Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Sunday - August 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-4-5 $17.50 $5.50 46%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WORTHY CHARGE 8 1 2nk 2nk 1½ 13½ 14¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 25% 3.10 1.55 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of QUEEN BEE TO YOU by OLD TOPPER)
4  CHILLAX 3 2 67¼ 41¼ 31½ 23½ 24¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.45 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
5  ROGER ROGER 4 5 36 31 46½ 411½ 313 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 10% 9.00 24.75 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CAXAMBAS PASS by TIZNOW)
7  MOMENTUM FILES 7 3 1nk 1nk 2½ 39 413¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 7.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLTO VITA by CARSON CITY)
1  PEAK PERFORMER 5 8 57¼ 53¼ 510½ 517½ 521¼ (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 1.55  
  (by CURLIN out of FLY SO HIGH by MALIBU MOON)
2  LIMO 1 6 814¾ 811¼ 814 719½ 622 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 14.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of FLIGHTY ALMIGHTY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  FUN TO TAP 2 7 712¼ 74¾ 610½ 618½ 725¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 5.40  
  (by TAPIT out of PLENTY O'TOOLE by RAISE A CUP)
6  PARTY WITH SMARTY 6 4 46¼ 64¾ 711 820 829 (gutier)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00 5% 19.00 60.25  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SAR-2   08/10/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:374   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LE GRIS 1 2 21 21 2nk 16½ 14¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.00 48% 1.10 0.50 W
6  LEFTEMBEHIND 4 3 46 46 36 26½ 24¼ (tagg b)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 4.50 13% 6.70 3.85 P
4  TIMAEUS 2 1 11 11 1nk 310 330 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 7.80  
5  FIRST OF HIS NAME 3 4 35½ 35½ 410½ 430 4100 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 3.60  
SCR  MR. RIPPLE               (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50    
SCR  SOLO EMPIRE               (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 15.00    
SCR  WHO'S THE KING               (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 125 5.00 10% 9.20    
 
SAR-3   08/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:212 :44 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WARALO 4 3 1nk 11   12½ 1hd (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 2.15  
2  INNATE (IRE) 1 1 31½ 32   22½ 2hd (antonacc)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 3.30  
7  AFTER TAXES (IRE) 6 6 63¾ 53½   33 31½ (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 8% 12.30 6.50 S
3  GREAT LILO 2 5 53½ 65   65½ 43¼ (ochoa ernesto)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 13.40  
6  IRISH GENT (IRE) 5 4 42½ 43½   55 53½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 25% 2.90 3.75  
4  TAP TO MISCHIEF 3 2 2nk 21   44 66 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 26% 2.90 3.25  
SCR  CARIBBEAN WIND               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 113 1.80    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  MARCUS GIFT               (devaux adriann)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
SCR  VOILA MAGIC               (asmussen m)RIDER TBA 118 3.00    
 
SAR-4   08/10/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:243 :504 1:163 1:394   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FINAL SCORE 5 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12½ 11¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 40% 1.50 1.80 W
  (by TWO PUNCH out of CITY LADY by CITIDANCER (IRE))
3  HEEERE'S JOHNNY 3 5 31½ 42 42 22½ 21¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 2.90  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
2  BOSS HENRY 2 7 73¾ 63 63 34 34 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 ★ 6.40 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET SAMI D by FIRST SAMURAI)
4  EPIC DESIRE 4 2 52 52 52½ 66¼ 47 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 33% 2.00 6.60  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BROOKLYNSWAY by GIANT GIZMO)
8  SPHERICAL 7 4 41½ 31½ 31 54¼ 58¾ (tagg bar)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 31.75  
  (by BLUE POINT out of SPATIAL by WAR FRONT)
1  GOLDEN RULE (GB) 1 6 63½ 73½ 74 76¼ 69¼ (ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 13.20  
  (by EMARATI out of SPARKLING SOVEREIGN by SPARKLER)
7  TIME TO STRIKE 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 44 711¼ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 3.55  
  (by STRIKE GOLD out of TIME TO GET LUCKY by SOMETHINGFABULOUS)
SCR  POSITIVE EQUITY               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by MODERNIST out of KODIAC GAL by KODIAC)
 
