Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - April 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(2/5)-(2/3/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/7/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/7/1/8)-(2/5/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/3/8)-(9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/9/6)-(2/3/8/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(9/4)-(2/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/4)-(9/4/8/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/4)-(9/4/8/6/1)-(9/4/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/4)-(2/3/4)-(1/8/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/5/7)-(2/3/4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/8/3/7)-(3/10/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7/6)-(1/8/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/3/7)-(3/10/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/7)-(3/10/8/9)-(2/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/10/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/8/9)-(3/10/8/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/8/9)-(3/10/8/9/2)-(3/10/8/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/8/9)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/10/8/9)-(2/7)-(4/2/9/10) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(4/2/9/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/2/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/10)-(4/2/9/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/10)-(4/2/9/7/10)-(4/2/9/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Mar30 Mar18 Feb25 Feb15 Dec01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
2  ORANGEBURG Mar02 Jan27 Jan12 Nov23 Nov16 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  S S ALASKAN CRUZ Mar18 Mar02 Jan27 Dec10 Nov30 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50    
4  NICE BUT NAUGHTY Feb23 Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 (jackson a)HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00 ★    
5  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Mar30 Mar10 Feb01 Dec17 Nov23 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 10.00    
6  HILLBILLY ROCK Mar18 Feb23 Feb09 Jan11 Dec08 (atkins )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
7  RED HOT TODDY Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Sep29 Aug19 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80 31% 2.30    
8  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan04 Dec17 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 118 15.00    
 
CT-2   04/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL APPEAL (GER) Apr01 Mar18 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.60 ★    
2  VEGAS PRINCESS Mar18 Jan11 Nov18 Nov06 Oct17 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00 65% 0.50    
3  MARLEESBEEBEE Mar18 Jan18 Dec01 Jun18 May23 (bowman d)BAEZ M 115 30.00    
4  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Mar23 Mar02 Feb24 Feb08 Jan18 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
5  I SHALLBE RELEASED Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 Jan20 Nov18 (hurley jack)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 7% 13.50    
6  DEREKA'S BLUFF Nov11 Oct26 May25 May11 Apr28 (venham d)CECIL Y 124 5.00    
7  LET'S DO THIS Mar11 Feb04 Jan26 Nov24 Nov04 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 10.00 ★    
8  POWER SONDE Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 Aug25 (bourne j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00 ★    
9  A BLONDE THING Mar18 Feb16 Jan18 Dec16 Nov30 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 12.00    
 
CT-3   04/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMING JACK Mar17 Feb22 Jan27 Jan04 Nov26 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
2  BETTER BOOGIE Mar17 Jan28 Jan07 Nov12 Oct28 (hanagan g)BOCACHICA O 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  BIG HAMBONE Mar30 Mar09 Jan25 Dec16 Nov26 (lee a)CECIL Y 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  BARNSTORM Mar16 Apr22 Feb25 Feb02   (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
5  BUCKED TOOTH Feb22 Jan06 Nov19 Oct28 Oct05 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 117 12.00    
6  AWESOME BEACH Jan27 Dec21 Jun09 Mar05 Feb02 (walters david )MONTANO JOSE 124 4.00 ★    
7  SHACKLED Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan06 May05 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
8  BARRY KARAFIN BETS Jun02 May12 Apr21 Mar23 Mar03 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 18.20    
9  WARRIOR'S ESTATE Mar16 Jan27 Dec16 Nov16 Oct29 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.50 ★    
 
CT-4   04/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST HAVE FAITH         (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 ★    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AWESOME MARKIZA by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  S S FRONTIER ANGEL Mar16 Feb24 Jan21 Jan06   (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HONKY TONK ANGEL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  ODINA Feb11 Feb04 Jan18 Jan06 Dec02 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUMELLE SPRINGS by MORE THAN READY)
4  LOVE OF GRACE Mar17 Feb16 Jan26     (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 8% 11.80    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of OFF THE SCREEN by FLOWER ALLEY)
5  S S CASINO GIRL Mar23 Feb16       (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 124 20.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of SANDMAN'S GIRL by MONTBROOK)
6  SNEAKY LYNK Mar17 Feb24 Feb08 Jan26   (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 124 8.00 ★    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  CLOUD MOVER Mar17 Feb08       (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SCARLETT D'HEREA by DEHERE)
8  SMOKIN LADY Mar17 Feb16 Jan26 Jan06   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 ★    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
9  JUBASLILBALLERINA Mar09 Feb16 Jan06     (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 124 1.80 68% 0.50    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
CT-5   04/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSSIPING Mar30 Feb22 Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 (conn li)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
2  R LOVE ON THE RUN Feb17 Sep30 Aug21 Aug06 Jul09 (grullo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
3  MI YAYIS Mar16 Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 Dec09 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  K K CAN Mar16 Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  BET THE QUEEN Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 ★    
6  SHANIA SEA Mar16 Mar01 Feb01 Dec20 Nov09 (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
7  SISTER'S DUTY Mar17 Feb22 Jan29 Dec08 Nov27 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 2.50 ★    
8  GRAM'S GAL Feb17 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 15.00    
9  QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Feb15 Dec17 Dec02 Nov05 Sep24 (cipriano ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
 
