Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/2)-(3/1/5)-(7/8/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(7/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(7/8/9/5)-(6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-3   WIN (7/8/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/5)-(7/8/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/5)-(7/8/9/5)-(7/8/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/9/5)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/5)-(6/3/5)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(3/6/5)-(6/12/7/5/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/12/7/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/12/7/5/10)-(2/5/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-6   WIN (6/12/7/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/7/5/10)-(6/12/7/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/7/5/10)-(6/12/7/5/10)-(6/12/7/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/12/7/5/10)-(2/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/12/7/5/10)-(2/5/4)-(1/13/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-7   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/13/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/13/8)-(14/2/13/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-8   WIN (1/13/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/13/8)-(1/13/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/13/8)-(1/13/8)-(1/13/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/13/8)-(14/2/13/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-9   WIN (14/2/13/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (14/2/13/6)-(14/2/13/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (14/2/13/6)-(14/2/13/6)-(14/2/13/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/20/2025 12540ft TURF RC14 Jonathan Sheppard Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVEMEFIVE (IRE)         (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 158 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of GIRL OF THE HOUR by MAKFI (GB))
2  HIDDEN PATH Jul30 Jul04 Oct19 Sep19 Aug28 (hendriks rich)TIERNEY CONOR 150 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
3  JIMMY P Jul23 Oct19 Aug14 Jun20 Aug23 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 154 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
4  SWEET WILL (IRE)         (kingsley ar)PROCTER FREDDIE 142 12.00    
  (by DRAGON PULSE out of HALLIE'S COMET by GOLD CREST)
5  WHO'S COUNTING Jul23 Jul04 Sep07 Jun20 Aug31 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 4.50    
  (by VANCOUVER out of COUNTER MEASURE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
6  ZARAK THE BRAVE (FR) Jul23 Aug14       (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 158 4.00    
  (by ZARAK out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
7  THE INSIDER (IRE) Jul24 Mar25 Nov13 Oct15   (brion keri)DALTON BERNARD 142 15.00 16% 5.20    
  (by ELZAAM out of NUEVA by JADE HUNTER)
8  QUICK MASTER Jul16 Mar31 Jan04 Dec06 Sep10 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 144 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PURA CLASSE by GRAND SLAM)
 
SAR-2   08/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGADEMA Sep21 Jun09 May11 Apr05 Feb02 (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
2  ALL CLASS Jul23 Jun13 May09 Apr19 Mar22 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00    
3  R DISASTER Jul20 May31 May04 Mar08 Jan18 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 124 0.60 44% 1.30    
4  STRIKER HAS DIAL Jul20 May17 Mar22 Jan25 Dec13 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
5  PATRICIA ANN Jul23 Jan05 Nov29 May04 Mar28 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 6% 16.50    
 
SAR-3   08/20/2025 5610ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTONINO Jul24         (sano ant)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
2  KINNICK Jul24         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
3  MR BROWNS TOWN         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  JAXER Jul16         (motion graham)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
5  MISSING BRIAN         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JOINDER Aug02         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
7  CHALKY WHITE Jul27 Jun08 May09     (green j)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
8  LEXINGTON PIKE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
9  MR. J Jul24         (moquett rona)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 11% 8.50    
 
SAR-4   08/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE Jul04 Jun08 May10 Mar14 Feb14 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.80    
2  JACKSON HEIGHTS Jul05 Jun08 May09 Apr13 Mar09 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
3  STEWIE Jul26 Jun08 May26 Apr27 Apr05 (begg jam)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
4  BARKSDALE Aug02 Jun26 Oct18 Sep18 Aug02 (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
5  LOST IN ROME Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 May16 (samsundar rosha)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMUNDSON Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 Apr26 Apr10 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 38% 1.60    
 