SAR-5   08/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:221 :461 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CARMEL COAST 2 3 12 11½   15½ 15½ (beckman whitw)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 5.10  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CARMEL BEAUTY by ARCH)
6  LOVELY CHRISTINA 5 1 22 21½   25½ 25½ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 5.00  
  (by VEKOMA out of DARING KATHY by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  ESSENTIAL COFFEE 4 2 33½ 43   410½ 316 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 48% 1.10 2.65 S
  (by NYQUIST out of WINDING WAY by MALIBU MOON)
4  MEMORIZED 3 6 54½ 31½   310 416½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 12% 7.50 2.50  
  (by ZIGGY'S BOY out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
8  SO VAIN 7 5 64½ 53½   515½ 521¾ (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 20% 4.00 3.00  
  (by MR. GREELEY out of BLUE MOONRISE by MALIBU MOON)
7  KAREY 6 4 77 79½   622½ 633 (martin car)RIVERA R 119 20.00 51.50  
  (by BEAU LIAM out of BRAND NEW DAY by STAFF WRITER)
2  EVERYTIMEITHINKOFU 1 7 44 68   734½ 762¼ (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
  (by CURLIN out of BY THE MOON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  QUIDDITY (IRE)               (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
  (by DIESIS (GB) out of THE STRAND (GB) by GONE WEST)
 
SAR-6   08/10/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THE CRAFTSMAN 2 5 52½ 52½ 41¼ 41¼ 1nk (ferraro james)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 14.60  
10  ROSSBEIGH 10 8 74 64½ 63¼ 31 2nk (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 22% 3.60 10.60 P
12  SPIRIT OF THE LAW 11 9 98½ 98½ 106½ 83¾ 3¼ (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 48% 1.10 2.00 S
5  ARCH'S ASSAULT 5 2 41½ 31½ 31 2nk 41 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 3.55  
9  MAKEYOURMOMENT 9 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 51¼ (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 8% 11.50 5.60  
4  POWERED BY COAL 4 6 86½ 87 85 73¼ 61¾ (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 7.30  
8  SUNSHINE DANCER 8 11 1110¾ 1110 95½ 52¼ 72¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 23.80  
3  RAGAZZO D'ORO 3 10 108¾ 109 117 104¾ 85 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
1  PRETRIAL STATEMENT 1 3 31½ 42 51¼ 94¼ 95¾ (bartkowski lis)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
7  CLASSIC MARTINI 7 7 63 74½ 74¾ 117¼ 109¼ (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 58.75  
6  BIG BROWN DELIVERS 6 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 62¾ 1110 (morley t)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 21.50  
SCR  BLUE PILL               (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
SCR  DESERT POWER               (dixon k)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  GOD GIVEN               (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF DANCE               (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  WIND DANCER               (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00    
 
SAR-7   08/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DREAM ON CARA 5 9 99 87   44 1nk (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 10.30  
3  MY TWO SOPHIA'S 1 4 11 11   13 2nk (sacco gregory)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 26% 2.90 1.05 P
9  VALENTINE GIFT 9 1 41½ 21   23 34½ (morley t)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 3.70  
2B  HARLAN'S BOND 7 7 77 65   67½ 45½ (kantarmaci ilk)LUZZI J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
1  DANNEEL 4 6 31 31½   33½ 56 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 16% 5.10 6.50  
1A  MOONLIT WEEKEND 8 2 63½ 53½   57 67 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 ★ 6.50  
8  FIVE TO TWO 6 8 88 77   78½ 710½ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 6.00  
4  CDAKHAT (IRE) 2 3 21 42   813½ 823½ (sciacca ga)RIVERA R 120 12.00 16% 5.30 31.50  
5  DASHING DELLA 3 5 52 914   933½ 962¼ (contes)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 20.50  
SCR  RODEO STAR               (kantarmaci ilk)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SANTAGATA               (johnsto)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 15.00    
 
