Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(8/5/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(8/5/1/6)-(2/11/9/4/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6)-(8/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/6)-(2/11/9/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/6)-(2/11/9/4/7)-(4/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/11/9/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/9/4/7)-(2/11/9/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/9/4/7)-(2/11/9/4/7)-(2/11/9/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/9/4/7)-(4/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/11/9/4/7)-(4/8/5)-(8/5/9/1/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(8/5/9/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5)-(8/5/9/1/7)-(10/3/9/1/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/5/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/1/7)-(8/5/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/9/1/7)-(8/5/9/1/7)-(8/5/9/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/9/1/7)-(10/3/9/1/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/5/9/1/7)-(10/3/9/1/7)-(8/3/4/9/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-6   WIN (10/3/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/1/7)-(10/3/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/1/7)-(10/3/9/1/7)-(10/3/9/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/9/1/7)-(8/3/4/9/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/3/9/1/7)-(8/3/4/9/2)-(4/11/7/14/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-7   WIN (8/3/4/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/9/2)-(8/3/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/9/2)-(8/3/4/9/2)-(8/3/4/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/4/9/2)-(4/11/7/14/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/9/2)-(4/11/7/14/8)-(3/9/6/10/4) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (4/11/7/14/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/7/14/8)-(4/11/7/14/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/7/14/8)-(4/11/7/14/8)-(4/11/7/14/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/11/7/14/8)-(3/9/6/10/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/9/6/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/10/4)-(3/9/6/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/10/4)-(3/9/6/10/4)-(3/9/6/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($54.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE J Dec15 Nov30 Sep28 Sep07 Jul21 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
2  INDY LYON Nov30 Oct11 Aug17 Mar24 Feb25 (crichton r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
3  THEALLIGATORHUNTER Nov30 Aug31 Aug11 Jul13 Jun22 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00    
4  BIG EFFECT Nov30 Nov09 Sep28 Jul06 May26 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  UNCASHED Dec11 Nov20 Aug13 Jul16 May20 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00 23% 3.30    
6  MORE LOVE Nov13 Oct30 Oct03 Sep18 Oct24 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 120 3.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   01/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUZZSAW Dec20 Nov23 Oct03 Sep14   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 1.60 15% 5.50    
SCR  BABY ANTONIO Dec22 Dec07 Sep14 Aug17 Jul18 (lopez mari)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 30.00    
3  MR. MAC MIDNIGHT Dec20 Sep30       (hamm timothy)LEON SONNY 119 20.00    
4  BUT NOW AM FOUND Aug31 Aug03       (contessa g)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 5.00    
5  NERVANA Dec20 Nov01 Aug30 May11   (lightner)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 16% 5.40    
6  CENTERFOLD GUY Nov23 Oct06 Sep15 Aug09 Jul20 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEVIL OF RAMADI Dec18 Nov30 Oct26 Sep20 Aug10 (paragallo jenn)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00    
8  ADMIRAL MO         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00 45% 1.20    
 
TAM-3   01/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOW IS FLYING Dec13 Oct02       (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 12.00    
2  MISSPENT Dec11 Nov20 Oct13     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00 50% 1.00    
3  CAVALLA Dec11 Oct03 Sep05 Aug15 Jul13 (campbell mich)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00    
4  CALLA         (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  FRENCH BENEFITS (FR) Aug14         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 30.00    
6  DYNAMIC ACTRESS Dec07 Oct11       (hendriks richard)FERRER C 119 10.00    
7  SIP'N' SPEED Sep25 Sep09 Aug14     (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOUL SECRET Sep27 Aug08       (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50    
9  STILLTHINKINGOFYOU Sep21 Aug17       (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  MISS C BANKER Oct26 Sep28 Aug28 Jul25 Jul05 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
11  BROOKLYN SPICE         (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  THAT'S FUNNY         (sacco d)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
SCR  CLAIMED Oct19 Sep21       (damen daniel)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
SCR  BOTANICAL GARDENS Nov17 Oct12       (baumgardner be)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
 