SAR-5   08/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEFORE THE WIND Jul17 Jun28 May11 Apr26 Oct27 (merryman eliza)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MAGGIE NEARY by HURRICANE RUN)
2  ASKINGFORAFRIEND Jul23 Jun19 Dec08     (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
3  SPIRIT OF THE LAW Aug10 Jul17 Jun04 Jan18 Nov24 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BOURBON ENDOWMENT by SKY MESA)
4  KLIMT MASTER Aug13 Jul23 Jun28 Jun19 May23 (jones ed)VILLA FAVINHO 118 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NIGHTENGALE MISS by HIGH COTTON)
5  ZEUS LIGHTNING Jun04 Mar29       (clark a)LUZZI J 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FULL OF JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  OAT COUTOUR Jul19 May08 Mar01     (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 21% 3.90    
  (by TOURIST out of RES IPSA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  TIZIO         (bond har)SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of TIZZELLE by TIZWAY)
8  WILLPOWERED         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of SHEBOYGAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
SAR-6   08/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTIC DAWN         (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of TAPA LIATH by PADDY O'PRADO)
2  CARA'S DREAMCHASER Jul31         (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
SCR  LAST CALL JENNA         (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
  (by GALILEAN out of PLINKING by TALKIN MAN)
SCR  DANCING MIRACLE         (abreu fe)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SHAYNA'S MIRACLE by DIALED IN)
5  UNIFIED IDENTITY         (ferraro m )RIVERA R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of BAJAN BEACH by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  TICKET TO RIDE Jul17 Jun05       (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BAHAMA BANKS by ARROGATE)
7  MIDTOWN MISCHIEF         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 8% 11.40    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MIZ MIDTOWN by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  ESPRESSO TINI         (handal raymond)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of ANNIE GO LIGHTLY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
9  BELLA BELLO BANKER Jul17 Jun08       (rodriguez rudy )CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of AUGUST GALA by BROKEN VOW)
10  SIGNAL CHAT         (caramo)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MISS GOSSIP by BIG BAD BOB)
11  BANK STREET         (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
  (by SLEW O' GOLD out of FOREVER FONDRE by SHAHRASTANI)
12  HOT CURRENCY         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of CALIDEZ by SPRING AT LAST)
13  QUINNS SILENT ROAR Jul26         (begg bent)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of ON THE HOP by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
SAR-7   08/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGISTER Jul12 Jun15 May17 Dec28 Nov29 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 125 6.00    
2  PASSING GAME Jul21 Jun14 Apr19 Mar15 Jan25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  LEADING CONTENDER Jul05 May16 Apr17 Jun07 Apr28 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 125 3.00    
4  FLAT ON Jul17 Jul03 Apr12 Oct10 Sep25 (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 16% 5.40    
5  NOTAH Jun28 Oct30 Oct04 Aug23 Jul27 (terranova joh)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  HERO'S MEDAL Aug03 Jul05 Jun26 May10 Mar22 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00    
SCR  CALL ME FAST Aug13 Aug03 Jul05 Feb16 Dec26 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LOCO ABARRIO Jul26 Jun28 May17 Apr19 Mar29 (casse no)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  TUT'S REVENGE May25 May01 Mar05 Sep29 Sep07 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
SCR  SARATOGA FLASH Jun01 May17 Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 125 8.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Jun20 May10 Mar22 Jan25 Nov29 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
SCR  BARNSTORMING Jul17 Jun28 May25 May17 Nov09 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00    
5  CASTLE ISLAND Aug06 Jun08 May02 Mar22 Feb27 (sharp jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 30.00    
SCR  RUSE Aug02 Jul18 Jun04 Mar29 Mar05 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
SCR  WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) Jul20 Jun07 Apr08 Mar06 Jan25 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00    
8  SKY'S NOT FALLING Jul20 May22 Nov02 Oct12 Aug31 (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 123 10.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  IT CAN BE DONE Apr19 Apr06 Mar02 Sep08 Jul21 (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH May08 Mar19 Dec21 Nov09 Oct05 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE) Oct19 Sep02 Aug11 Jun10 Oct08 (antonacci)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 5.00    
SCR  BELOUNI (FR) Jul20 May24 Apr19 Jul20 Jun15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50    
13  HE'S GOT THIS Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 Jun14 Apr23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 19% 4.20    
14  BIG GAIN Aug13 Jul13 Jun20 May24 Apr27 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AERIALIST Jul25 Jul12 May16 Apr17 Apr06 (reynolds patri)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
2  DARTY TIME Jul25 Jun26       (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
3  BOLT HOUSE Aug02         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  AUNT NONA May24 Dec15 Nov16 Jul27 Jun28 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
5  KATE BARRY Jul25         (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
6  GRATEFULLY         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  NEW ATTITUDE (IRE) Jul24 Jun05       (abreu fe)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
8  CARA'S CHIANTI Jul25 Jul12 Jun06 May09   (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
SCR  SOD SIREN (FR) Jul12         (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
SCR  VEOLA Jun27 May25 Apr11     (brion keri)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
SCR  VICTORIOUSLY         (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
SCR  GRAND CROSSING Feb23 Nov24       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
13  MISS IM PULSIVE Jul25 Jun04 May17     (green amelia )ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 8% 10.80    
14  LAUGHING LADY Jul30 Jul20 Jun15 Aug15 Jul21 (falcone )SANTANA JR 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.