Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7)-(8/1/7/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/7)-(8/1/7/2)-(5/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2)-(5/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2)-(5/6/1)-(11/2/5/10/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(11/2/5/10/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(11/2/5/10/7)-(5/1/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-4   WIN (11/2/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/5/10/7)-(11/2/5/10/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (11/2/5/10/7)-(11/2/5/10/7)-(11/2/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/5/10/7)-(5/1/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (11/2/5/10/7)-(5/1/7)-(7/1/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(7/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(7/1/5)-(7/5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(7/5/2/4)-(8/2/1/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(8/2/1/5/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/2/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/5/3)-(8/2/1/5/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/5/3)-(8/2/1/5/3)-(8/2/1/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARM STRONG Jun27 Jun12 Jun05 Sep21 Jan23 (buhrow d)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00    
2  ANOTHER BREEZE Jun14 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep05 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
3  LORD OF LEGENDS Jun14 May17 Apr24 Apr11 Mar20 (buhrow jamie )ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 6% 15.60    
4  MR. MAGICO Oct13 Aug31 Aug14 Aug08 Jul20 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.80 49% 1.10    
6  R BOY BODE Jun14 May23 May09 Apr29 Apr15 (thompson)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
7  CAPTAIN MAD JACK May31 May24 Mar30 Jan18 Dec17 (radosevich sh)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEAVEITALONELARRY Jun14 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep12 (hayes w)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
 
PID-2   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T C GREELEY Jun21 Jun06 May22 Mar24 Mar08 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  REALLY RED Jun19 Feb22 Jan19 Jan04   (schaber debbie)WALES GARY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAGIC BOMB Jun06 May30 May16 Apr29 Apr22 (skawinsk)GALLARDO A 124 2.00    
SCR  SILVER TOKEN Jun19 Jun05 May24 May08 Jul28 (markgraf david)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
SCR  EXXTOP May07 Apr15 Mar30 Mar18 Mar05 (thompson marcus )MARTINEZ W 122 20.00    
6  GET ALONG Jun19 May29 May20 May07 Feb07 (buhrow jam)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00    
7  PUNX Jun19 Jun05 Feb22 Feb04 Oct19 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
8  STRASBOURG Jun12 May29 Apr21 Apr08 Mar25 (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
9  THOUSAND LOVES Jun20 Feb15 Jan15 Dec21 Aug06 (skawinski a)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   07/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING CHARLIE Jun14 Jun05 Sep07 Aug24 Jul25 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  GREY INVASION May31 May15 Nov15 Sep28 Sep15 (lecesse micha)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
3  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Jun12 May30 May17 Apr21 Dec10 (rice kevin)AYALA J 116 2.50    
4  RICHARD HOOTY May29 Oct19 Oct03 Sep05 Aug16 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
5  WHISKEYMAC Jun21 Jun05 May16 Mar31 Mar04 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 118 1.40 64% 0.60    
6  BEACH HOLIDAY Jun14 Jun05 Dec31 Dec09 Oct20 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 122 4.50 8% 11.30    
 
PID-4   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKEN TALK Jun20 Sep07       (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 20.00    
2  KAGERO Jun06 May24 Jul05 Jun12   (fennessy john)WALES GARY 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  BABY BLUE Jun19 May30 May11 Mar29 Feb01 (valdez )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00    
4  LADY AREION Jun20 May30       (connelly t)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 4.00    
5  LIBERTALIA Jun06 May23 Jan08 Dec21 Oct06 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 8.00 5% 18.00    
6  SAINT FOXY Jun19 Jun06 May23     (brooks g)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
7  GOLDEN PHASE Feb17 Feb01 Dec14 Nov23   (stites w)FLORES E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIMI'S GOLD May15 Dec06 Nov01 Oct21   (valdez moises)RIQUELME J 124 20.00    
9  AFTER NOON KISSES Jun06 May23 May03 Apr21 Mar31 (spanabel kell)ROJAS MARTINA 111 15.00    
10  GIO'S MY DAD Jun20 Jun06 Dec04 Nov23 Nov16 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  LT. LYDIA Jun20 Jun07 May15 Jul26 Jun08 (rice kevin)BECKMAN ALICE 111 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
PID-5   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPER MANNERS Jun14 May22 Apr19 Feb03 Jan04 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
2  QUEEN OF CHILL Jun14 May24 Mar24 Feb22 Jan11 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00    
SCR  WATERLOO SUNSET Jun07 May17 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 10.00    
4  SOUTH HOUSE May22 May04 Mar31 Mar03 Feb09 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
5  CHEROKEE CHATTER Jun13 May22 Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  HALF BIRTHDAY Jun06 Oct18 Oct10 Sep27 Sep08 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 3.50    
7  BREEZY CONNECTION Jun12 May22 May15 May07 Mar16 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
PID-6   07/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS BOBBY May03 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 10.00 22% 3.60    
2  REGAL SPEAKER Jun12 May16 Mar05 Feb19 Jan13 (rogers mich)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
3  CHIC N WILBUR Jun20 May29 Oct25 Oct13 Sep21 (radosevich sh)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
SCR  YADI Jun27 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep21 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 8.00    
5  ON THE COUCH Jun21 Jun06 May30 Feb25 Feb11 (barron rory)WALES GARY 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  GREG'S HONOR Jun13 May29 Feb22 Jan29 Jan13 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
7  SIDE TRACKED Jun13 Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug30 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  FLIGHT TO PARADISE Jun21 Jun12 May23 Oct11 Sep19 (judd cassa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
 
PID-7   07/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN Jun12 Apr13 Mar30 Feb04 Jan02 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 10.00    
2  GET EVEN Jun12 May15 Apr21 Feb22 Jan29 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  TIZ LUCKY Jun19 May30 May08 Oct17 Sep26 (miller-saul b)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
4  JO JO HANS Jun20 May23 Mar22 Sep19 Sep07 (rojas eduard)AYALA J 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
5  TEMPLET Jun12 May23 May16 Oct25 Oct11 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  AMERICA'S GUEST Jun14 May24 Apr22 Mar17 Jan21 (wismer s)WALES GARY 116 8.00    
7  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Jun12 Mar09 Feb09 Jan13 Dec22 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
PID-8   07/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAD PERFORMER Jun06 May09 Mar19 Mar01 Feb15 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 116 8.00 11% 8.50    
2  BLUE NEITH Jun05 Mar18 Mar03 Feb15 Feb01 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 115 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  FAST FASHION Jun07 May17 Jul07 Jun23 Jun16 (morrell )MARTINEZ A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIGHTNING ROUND Jun14 Jun07 Oct20 Oct12 Oct04 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
5  LISA MARIE May29 Oct24 Oct11 Sep14 Aug27 (potts g)WALKER M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRST IMPRESSION Jun13 May16 May02 Feb18 Jan31 (eidschun gregory)CCAMAQUE M 122 4.00    
7  LADY YELLEN May31 May22 May08 Apr25 Oct26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
8  SIGN AND SEAL Jun14 Apr26 Apr01 Oct24 Oct10 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
9  STELLARATOR May21 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 6.00    
10  HOT HEELS Mar24 Feb15 Jan20 Dec11 Nov09 (fletche)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.