SAR-8   08/10/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:103 1:343   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CONMAN 8 1 21 2½ 2½ 13 12 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 3.15  
1  SLAPINTHEFACE 1 6 63¼ 65¼ 74¼ 34 22 (dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 30% 2.40 5.50 P
9  CABLE READY 9 7 73¾ 75¾ 54 76½ 34½ (dixon l)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 30.00 50.50  
6  RUSSIAN REALM 6 8 95¼ 96¾ 85¾ 87½ 44¾ (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 30% 2.40 4.10  
3  AMERICAN GRANT 3 9 85¼ 86¾ 96¼ 55 55¼ (brown br)SANTANA JR 125 10.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
2  MO TRUMP 2 3 11 1½ 1½ 23 67½ (ferraro m )RIVERA R 125 10.00 5.50  
5  COINAGE 5 2 42 33 42 44½ 77¾ (asmussen steven)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 18.80  
7  RABAJA 7 4 32 43 32 65 88¾ (bond j)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 16% 5.20 5.90  
4  OCALA DREAM 4 5 53 55 64¼ 910 911¼ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
SCR  CRIMSON LIGHT               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 125 3.00    
SCR  CUT THE CORD               (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
SCR  MIGHTY ATLAS               (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 6.00    
SCR  NEURAL NETWORK               (moubarak tareq)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
SCR  PINEAPPLE MAN               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  WHITTINGTON PARK               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
 
SAR-9   08/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC12 FIRM Mahony Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:211 :434 :551     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPICED UP 3 5 67½ 66½   52½ 11¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 4.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CARDAMON by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  GOVERNOR SAM 8 3 32 31½   1½ 21¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.00 35% 1.90 0.55 P
  (by IMPROBABLE out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  NO EVIDENCE 5 4 43 53½   32 31¾ (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 8% 11.10 23.40 S
  (by VEKOMA out of HIDDEN FACTS by THE FACTOR)
1  INNOVATOR 1 7 79 76¾   42 43 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 7.40  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of INSPIRED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  GABALDON 7 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 53½ (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 9.00  
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of VALUABLE MISS by VALUE PLUS)
7  ANCIENT WORLD 6 6 53½ 43   64 67¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of THIRTEEN ARROWS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  ORTLEY AVENUE (IRE) 4 1 1nk 1nk   74½ 79½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 33% 2.00 19.40  
  (by BUNGLE INTHEJUNGLE out of TITIAN SAGA by TITUS LIVIUS (FR))
2  JET SWEEP JOE 2 8 815½ 812¼   89½ 810¾ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 118 20.00 48.00  
  (by FROSTED out of SISTER BLUES by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  SATURDAY FLIRT               (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 115 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DRAGIC by BROKEN VOW)
 
SAR-10   08/10/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:372   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NO BIEN NI MAL (BRZ) 5 8 42½ 42 31 2nk 1nk (lobo h)VELAZQUEZ R 123 15.00 8.60  
11  HOP SING 8 1 11 11 11 1nk 2nk (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 125 8.00 21% 3.80 4.10 P
1  TUSCAN GOLD 1 6 76½ 67 77½ 69 37½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 2.00  
6  PANDAGATE 3 2 65 77½ 66 47½ 48¼ (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 30% 2.30 2.35  
9  MIKEALICIOUS 6 3 21 21 21 35 58½ (martin f)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00 13.80  
7  CHILENO 4 4 53 54 55½ 58½ 69¾ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 18% 4.70 7.90  
10  TURN AND COUNT 7 7 88 89 89 79½ 712¼ (martin car)RIVERA R 120 20.00 47.00  
3  INTERCEPTOR (GB) 2 5 32 31½ 42½ 812 816¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
SCR  CLASSICIST               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  INSURMOUNTABLE               (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00    
SCR  WAITLIST               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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