Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (7/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8)-(7/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/6/1/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2/7)-(3/6/1/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2/7)-(3/6/1/2/7)-(3/6/1/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (6/11/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/11/12)-(6/11/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/11/12)-(6/11/12)-(6/11/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-10   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEVEL UP Jun03 May20 Apr27 Apr13 Nov26 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  DAD'S ON A ROLL Jun16 Jun03 May13 Apr23 Apr07 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 7% 14.00    
3  RECUSED Jun11 Jul08       (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
4  SARATOGA SKY Jun03 Feb27 Nov21 Nov09 Oct17 (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 123 12.00    
5  STORMANDY Jun03 May11 Apr15 Mar12 Feb17 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00    
SCR  EAST SIDE Jun03 May11       (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.00    
SCR  RIP IT Mar25 Jan27 Dec17 Dec09 Oct30 (haughton donno)TORRES JOMAR 121 30.00    
8  RUNNIN' BLOCK Jun03 May06 Feb03 Dec31 Dec11 (ciamei matth)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  FLINTSHIRE'S ROCK May19 Jun17       (kles)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00    
 
MTH-2   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSCAR GAZE May14 Apr29 Apr15     (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 34% 2.00    
2  TURN ON THE CHARM May27 Mar29 Mar08 Feb03 Jan11 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 116 2.50    
3  PROUD MULE Jun02 May13 Mar25 Dec31 Oct28 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 116 4.50    
4  SISTREN May27 Apr29 Mar29 Mar01 Feb08 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 109 3.00    
5  ATHENA'S WISDOM Jun04 May05 Apr19     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  SWEET FURY May31 Jan31 Dec20 Nov09 Oct12 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT MISTRESS Apr21 Apr05 Mar05 Feb03   (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 4.50    
2  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Mar03 Feb08 Dec30 Dec10 Nov06 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 116 2.50 11% 7.90    
3  HOLY SKULL Apr22         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
4  BET ON DRAMA Jun14 Jun05 May25 May03 Apr05 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 11% 8.20    
5  SASSY ANNIE         (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 109 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROWDY CACKALACKY May28 Sep04 Aug20 Jul24 Jun25 (berrios manuel)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
7  LONDON LADY Jun18 May28 May05 Apr21 Apr10 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
MTH-4   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEMON CREEK LOUIE May29 Nov21 Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00    
2  PEARLS AND HEELS Jun02 May20 Apr17 Apr03 Mar15 (martin f)JUAREZ NIK 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN CARDO Jun02 Mar31 Feb10 Dec20 Nov29 (volpe john)SOSA LAUREANO 114 30.00    
4  HAIG POINT May30 Mar25 Feb18 Feb02 Jan21 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
5  TAP FIRST Apr16 Apr07 Mar11 Feb11 Jan29 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50    
6  BOX OF CHOCOLATES Jun09 May17 Apr01 Feb12 Jan21 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00 7% 12.40    
7  TETRAGRAMMATON Jun10 Jun04 Apr02 Feb17 Dec11 (russo fra)VARGAS A 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  RAINBOW TROUT Jun02 Mar27 Feb28 Feb08 Jan10 (simon linda)COTTO L 116 15.00    
 
MTH-5   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Tale Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEATHGUARD Mar26 Mar16 Feb18     (lerman s)JUAREZ NIK 116 4.00    
  (by SAXON WARRIOR out of EVIDENTLY by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  DREAMING OF TOGA May27 Apr16 Mar15 Feb19   (sacco gr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GOLD ANKLET by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  SWAN LAKE Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar26 Feb11 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 122 2.00    
  (by FORT LOUDON out of BALLET DIVA by HEAR NO EVIL)
SCR  PLAYGROUND LEGEND May28 Apr26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PALUXY PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  OCEAN CITY May31 Apr20 Mar26 Feb18   (russell brit)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 1.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNICORN GIRL by A. P. FIVE HUNDRED)
6  IMPETUD Jun02 May21 Mar27 Feb01 Jan03 (avila carlo)CASTILLO A 116 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CALAIS by A.P. INDY)
7  POWER IN NUMBERS Jun02 Apr02 Feb18 Jan14   (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 51% 1.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
8  IT'S VIPER May27 May14 Mar11 Jan29 Jan14 (russell t)NO RIDER 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MORNING STAR by SKY MESA)
9  ARREBATO Jun09 Apr08 Mar11 Feb24 Feb12 (chatterpaul naipau)NO RIDER 116 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of OAKS LILY by BADGE OF SILVER)
 
