Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Sunday - July 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-5   WIN (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00  11 $7.90 $3.90 98%
SAR-10   WIN (3/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.00 $2.00 25%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/27/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113 1:381   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LIBERTY BELLE 4 1 36 310 35 3 1¼ (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 3.65  
1A  COQUITO 7 3 23 26 2 11 2¼ (rice l)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 3.00 3.35  
COLONIAL ROSE 3 6 4 411 45 21 3 (casse w)ORTIZ L 125 1.00 42% 1.40 0.55 S
WHISTLER'S STYLE 5 4 513 517½ 511½ 4 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00 3.35  
SHEZANARCTICQUEEN 1 5 13 16 1 511 520¾ (jones eduardo )CHANDRA PREM 115 20.00 46.75  
TRADE SECRET 2 2 616½ 625½ 623½ 623 624¼ (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 20.00 5% 19.00 42.00  
PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN 6 7 724½ 732 738½ 7100 7100 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 17% 4.90 11.90  
 
SAR-2   07/27/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:134 1:392   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSTRETCH ROSE 6 7 64 6 4 11 1 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 125 1.80 16% 5.10 1.30 W
FOXY CARA 4 3 11 1 11 31 2 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 125 10.00 18.50  
FLORIDA FLOWER 7 1 21 2 21 21 3 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 2.95  
FIVE TO TWO 3 2 32 3 3 43 45 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50 25% 3.00 2.70  
SANTAGATA 2 6 54 5 66 57 511 (johnsto)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 10.00 34.25  
TECA 5 5 4 43 53 6 618 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 16% 5.20 12.40  
DOLCE SERA 1 4 77 77 7 712½ 724¼ (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 6% 15.70 10.70  
 
SAR-3   07/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TAPIT'S LEGACY 5 1 21 21   2nk 15 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 48% 1.10 0.65 W
  (by TAPIT out of PEACE CORPS by VIOLENCE)
CHALKY WHITE 4 2 11 11   1nk 25 (green j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5.30  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RACE by ASTERN)
ROYAL GUARD (GB) 2 5 5 5   5 3 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 13% 6.50 4.20 S
  (by HECTOR PROTECTOR out of JEZYAH by CHIEF'S CROWN)
INSTANT IMPACT 3 4 4 42   46 49 (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 9.90  
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT IMPRESSION by SHACKLEFORD)
VISIBLE 1 3 32 32   35 5 (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 8% 11.40 5.60  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HAUNTED HEROINE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  SUNRISE               (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SPANISH BUNNY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  OLIVETTI               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AZAELIA by TURTLE BOWL)
SCR  HELIOO               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SUNBURY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  BRITISH INVASION (IRE)               (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of PARAPHERNALIA by DALAKHANI)
SCR  TEDDY'S ROCKET               (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AUTONOMOUS by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  BLAME JERRY               (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
 
SAR-4   07/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($85K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:114 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGIA MAGIC 5 2 3½ 2½ 2nk 11 1 (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 8.00  
BESTFRIEND ROCKET 2 5 55 64 4 4 2 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 2.90  
JOEY MUSCLES 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 3 (antonucc)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70 S
HANDSOME PANTS 3 6 6 4 31 3 4 (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 120 8.00 7% 13.00 11.70  
JUST LICORICE 6 4 4 53 5 5 511 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 13% 6.60 3.80  
CONQUERING CAT 4 7 76 74 7 611½ 620¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 6.00  
ART FAIR 7 3 2½ 3 6 712 723¼ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 58% 0.70 2.25  
 
SAR-5   07/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:121 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  OATH OF OMERTA 3 3 1 1 1 18 1 (antonucc)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 11% 8.40 2.95 W
SMALLCHANGEGEEP 1 1 33 4 3 28 2 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5.40  
10  MOZAMBIQUE 2 2 43 34 2 38 310 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80 59% 0.70 0.45 S
1A  NINE N FOUR 4 4 2 2 411½ 428 468 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 8.20  
SCR  MAKEYOURMOMENT               (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50    
SCR  POWERED BY COAL               (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  CLASSIC MARTINI               (levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  CADA DIA MEJOR               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  WIND DANCER               (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50    
SCR  BIG BROWN DELIVERS               (morley t)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
SCR  BLUE PILL               (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRESCENDO'S REIN 7 1 1½ 1½   1 1¾ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 9.20  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of VIBRATO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SOLO JIM 2 10 1010 7   6 2¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 10.60  
  (by SOLOMINI out of DIAMOND JEN BRADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
KEEPINITREAL 1 4 53 5   3 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.40 45% 1.20 0.75 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HELD ACCOUNTABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
ALZERO 8 5 42 4   2 44 (bond ja)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEE NOTEWORTHY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
GAMEBRED 10 8 9 9   7 57 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 20.90  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of OMATICAYA by BERNSTEIN)
TWOHONESTMISCHIEF 5 2 3½ 32   53 6 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 8.90  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of RAPIDO GATTA by ADIOS CHARLIE)
1A  SPEIGHTFUL STORM 9 3 2½ 2½   42 7 (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 7.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPEIGHTFUL LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
INONIT 3 9 89 109   9 817¾ (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 124 15.00 6% 16.80 33.25  
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
LONG POUR 4 6 65 6   8 918 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 22% 3.60 8.70  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of PURSUING JUSTICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
MISSION HILL 6 7 7 87   1011¾ 1023¾ (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 7% 13.40 19.00  
  (by STREET BOSS out of INDY SUMMER by A.P. INDY)
 
