Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - May 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/3/1)-(7/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(6/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(6/1/5)-(11/12/6/1/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(11/12/6/1/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(11/12/6/1/10)-(5/1/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-5   WIN (11/12/6/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/12/6/1/10)-(11/12/6/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/12/6/1/10)-(11/12/6/1/10)-(11/12/6/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/12/6/1/10)-(5/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/12/6/1/10)-(5/1/4)-(6/8/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(6/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(6/8/10)-(8/9/3/10/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-7   WIN (6/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/10)-(6/8/10/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/10)-(6/8/10/7/3)-(6/8/10/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/10)-(8/9/3/10/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
IND-8   WIN (8/9/3/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/10/11)-(8/9/3/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/10/11)-(8/9/3/10/11)-(8/9/3/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE KANSAS Oct28 Oct15 Sep24 Aug22 Jul21 (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 122 5.00    
2  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Apr26 Mar15 Feb23 Jan30 Jan11 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  MACHO ALEGRE Nov11 Oct17 Sep08 Aug22 Jun30 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
SCR  CACAHUETE Apr25 Dec14 Nov08 Sep30 Sep07 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.50    
5  TOSS OF FATE Apr01 Mar18 May18 May03 Feb26 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  UPHOLD Apr25 Nov15 Aug17 Aug03 Jul14 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
IND-2   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAYA ALLDAYA May06 Apr18 Nov22 Nov10   (paquette raym)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  FAR'S LAST ONE Apr25 Feb18 Jan26 Jan01 Nov23 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 117 4.00    
3  GOLDEN DAME Apr18 Jul12       (nance jonathan)SANJUR SANTO 124 3.50 14% 6.40    
4  LITTLE JUDY B Apr28 Mar10       (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 43% 1.30    
5  WOO WOO GIRL Apr25 Nov23 Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 114 2.50    
6  FLAT OUT FAY May04 Jan27 Dec30 Oct07   (blevins bill)ROMERO GREGORY 124 6.00    
7  PINK ROBE Apr25 Jan26 Dec29 Dec07 Nov02 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00    
 
IND-3   05/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Apr27 Apr12 Mar30 Mar02 Feb07 (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00 7% 12.90    
2  MERLIN'S SONG Mar18 Feb24 Jan27 Dec03 Oct10 (foster eric)PARKER L 122 15.00    
3  LOOKIN FOR LOKI Apr14 Apr01 Feb26 Jan14 Dec03 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
4  CASANOVA KITTEN Apr29 Feb09 Jan28 Dec21 Nov06 (ginter ra)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 ★    
5  PURE PANIC Apr16 Mar18 Feb25 Jan28 Dec31 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
6  TRIKITRAKI Apr19 Mar24 Feb04 Jan07 Nov25 (davis j)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
7  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) Nov26 Oct20 Oct07 Aug23 May15 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.40 49% 1.00    
8  STAR OF KODIAK Apr13 Mar12 Dec31 Nov26 Oct22 (quinonez )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
SCR  LIKE A SALTSHAKER May14 Mar10 Jan01 Dec16 Nov09 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50    
 
IND-4   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLET EXPRESS Nov17 Oct31 Oct12 Sep14 Sep01 (leonard )RODRIGUEZ A 117 2.50 16% 5.20    
2  EXPRESS LADY Feb10 Jan13 Nov17 Nov03 Oct17 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 4.50    
3  HOOSIER PREMIUM May03 Nov21 Nov03 Oct17 Sep21 (herrell ron )BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
4  LOVE DRUNK Nov23 Oct31 Oct06 Aug24 Aug10 (matthews ra)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 12.00    
5  BREAKUP WITH TITOS Nov17 Oct17 Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 (richardville)RAMOS D 122 3.50 10% 8.60    
6  AMAZINGNESS Nov17 Oct29 Oct19 Oct12 Sep19 (patrick gary)PARKER L 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
IND-5   05/16/2023 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC BEAUTY Apr25 Mar16 Aug10 Aug02 Jul16 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
2  MY JO JO Apr23         (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
3  CLOVERTOWNE May06 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12   (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00    
4  BLUE BLUE BAYOU Aug11 Jul12 Jun23 Jun01   (wisner )DE CRUZ 124 30.00    
5  LIL BIT OF CAPITOL Apr28 Mar23 Feb25 Jan28   (pittman bon)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 15.00    
6  MISS BRIGHTSIDE Apr05 Mar18 Feb09 Jan20 Dec28 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  POINT OF INFINITY May08 Mar23 Feb08 Aug17   (bright derric)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00    
8  RED ROULETTE Mar16         (thomas jonath)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  LITTLE GIA Apr09 Mar31 Aug14 Jul29   (vaccarezz)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
10  CORTADO Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 Dec28 Dec02 (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
11  COURTING WAR Mar18 Feb09 Jan12 Dec30 Dec02 (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
12  MIDNIGHT MEGHAN Mar30 Mar02 Feb15     (west w)PARKER L 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  MIDNIGHT XO Mar18 Feb18 Jan26 Jan11 Dec11 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
SCR  KAYLEE LOU Nov19         (caramori caio)PARKER L 120 10.00    
 