MTH-6   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCH THE SMOKE Jun03 May13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun19 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  AMITY ROAD May31 May20 May05 Mar28 Mar11 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 15.00    
3  TRASH TALKER Jun03 Apr20 Mar19 Apr07 Mar05 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
4  COMMANDING GENERAL Jun11 Jun03 May19 Mar25 Mar11 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GREAT KING (FR) May21 Feb22 Jan07 Dec16 Nov06 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 120 3.00 68% 0.50    
6  JUDGE DAVIS Jun02 Apr13 Feb25 Jan13 Nov05 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 6% 16.30    
7  MY HARBORS DREAM Apr21 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
 
MTH-7   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED DEPUTY Jun10 May21       (sacco gr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of LEONIA LADY by TOUCH GOLD)
2  WORD FOR WORD Jun04 Oct22 Sep29 Sep03 Aug14 (nunn douglas)OLVER MADISON 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WAY WITH WORDS by SEFAPIANO)
3  GO TO THE KINGDOM Jun04 Mar11       (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of VADA by MORE THAN READY)
4  SOCIAL D Jun04 May21       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CH CH CHERRY BOMB by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  CHANGING THE KARMA Jun04 May14 Nov29 Oct14 Sep15 (simon linda)GOLIBRZUCH S 123 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  VESPARO Jun04 Oct22       (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
7  ISLAND SPIRIT Jun10 May21 Oct22 Aug13 Jul22 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
8  GIANT JAMES Oct08 Aug28 Jul31     (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 123 8.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ROMANOVA by BURNING ROMA)
9  GROUCH Jun10 May21       (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 5.00    
  (by HEY CHUB out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
10  JERSEY PERFECTION Jun10 May21 Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 (nunn douglas)RENDON JAIRO 123 8.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of P J HOOKER by HOOK AND LADDER)
 
MTH-8   06/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYSTEMIC CHANGE May28 Apr23 Mar10 Feb02 Dec15 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  GREATHEART May14 Apr22 Mar19 Feb25 Feb11 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50    
3  KOBE B Jun09 May17 Apr25 Mar28 Jan25 (pino v)JUAREZ NIK 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  IRISH MEADOW Jun11 May21 Nov24 Sep17 Aug28 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARPOON HARRY May27 May05 Apr16 Mar31 Mar08 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 6.00 6% 16.70    
6  LOGICO Jun04 Apr30 Apr09 Oct18 Sep20 (dobles eliza)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
7  KING OF HOLLYWOOD May27 Apr08 Mar24 Feb15 Jan25 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
 
MTH-9   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC8 FAST Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREAT BRITAIN May29 May05 Apr08 Mar18 Feb26 (david carl)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 10.00    
SCR  WICKED FINN May24 Apr22 Apr02 Jan29 Jan07 (kelly blake)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING May19 Apr13 Mar25 Mar08 Feb25 (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) May24 Mar25 Feb24 Jan01 Jul17 (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE CURLY May29 Dec22 Oct21 Sep04 Aug07 (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
6  ROUGH SEA May29 May06 Apr19 Mar18 Feb01 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  COMEDIC TIMING May29 Oct15 Sep24 Aug29 Aug12 (gomez pom)RODRIGUEZ A 117 20.00    
SCR  SIX MINUS Apr27 Feb03 Jan01 Oct29 Sep05 (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00    
SCR  INITFORTHELOVE May29 Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
SCR  SANDY LANE KITTEN May29 Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 (cruz jesu)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
11  BODE'S MAKER May24 May06 Aug07 Jul03 Jun08 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 32% 2.20    
12  CARAMEL CHIP Jun11 May04 Apr12 Mar23 Feb25 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
13  LOOKIN AT ROSES May24 Apr22 Apr01 Mar12 Feb02 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00    
14  READY TO FLY May29 May14 Apr05 Sep24 Sep11 (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 117 8.00    
 
MTH-10   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT BERRA May28 May14 Apr16 Mar03 Jan12 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 10% 9.30    
2  ZIPPY ZINNY Jun17 May27 May05 Apr21 Mar31 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
3  HURRY UP DEAR Jun17 May27 Apr15 Apr01 Feb08 (wilson ton)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
4  NANASQUAN May28 Mar08 Feb10 Dec27 Dec07 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 108 6.00    
5  MO TOWN ANNIE Jun17 May28 May03 Apr14 Apr01 (dini mike)FERRER C 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
6  SHAYMYNAME May27 Apr20 Apr02 Mar05 Nov06 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 4.00    
7  DUSTED Jun11 Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Jul02 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 123 15.00 6% 14.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.