Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(5/1/2)-(8/2/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(8/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(8/2/6/9)-(5/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/9)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/9)-(5/4/1)-(2/6/4/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/6/4/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/6/4/7/9)-(4/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/6/4/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7/9)-(2/6/4/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7/9)-(2/6/4/7/9)-(2/6/4/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/4/7/9)-(4/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/7/9)-(4/1/6/7)-(2/7/10/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/7)-(2/7/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/7)-(2/7/10/6)-(6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/6)-(2/7/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/6)-(2/7/10/6)-(2/7/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/10/6)-(6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEWEARSMYRING Dec03 Nov12 Sep30 Sep04 Jul24 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
2  BATTLE TESTED Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 Oct02 Aug24 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
3  ARMY KITTEN Nov14 Nov04 Jul06 Jun15 May26 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 6.00 34% 1.90    
4  I FEEL THE NEED Dec10 Sep09 Jul23 Jun22 May02 (poole c)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Nov24 Oct15 Oct02 Sep10 Sep02 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 1.60    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Dec12 Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 Sep09 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50    
7  WICCA WISDOM Dec16 Nov13 Oct13 Jul14 Jul06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   01/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GARDEN SECRETS Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 Nov02 Sep23 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  COMIC BOOK Dec16 Oct30 Sep21 Aug28 Jun01 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  STEAL THE DEAL Dec16 Oct28 Oct16 Oct01 Sep09 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
4  ELKO Dec16 Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Sep11 (v)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 3.50    
5  GRACE IN EXCESS Dec10 Nov25 Nov12 Nov03 Oct16 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  HYPER AWAKENING Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Oct17 Sep19 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
7  MINIME Dec11 Nov27 Nov02 Oct06 Sep20 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
SCR  COACH CALEY (IRE) Dec03 Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Aug28 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   01/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVERT Nov18 Oct28 Oct03     (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 6.00    
2  IT'S LAST CALL Dec23 Dec02 Oct31 Oct24 Oct09 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 126 10.00 20% 3.90    
3  INTO THE BLACK Dec23 Dec09 Sep10 Aug15 Jul24 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
SCR  STOLZER ONKEL Nov26 Oct30 Oct21 Sep02 Aug16 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00    
5  AVAILABILITY Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Oct01 Sep10 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
6  KLIMTSTER Dec23 Dec04 Oct28 Oct08 Oct02 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Dec09 Aug26 Aug05 Jun25 May27 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 126 1.60    
8  GOLD ASPEN Nov29 Oct31 Sep21 Jun27 May30 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 48% 1.10    
9  C S EXPRESS Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Oct21 Aug05 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  EAST BY WEST Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Sep18 Sep06 (winters michelle)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
 
MVR-4   01/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Dec19 Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 Sep10 (gonzalez d)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 12.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN PARTY Dec11 Nov02 Jul02 Jun12 May13 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
3  LEAVENWORTH Dec19 Nov04 Oct01 Sep10 Aug28 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
4  SAGE RUNNER Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  JOHNNNY'S GAME Dec19 Nov11 Oct10 Sep05 Jul17 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
6  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Dec19 Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 Oct10 (erdel john)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
SCR  BEER MOSA Dec03 Nov26 Nov13 Oct22 Oct07 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
8  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Dec09 Nov29 Oct18 Sep22 Jul18 (gotera)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLICH Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Oct26 Oct10 (zawitz joel)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
2  DR JACK FLYER Dec19 Nov08 Sep27 Aug17 Jul25 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  JIMMY JUNGA Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 Oct22 Oct11 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
4  SLAVA UKRAINI Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 Nov02 Oct22 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  GRAND ROZZO Dec04 Nov17 Oct20 Oct09 Sep12 (gotera)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
6  CHAPS KNIGHT Dec19 Dec09 Nov18 Oct24 Oct09 (pappada a)STOKES J 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
7  MITOLE'S WISH Dec19 Dec04 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  FOOD FOODIE Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 Nov02 Oct22 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
9  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Dec10 Nov19 Oct23 Oct16 Sep25 (gotera juan )AYALA J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ON HIS TOES Dec11 Oct28 Oct03 Aug27 Jul17 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUT INSTINCT Dec03 Nov07 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  DARK BARON Jun13 Apr29 Mar20 Mar05 Feb20 (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
3  SECRET TROUBLE Nov22 Oct23 Sep30 Sep20 Aug22 (rivera n)MARTINEZ A 116 5.00    
4  MASAKADO Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 Jul24 Jun24 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Dec12 Aug17 Jun08 May02 Mar25 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 10.00    
6  ANDY CANT Dec09 Nov04 Oct20 Aug16 Jul06 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 126 3.00 9% 9.80    
7  VERBIER (IRE) Dec12 Nov07 Oct19 Sep26 Sep03 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   01/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL ENSIGN Dec09 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Oct08 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 118 4.00    
2  KOZY NIGHT Nov21 Nov07       (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 116 2.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  COWGIRLS HUMOR Dec26 Dec09 Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 (schuster robi)ZONETT KEYNER 124 15.00    
SCR  EMERALD EYES Nov21 Nov05 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 (salced)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
5  IT'S E Z Dec18 Nov20 Apr08 Feb05 Dec28 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 126 3.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 Sep18 Sep04 (winters michelle)PEREZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIDNIGHT GODDESS Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 Oct23 Sep24 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 116 6.00 10% 9.00    
8  WILD MARIAH Dec09 Nov20 Oct23 Sep18 Sep04 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
SCR  VICTORIA COMMAND Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 Oct23 Sep17 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
10  BE KOZY Nov25 Nov11 Sep05 Jul19 Jun20 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
MVR-8   01/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOGO NEV'S Oct05 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 (campos paulo)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
SCR  SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Dec18         (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
3  SHESTHEPERFECTSONG Dec18 Nov20       (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MOONLIGHT FLITE by MINARDI)
4  PRINCESS EM Dec18 Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
5  RAVEN'S HONOR Dec18 Nov24 Nov17 Nov03 Oct04 (holton reb)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
6  MYSTICAL MOBIL Dec18 Nov20       (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
7  MISS SIX Dec18 Aug26 Aug07 Apr08   (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEAM SIX out of HOPE IS JUST AHEAD by LINE OF DAVID)
SCR  MOBIL DREAM STAR Dec18 Nov06 Sep25 Sep11 Nov28 (butcher james)SIMPSON JASON 126 8.00    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM MANAGER by BERNSTEIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.