Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/5/8)-(6/3/5/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(2/5/6/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(2/5/6/10)-(1/4/7/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/5/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/10)-(2/5/6/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/10)-(2/5/6/10/1)-(2/5/6/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/6/10)-(1/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/10)-(1/4/7/2)-(7/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2)-(7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(7/2/8)-(5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/8/5/3)-(7/2/8/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8)-(5/3)-(8/9/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(8/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(8/9/1)-(7/9/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/1)-(8/9/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/9/1)-(8/9/10/1)-(8/9/10/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/9/1)-(7/9/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1)-(7/9/6/8)-(2/6/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/8)-(7/9/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/8)-(7/9/6/8/4)-(7/9/6/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/6/8)-(2/6/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/8)-(2/6/9/5)-(10/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/5/4)-(2/6/9/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/9/5)-(10/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (10/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/2)-(10/1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/2)-(10/1/2/4/7)-(10/1/2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T STOP MAXEY Feb16 Dec21       (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
SCR  SCREAMING JEREMY Mar02 Feb14       (poole c)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
3  BUY HERE PAY HERE Mar02 Feb08 Jan14     (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Mar04 Feb16 Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL null      
5  TAKE AIM Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 Dec09 Nov25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 ★    
6  BABY BULLDOG Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec08 Nov17 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec09 Nov25 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
8  ONLY GET'N BETTER Feb18 Feb01 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 118 12.00 ★    
 
CT-2   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MIRACLE MAN Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 Dec17 Dec09 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00 ★    
2  HEARTNESS Dec28 Nov24 Oct19 Oct08 Sep22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  FOREVER THE BOSS Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 Dec01 Oct26 (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
4  POLITICAL DECISION Feb22 Feb02 Dec14 Nov24 Nov11 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
5  ITS OVER Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec02 Oct28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
6  WE B SHACKIN Feb04 Nov17       (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 5.00 9% 9.50    
7  CHAMBO Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 May29 May05 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00    
8  MASTER YOO Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec16 Dec10 (downie )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 50.00    
9  MOUNTAIN TIME Feb15 Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 20.00    
10  SPUNTACULAR Dec02 Nov03 Oct04 Sep14 Jul11 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   03/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 (morrell ju)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  ALPHA CHI RHO Feb10 Jan26 Dec13 Nov23 Feb21 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
3  TRINGALE Jan26 Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 Oct06 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
4  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 Nov10 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  FLATTER ME PLEASE Mar01 Dec22 Nov29 Aug02 Jul13 (hayes leland)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 6% 15.30    
6  ELVIRUS Feb24 Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 Nov13 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
7  FIRE DOWN BELOW Jan27 Dec27 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
8  GALLANT GOLD Feb05 Jan27 Jan06 Dec18 Nov14 (salzman john)LEWIS M 115 3.50    
 
CT-4   03/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGN ON AND ON Feb10 Feb02 Jan12 Nov19 Oct19 (huet k)LEWIS M 115 8.00    
2  COACH RUBE Feb01 Jan21 Jan05 Dec09 Nov03 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
3  MANAROLA Mar01 Jan28 Dec09 Oct08 Sep16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 ★    
4  AKEMI Feb14 Jan17 Jan03 Dec14 Nov23 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00    
5  COLLEGE KID Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 Nov02 Oct08 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 ★    
6  SPARKLE SPRINKLE Feb17 Jan15 Dec09 Nov02 Sep30 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.00    
7  SPEAK YOUR MIND Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Oct29 Sep11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
8  HIPNOTIZADA Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 Aug25 (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 15.00 6% 15.40    
 
CT-5   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADE TREE CORNER Feb18 Jan06       (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
2  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Feb17 Jan26 Dec17 Dec06 Nov14 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00 ★    
3  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Feb17 Jan05 Nov30 Nov05 Oct19 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 3.50 6% 15.20    
4  JUBAY Feb15 Jan06 Dec17     (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 15.00    
5  WATCHING SNOW FLY Jan26 Jul08 Jun02 May11 May04 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 126 3.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  ROCKIN CHAIR Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09   (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.00 61% 0.60    
7  MONKEY WRENCH Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Nov30 Nov09 (barahona isaac)MONTANO JOSE 126 10.00 ★    
8  COLONIAL ROAD Feb17 Jan28 Jan05 Dec17 Nov26 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 8.00    
 
