS PINA COLADA Jun08 May25 May06 Apr27 Apr05 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 115 8.00    
 
BTP-6   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORNADO BOY Jun23 Jun09 May24 May06 Apr29 (melancon paul)BUSH V 122 8.00    
BRAVO BRAVO Jun08 May14 Apr23 Apr15 Mar26 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.00 13% 6.40    
HIGH POWERED Jun08 May25 Apr29 Mar24 Feb22 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
CAPPY HOUR Jun21 May27 May18 May04 Mar24 (adams l)REYES R 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
NO HANG CHARLIE May05 Mar31 Mar03 Jan29 Dec17 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
MIDNIGHT J J Jun13 May27 May04 Apr25 Mar13 (brownfield claude)OUZTS W 122 4.00    
 
BTP-7   07/07/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL Jan04 Nov13 Sep09 Jun17 May20 (childers van)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 30.00    
HAPPYSECRET Jun10 Jun01 May04 Feb09 Jan05 (alessi james)HESS SARA 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
WRITTEN CONSENT Jun21 May27 May19 Mar21 Mar02 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
I'VE BEEN THINKIN Jun20 May07 Apr05 Nov23   (reed r)MCKEE J 125 5.00    
AWESOME VALOR Jun16 May27 May16 Oct18   (adams l)REYES R 125 6.00    
WITCHING HOUR (FR) Jun16 Jun04 May19 Apr23 Apr06 (danner do)CORREA L 120 3.50    
INNER HARBOR Jun01         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  LASS QUISTMAS         (toye lin)LEZCANO ABEL 125 10.00    
CAPTIVE STAR May12 Apr26 Feb23 Feb08 Jan05 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 120 20.00    
10  DARTIGA Jun17 Mar31 Mar15 Feb08 Dec11 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  DOGWOODS BECCA Jun16 May26 May18 Apr27 Mar23 (scott anthon)MARCANO Y 120 30.00    
SCR  SHEZADADDYSGIRL Jun16 Apr28 Feb18     (anderson sus)TAPARA BRANDON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLAT OUT FAY Jun08 May16 May04 Jan27 Dec30 (blevins bil)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 30.00    
 
BTP-8   07/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELL CURVE Jun23 May27 Apr28 Feb15 Jan11 (bates l)BUSH V 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
ANDY WALKS WITH ME Jun17 Jun10 May24 May11 Apr29 (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PONTI PRIDE Jun17 May22 Apr15 Feb22 Feb11 (west m)AVILES YAN 118 3.50    
THISPOINTINTIME Jun10 Jun03 May26 May18 Feb22 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
GREENSFELDER Jun23 Jun07 May20 May06 Apr01 (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50    
DOWN TO BIZZNESS May27 May18 Feb11 Jan19 Jan06 (waltermir)CORREA L 123 10.00    
WHERE'S LUCKY Jun23 Jun07 Jun01 May11 Apr23 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
FRADY Jun23 Jun03 May11 Mar16 Feb24 (adams l)REYES R 118 12.00 5% 18.80    
MONKEY ZONE Jun24 May27 May18 Apr29 Apr20 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 123 6.00    
10  MONEY PIT Jun23 May27 Apr29 Feb11 Jan21 (hill f)COLON H 123 4.50 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.