CT-6   04/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of SECRET TRACKER by CIMARRON SECRET)
2  FAR MORE Mar01 Jan18 Nov24 Nov03   (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 126 20.00    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  BOSES MADCHEN         (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 116 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by MR. PRANKSTER out of CHICA MALA by SIENTE EL TRUENO)
4  PHANTOM QUEEN Mar16 Jan18 Dec15     (greaves verno)THORPE DARIUS 126 5.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of CLAQUE by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  LAURA'S GRAND Mar23 Mar01 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (pyke joseph)BAEZ M 119 30.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of GRAND NAJMAH by GRAND REWARD)
6  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Mar01 Jan11 Nov03 Oct06 Sep22 (scott a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 4.50 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of KNOBIE by RACE ON GREEN)
7  LADY ALDRIN         (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 116 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by ALDRIN out of WEARY BLUES by MELODISK)
8  OWLHOOT         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by ALDRIN out of CAT O' NINE TAILS by PRIZED)
9  LADY GANGSTER Mar16 Jan18 Jan01 Dec15 Dec04 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 126 5.00    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
10  TAPTAP Mar01 Nov24 Nov03 Oct06 Sep22 (pyke joseph)LEWIS M 119 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CT-7   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINE TO HOLD Mar03 Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec14 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00    
2  FUTILE Mar23 Mar03 Feb08 Jan27 Jan11 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ F 124 15.00 ★    
3  SAN ANTONE Mar16 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Dec18 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 52% 0.90    
4  ONE MORE FACTOR Mar17 Feb24 Feb12 Jan25 Jan07 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
5  TWEET THIS Mar17 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec10 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
6  CHARITABLE SPENNY Mar17 Feb23 Jan28 Jan04 Dec10 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 126 20.00    
7  ROYAL CRUSADER Feb23 Feb01 Jan22 Jan11 Dec11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00    
8  ELVIRUS Mar11 Feb24 Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 9% 10.10    
9  JAMMIN STILL Apr01 Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HEARTNESS Mar11 Dec28 Nov24 Oct19 Oct08 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
 
CT-8   04/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO COURAGEOUS Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 Nov16 Oct01 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 ★    
2  AMIDSHIPS Mar17 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Oct29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  DAN THE MAN CAN Sep09 Jul14 Jun17 May19 Apr28 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
SCR  KHAKI JACK Mar15 Feb17 Dec09 Nov16 Nov01 (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 122 4.50 6% 15.40    
5  ROCKET APPEAL Mar17 Feb17 Jan26 Jan12 Dec09 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
SCR  LANTAU Jul15 Jul03 Jun11 May20 Apr21 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  FIBER STRONG Mar17 Jan12 Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 8.00 15% 5.80    
8  KIDMAN KERRY Feb25 Jan24 Nov01 Oct18 Sep24 (whylie herold)SIMPSON JASON 118 12.00    
9  SHOWTIME CAT Mar17 Dec30 Oct22 Sep24 Sep06 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
 
CT-9   04/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIT BUT FAT Mar16 Feb22 Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
2  WIDGET FACTORY Mar16 Jan14 Nov30 Oct13 Sep30 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
3  MAJESTIC SEAS Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 Jan13 Oct28 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00    
4  FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL Mar13 Feb23 Jan11 Dec21 Dec07 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
5  TANELEER Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 Aug20 Aug04 (raymond donov)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
6  MOJAC KAT Mar25 Mar05 Feb08 Jan27 Dec18 (walters henry)ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00    
7  BERHANU Mar03 Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 Dec27 (albright geo)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 ★    
8  NO FOOLING DUDE Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 Nov23 Nov14 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 115 10.00    
9  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Feb22 Feb08 Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 8.00 6% 14.50    
10  IMPETUOUS Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Nov30 Oct21 (comi ralph )RAMGEET R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LONGTAIL Mar17 Mar03 Dec30 Dec14 Sep26 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.