SAR-7   07/27/2025 7920ft TURF RC13 YIELDING Glens Falls Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:39 2:044 2:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA MEHANA (FR) 1 33 3 32 2½ 13 1 (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 2.50  
  (by AL WUKAIR out of OCEANIE by DANSILI)
BELLEZZA (IRE) 6 6 6 4 3 3 2 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 35% 1.90 1.70 P
  (by SIYOUNI out of TERRIFIC by GALILEO)
LONG AGO (GB) 5 11 1 1 1½ 23 312 (morey william )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 21% 3.70 3.85 S
  (by ROARING LION out of LET IT BE ME by MIZZEN MAST)
NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) 2 55 54 5 43 4 414¼ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.70 4.80  
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of SHOMARIA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
LADY FIREFOOT 4 710½ 77 7 57 515½ 523½ (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00 24.00  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MARYLAND MIST by COZZENE)
DAZZLIN' DICTATOR 7 4 44 6 613 635½ 656½ (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 11.20  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HOLLIDAZZLE by TIZNOW)
SACAYA (FR) 3 21 2 2 714½ 736 757¼ (clement miguel)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 21.80  
  (by THE GREY GATSBY out of SASSICAIA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE               (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 0.40    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
SCR  IMMENSITUDE (FR)               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
  (by LAWMAN out of MA PETITE POULE by ELUSIVE CITY)
 
SAR-8   07/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SPUN SIZE 7 2 21 21   1½ 1 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 3.25  
SPEED OF SOUND 3 4 11 11   2½ 2 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 52% 0.90 1.25 P
PROUD MARY 6 7 43 3   34 3 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 6.40  
RIVER TAY (IRE) 5 8 810 811½   4 411 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 20% 3.90 9.60  
LOOKIN TO ROCK 1 5 78 711   810½ 512 (antonuc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 30.00 50.50  
LADY RIVER LILY 4 6 5 6   710 613¼ (seyler do)HARTSMAR CORNELIA 120 50.00 5% 19.00 48.50  
12  RAGTIME SIZZLE 8 3 6 55   69 715¾ (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 3.85  
PARTY AT THE POST 2 1 3 43   5 816½ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 30.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
SCR  ALPINE GIANT               (englehar)SANTANA JR 120 2.00    
SCR  LIKELY PERSPECTIVE (IRE)               (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50    
SCR  SHE'S COMPLICATED               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80    
SCR  SHESINAMOOD               (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:241 :47 1:111 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPITAL IDEA 6 5 4 32 3 2½ 1 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00 7.80  
PASS THE HAT 3 2 1½ 11 1 1½ 2 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 9% 10.70 11.40 P
REDDINGTON 1 3 2½ 21 2 31 33 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 125 3.00 2.70  
WARRIOR RICHARD 5 6 5 5 4 44 4 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 40% 1.50 1.15  
GAMBLERS TAIL 4 4 6 610 55 5 510¾ (ortiz al)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 13% 6.80 5.70  
CUT THE CORD 2 1 31 42 67 612½ 620¼ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 7.50  
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:114 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENNIS TOWN 1 1 11 13 1 1 1 (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 22% 3.50 4.00 W
13  SALVATION 8 4 3 3 2 2 2 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 4.60  
IRON SIGHT 3 8 7 76 5 4 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 39% 1.60 2.25 S
POLICY CHANGE 4 2 21 23 3 34 48 (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 12.00  
PROVE 2 3 42 4 47 611 513¾ (green j)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
12  NANTZ 7 6 53 5 7 715½ 622½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 8.00  
10  STARSHIP TITAN 6 7 86 8 812¾ 820½ 728¾ (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 124 30.00 26.25  
ELKO COUNTY 5 5 65 6 6 510 832¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 10% 9.00 3.65  
SCR  ANTIETAM               (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  ATOMIC AGE               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  BLAST FURNACE               (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
SCR  FREE SPIN               (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
SCR  REBELLIOUS TYPE               (green am)SANTANA JR 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.