IND-6   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JINGLE Apr23 Apr14 Mar31 Mar16 Feb05 (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 122 1.80 14% 6.00    
2  GUARD Jan15 Dec11 Nov23 Nov08 Oct06 (lauer mic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
3  KING SOCIAL Jan14 Oct25 Sep26 Sep07 Jul20 (wisner j)PRESCOTT R 119 12.00    
4  ZOLO Apr26 Sep13 Aug03 Jul07 Jun01 (duran antonio)PARKER L 122 8.00 11% 7.90    
5  TURBO SIX O Nov23 Nov15 Oct18 Sep28 Sep06 (eggleston)BERMUDEZ E 119 1.60 50% 1.00    
6  BELLA'S PRAYER Apr18 Jan22 Nov23 Nov03 Oct13 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 4.50    
 
IND-7   05/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN ROYAL Apr27 Nov24 Nov17     (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
2  CINDERELLA STORY Apr26 Mar30 Mar15 Feb08 Jan01 (paquette )BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00    
3  CAUMSETT Feb22         (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00 ★    
SCR  NORA'S STAR Mar23 Jun20 May17 May07 Apr26 (elliott michelle)PARKER L 119 30.00    
SCR  IF YOU PLEASE Mar30 May03 Apr08 Mar16   (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00    
6  RE ANTE Nov09 Oct12 Sep21 Sep09 Aug25 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 59% 0.70    
7  FREDERICIA Apr19 Feb22 Jan05 Oct30 Aug28 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00 ★    
8  LIVY B Apr16 Mar15 Feb16 Jan19 Oct14 (leonard george)SANJUR SANTO 122 3.50 10% 8.60    
9  FRACING HOT Mar18 Feb04 Dec28 Nov01 Sep27 (reed r)FELIX E 122 6.00    
10  LUMINIST Apr16 Mar30 Mar18 Mar02 Feb01 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  LIGEIA Apr26 Mar15 Feb24 Feb08 Jan22 (granitz)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
 
IND-8   05/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CREMA Sep14 Aug28       (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ISABEL'S ON IT by DUBAWI)
2  CORNER KICK Feb26 Dec15 Nov16     (devaux cherie)PARKER L 120 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TRUE ELEGANCE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  MORE THAN A DIVA Apr01 Mar02 Dec11 Oct22 Sep01 (lobo pa)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DIVA STYLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  GRANATO         (beckman wh)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAMARACK GAL by DISCREET CAT)
5  LADY EVELYN CAN Jul31 Jul09 Apr21     (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
6  WICKED FROST Apr25 Mar31 Dec07 Oct26 Sep14 (greenhill je)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SPOKEN NOT BROKEN by BROKEN VOW)
7  AWESOME VALOR Oct18         (hernandez rey)MCENTEE GRACE 124 30.00    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of SISTER TO THE NTH by ECTON PARK)
8  VIDEO PRINCESS Apr27 Sep02 Aug20     (morey wil)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of PRINCESS PHARAOH by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  MURAL         (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of POLITICAL ACT by POLITICAL FORCE)
10  NO NO NO NEVER (IRE)         (reed r)FELIX E 120 5.00 6% 17.20    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LLEW LAW by VERGLAS (IRE))
11  POINT WELL TAKEN Apr23 Mar31 Mar04 Dec09 Oct18 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00 5% 17.70    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
12  BLOSSOM DIVA         (galindo-torres c)NAVAS YOEL 113 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JERRY'SHONEYCAROL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  GRACE CANDY Mar02 Feb03 Jan20 Dec05 Oct28 (caramori edua)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LILLY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.