CT-6   03/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAG HARBOR Feb08 Dec14 Oct14 Sep23 Aug04 (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARK DID IT Feb18 Feb01 Jan19 Jan07 Nov24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 12.00    
3  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Feb17 Jan06 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
4  UNCAPTURED KING Jan27 Dec09 Oct29 Oct08 Sep11 (murdock stephen)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
5  CLOSE THE CASE Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Nov24 Sep29 (reynolds joa)LEWIS M 115 12.00    
6  ALLEN CAN DO IT Feb24 Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 Nov12 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
7  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Feb23 Feb01 Jan19 Jan11 Nov24 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
8  LATE IN THE GAME Feb18 Jan07 Dec14 Nov11 Oct26 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
9  ROYAL THUNDER Feb22 Feb01 Jan16 Dec04 Oct14 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
10  WITH SECRET ENERGY Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec08 Nov05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  NOID Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  MUCHACHO MACHO Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Nov30 Nov18 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
SCR  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Feb22 Feb18 Jan15 Dec21 Nov25 (smith lawre)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
 
CT-7   03/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S DO THIS Feb04 Jan26 Nov24 Nov04 Oct06 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00    
2  IT'S A REAL HONOR Mar01 Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (perez ernesto)PELTROCHE F 126 8.00    
3  CASTLE TOY Feb22 Dec17 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 15.00    
4  CHEROKEE CASTLE Jan11 Jul02 Jun16 May25 Apr23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 ★    
5  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Jan19 Nov18 Nov11 Oct07 Sep10 (hamlin )NUNEZ ANAHI 122 4.50    
6  LUCKY BOP Jan26 Jan13       (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 118 8.00 12% 7.30    
7  LA MADDALENA Mar04 Jan06 Dec17 Dec02   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 4.00 32% 2.20    
8  DENALI D'ORO Dec07 Nov18 Oct07 Sep16 Aug18 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
9  BLUE MOUNTAIN Jan18 Dec15 Nov24     (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
CT-8   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUFF'S EYE VIEW Feb09 Jan12 Oct27 Oct08 Sep08 (walters david )MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
2  NO CHANGE Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Jul28 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
3  FREEDOM RIDER Feb09 Jan19 Jan07 Dec14 Nov23 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
4  NEVER COMPROMISE Feb24 Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 Oct27 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 ★    
5  OUT OF CENTS Feb09 Jan12 Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 10.00 5% 18.10    
6  FANCY CONCHO Feb09 Dec10 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
7  ISHIHARA Oct08 Sep17 Jun16 May18 Apr29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00    
SCR  SARGENT KOBE Feb17 Jan26 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 (lane j)CULLUM W 124 20.00    
9  AUBURN MILL Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 Nov19 Oct27 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
 
CT-9   03/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SLICK NICK Feb16 Jan27 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 (sandoval mich)THORPE DARIUS 126 3.50 35% 1.90    
2  STRONG MAGIC         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FROSTY THE BULL Feb16 Jun24 May19 May07 Apr08 (jackson angelo )WOODSON H 124 10.00    
4  VASY SAYS NYET Dec30 Nov11 Oct02     (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00 ★    
5  TRICKY STRONG Feb16 Feb02 Jan05 Aug20 Jul17 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 126 12.00    
6  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Feb19 Jan28       (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 126 15.00    
7  CAJUN FUN Feb20 Feb10       (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 5.00 ★    
8  GEM DANCER Feb16 Feb10 Aug12 Jul10 Jun18 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 8.00    
9  SPEIGHTY SENSE Jan25 Jan01       (knoblauch-perez )BAEZ M 119 20.00    
10  BASHDAFLASH Jan07 Sep23 Jul15 Jun03   (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.