TAM-4   01/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL ME ICE MAN Dec24 Nov20 Sep19 Jul25 Jun09 (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
2  CINCO DE MO Dec14 Oct10 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
3  SARGEANT BARGER Sep25 Sep13 Aug16 Jul26 May29 (alessi james)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 30.00    
4  IMPACTO Nov29 May01 Apr06 Mar09 Feb11 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 6.00 37% 1.70    
5  MR. PENNY PINCHER Nov27 Oct04 Jul19 Jun09 May19 (mcburney p)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  OCEAN OF STORMS Dec11 Nov29 Oct01 Sep15 Aug26 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
SCR  APOLLO CODE Nov09 Oct04 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 118 2.00    
8  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Nov05 Sep30 Aug27 May28 May13 (cahill steve)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-5   01/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINNY KATE Dec20 Oct25 Sep08 Aug10 Jun21 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  UP HER SLEEVE Dec20 Nov30 Oct11 Sep27 Aug16 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00    
3  CAT ONE Dec20 Oct23 Oct15 Oct02 Sep16 (barron rory)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
4  THEODORA GRACE Dec24 Nov30 Oct31 Oct20 Oct10 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 6.00    
5  SARATOGA GAZE Dec20 Oct26 Sep20 Aug16 Jun23 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.50 9% 9.70    
6  VINGATIVA Dec20 Nov30 Nov09 Oct09 Sep26 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
7  GLITTER BAY Dec20 Nov30 Sep10 Sep02 Aug27 (curto jea)HESS SARA 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Dec20 Nov23 Sep20 Aug18 Jul27 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
9  INOUAINTALKINTOME Dec27 Nov13 Oct21 Sep24 Sep09 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ICE QUEEN Nov22 Aug09 Jul26 May12 Apr11 (alessi james)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00    
SCR  BUILT DIFFERENT Aug17 Aug02 Jun27 Mar01 Jan05 (richards renaldo)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
SCR  COVENANT LADY Dec28 Oct17 Jul21 Jun18 May06 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  SUMMER AT THE SPA Dec18 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 Sep12 (simone mic)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 20.00    
SCR  STARRY HOPE Nov30 Oct16 Sep24 Sep16 Sep05 (mcgoey monica)GIL CIPRIANO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-6   01/04/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDERO Dec14 Oct11 Sep14 Aug11 Jul20 (agostini a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 15.00 6% 16.90    
2  TIZ A BEAST Dec14 Jul14 Jul06 Jun08 May19 (paragallo jennif)FERRER C 118 8.00    
3  DUNE ROAD Dec22 Dec11 Nov27 Oct15 Oct03 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  FEDERAL EXCHANGE Dec26 Dec08 Nov29 Nov01 Sep20 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
5  HABERDASHERY Dec14 Nov27 Nov16 Nov01 Aug04 (mckathan kevin)DIAZ S 118 6.00    
6  CALZONE Nov27 Sep25 Sep05 Aug11 Jul28 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
7  HARI Dec29 Oct23 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RULE IT Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 Sep05 Jul29 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 12.00    
9  ESTILO MAGICO Dec11 Nov23 Sep12 Aug14 Aug02 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 14% 5.90    
10  GUN RIGHT Dec06 Nov20 Oct12 Sep20 Sep07 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Dec14 Nov20 Oct25 Sep25 Aug17 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00    
 
TAM-7   01/04/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAMINGPROPOSITION Dec13 Oct19 Sep28 Sep21 Sep05 (ryan s)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
2  EPITAPH Dec13 Nov01 Oct04 Aug25   (contessa g)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LORDLY Dec06 Oct25 Sep14 Aug17   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
4  DUMB MONEY Dec13 Nov01 Sep15 Aug25 Jul27 (sacco d)FERRER C 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
5  ENTERDADRAGON Nov29 Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 Jul28 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
6  BINGO'S GRIND Dec21 Nov27 Oct11     (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
7  INNATELY GOOD Dec07 Sep28       (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 122 10.00    
8  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Dec07 Nov02 Oct07 Sep20 Aug11 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
9  R N R AUDIBLE Dec07 Sep28 Aug09 Jul14   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 7% 14.20    
 
TAM-8   01/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELODY WIN Sep27 Aug24 Aug02 Jun01 May01 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 15.00    
2  LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGO Dec14 Oct16 Aug27 Jul22 Jul02 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
3  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Dec18 Apr19 Mar16 Feb23 Jan21 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
4  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Dec18 Dec04 Jun22 Jun08 Apr25 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  DIVINING STONE Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 Nov03 Oct12 (lopez mari)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
6  DITHER Dec18 Sep08 Aug24 Aug16 Jul13 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 118 8.00    
7  DIAMOND MESSA Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 Oct09 Sep14 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 11% 7.80    
8  CHANGEORDERSONNY Nov30 Aug31 Jul20 Jun08 Jun25 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  JIVE Nov15 Aug25 Jul26 Jun02 Oct01 (delgado jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 6.00    
10  BREATH DEEPLY Dec14 Nov20 Oct18 Sep13 Aug16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.00    
11  IMMENSE FAITH Dec14 Nov29 Oct26 Sep22 Sep14 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
12  NO PROBLEM JOE Dec20 Dec04 May31 Apr26 Apr03 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 20.00    
SCR  BIG TOBY Dec20 Nov30 Nov03 Sep14 May26 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 30.00    
14  DIVEMASTER Dec21 Nov27 Jul21 Jun26   (lightner)GALLARDO A 118 12.00 11% 7.90    
 
TAM-9   01/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPTURE THE TIME Dec14 Nov27 Oct05 Sep07 May18 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
2  BAHAMIAN MOON Nov27 Aug23 Jul14 Jun23 May23 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 106 6.00    
3  COTTON Oct18 Oct03 Aug16 Jul25 Mar15 (wright w)LEON SONNY 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  PHILO BEDDOE Nov16 Sep28 Aug29 Aug03 Jul14 (escobar ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIDNITE MUSKET Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 Jun16 Apr25 (clark a)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
6  LAMPLIGHTER JACK Jul23 May29 Apr29 Mar25 Dec14 (campbell joel)FERRER C 118 3.50 16% 5.20    
7  MR CROWLEY Nov29 Sep22 Aug11 Jul12 Jun09 (harney hea)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 118 30.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE EDGE Dec15 Aug30 Nov09 Oct27 Oct07 (hemingway miche)CENTENO E 122 12.00    
9  LUCCI Dec14 Nov27 Sep20 Aug31 Aug12 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
10  JETAROS Nov27 Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 Jul27 (pompay terri)CASTANON L 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EE YAH Dec11 Nov04 Oct13 Sep25 Jun20 (ocasio osvaldo)AVILES YAN 118 30.00    
SCR  RICHY Dec22 Dec06 Nov15 Oct20 Aug23 (davis scooter)IORIO MELISSA 118 15.00    
13  MAJESTIC EAGLE Dec14 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 (simone mich)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 12.00    
SCR  PUTMAN Oct20 Sep13 Aug16 Jul04 Jun16 (vazquez eduardo )BRACHO A 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.