Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - November 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/5/1)-(7/6/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(7/6/4/3)-(6/7/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/3)-(6/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(11/4/1/9/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(11/4/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(11/4/1/9/7)-(3/1/4/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (11/4/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/1/9/7)-(11/4/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/1/9/7)-(11/4/1/9/7)-(11/4/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/1/9/7)-(3/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/4/1/9/7)-(3/1/4/5)-(2/5/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/5)-(2/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/5)-(2/5/3/7)-(8/11/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/7)-(8/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/7)-(8/11/12)-(4/10/1/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/11/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/11/12)-(8/11/12/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/11/12)-(8/11/12/4/3)-(8/11/12/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/11/12)-(4/10/1/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-9   WIN (4/10/1/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/1/7/9)-(4/10/1/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/1/7/9)-(4/10/1/7/9)-(4/10/1/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK STAR DOCTOR Nov10 Sep27 Jul31 Jun05 May18 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 1.60    
FOREIGN TOURIST Sep23 Aug05 Jul23 Jul01 Jun03 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
LAWLESS TIMES Jul25 Jun22 May23 Apr26 Mar20 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
DESSERT FIRST Oct31 Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 Jul06 (lopez elias)CURTIS BEN 121 2.50    
I DONT KNOW EITHER Sep23 Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 (gomez jorg)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 12.00    
TRIBEST (ARG) Oct31 Oct13 Sep19 Aug25 Aug11 (rodriguez ed)TORRES A 121 4.50 38% 1.70    
 
FG-2   11/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIAMONDINTHESTORM Aug12 Jul18 Jun27 May30 Apr18 (dandridge )ALBERT S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BITSY PERFECTMATCH Jun08 May28 May08 Apr06 Jan28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  SHEZAPERFECTDREAM Aug12 Feb23 Jan04 Dec15   (dandridge co)MURRAY M 119 3.50    
EVERYLITTLESINGH Oct17 Sep09 Aug31 Jul01 Jun12 (singh s)SINGH R 121 5.00    
RUN AWAY SAMARI Oct12 Sep18 Aug27 Jul02 Jun18 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 116 4.50 12% 7.20    
SISTER CHLOE Nov02 Aug24 Aug24 Aug06 May13 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
ARTIE'S DEAL Jul27 Jul04 Jun06 Apr10 Jul29 (cuccia j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
 
FG-3   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM CADILLAC Aug17 Jul05 Jun15 May01 Mar10 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
APRIORITY ROCKET Sep09 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
RISING KOTO STAR Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May29 May01 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CATALINA DAY Nov06 May30 May08 Mar10 Feb15 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
COLT'S BRIM Sep24 Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 Jun19 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
POP'S PEPPYSTEPER Jun15 May17 Apr10 Nov18 Nov03 (castille )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
FATHER MARK Aug14 Jul19 Jun08 May16 Apr24 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
FG-4   11/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILTON Nov09 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00    
BREAKING ALONE Nov02 Oct06 Sep14 Aug11 Aug13 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
BRIT'S WIT Oct08 Sep19 Aug17 Jul15 Jun06 (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 9% 10.10    
AGENT CREED Oct12 Sep15 Aug17 Jul19 May17 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00    
RIGHTANDJUST Sep14 Jun18 Jun07 Apr27 Feb15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
WISH ME HOME Sep15 Aug16 Jul05 Apr21 Nov05 (russell britta)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
RISK MANAGER Oct24 Aug29 Jun19 May02 Mar23 (maker michae)TORRES A 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
APRIL FOOLS ANDY Sep08 Aug21 Jul31 Jun30 May15 (stall m)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
SCR  UXMAL Nov02 Aug26 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (guillory hen)TORRES A 120 6.00    
 
FG-5   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSIC MILL         (duhon jose)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00 16% 5.20    
TEXAS ADOPTER Oct07 Sep21 Sep08 Aug27 Feb17 (govea cesar)TORRES A 124 12.00    
AOIDE Oct26 Aug21 Jul04 May27   (duhon o)RIQUELME J 122 20.00    
SENSE YOU ASKED Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26   (stall m)GRAHAM J 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
CONNOR TALKSTRASH Sep17 Jul29 Jul15 Jun26 May31 (hatcher na)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
SCR  NIGHTNTHEQUARTER Oct25         (gabriel terr)MURRAY M 122 5.00    
CUPID'S WAR Oct06 Aug25 Jul21 Jun22 May25 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LA BOUCANE Mar22 Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Dec11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
BACKFIRE Nov05 Jan12       (delahoussaye br)MCMAHON J 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
10  METRONOME Sep17 Sep04 May29 May07 Apr05 (zeringue j)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
11  TAMASHI Nov03 Oct12 Sep08     (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
FG-6   11/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIAN DEFENSE Nov03 Jul05 Feb24 Jan13   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STROMBOLIAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TOUCH OF GLAM (ARG)         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
  (by EQUAL STRIPES out of TOUCH THE SKY by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
STORM READY Nov03 Jul12 Jun15 May19 Apr13 (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
INTERLUDE Oct10 Jun08 Nov25 Sep08 Aug03 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of INTERRUPTED by BROKEN VOW)
THE JIG IS UP (IRE) Oct30 Oct09 Mar30     (maker micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of DARING DANCER by EMPIRE MAKER)
INITIALIZE Oct24         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SHURUQ by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
HIGGINSVILLE Jul15 Jul05 Jun06 Apr07 Mar09 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LADY SOUL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
B WAYNE Sep15 Aug13       (stall m)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WEALTH EFFECT by CURLIN)
 
FG-7   11/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF LILIES Oct27 Aug29       (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CRACK OF DAWN by BERNARDINI)
CHAPEL STREET Oct29         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of PENWITH by BERNARDINI)
PRIMA BELLA Oct12         (brinkman b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of PRIMA DIVA by FED BIZ)
EXINGTON Oct26 Aug29       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
MCKINZIE'S GLORY Oct27 Sep01 Jul28     (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
  (by MCKINZIE out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
MY SWEET LOVE Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LYRIC STREET Oct18         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MO MUSIC by UNCLE MO)
SEARCHING SPIRIT         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ELSA by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
FG-8   11/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($59K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMERTIME BANDIT Nov09 Aug10 Jul25 Jul01 Jun20 (zenon shel)RAMIREZ JR 116 12.00    
ANN'S STORM Nov21 Nov08 Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 20.00    
DAISY DE ORO Aug19 Aug03 Jul05 Jun07 May09 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
WAR TOURIST Aug09 Jun20 May21 Apr18 Mar09 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
BROADWAY STAR Aug23 Jul20 Jun22 May23 May01 (cuccia j)MURRAY M 121 10.00    
BACK STREET BABY Aug31 Aug19 Jul01 May27 May14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
STEEL GUITAR Aug31 Jul27 Jun22 Jun08 May15 (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
BIRDIE CALL Oct18 Aug31 Jul16 Jun24 Dec30 (turner pa)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  KATHLYNS PHALANX Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug05 Jul24 (sharp j)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
10  DEROUTANTE Sep23 Sep11 Aug14 Aug05 Jul17 (meaux jaso)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
11  EYE OF THE PHARAOH Aug12         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
12  SIKARA SIKARA Aug31 Aug19 Aug09 Jul18 Jun06 (delhomme jeff)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRONT AND SILVER Nov09 Oct26 Sep02 Aug15 Aug02 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
SCR  MISS KENNEDY Sep24 Aug19 Jul16 Jun17 May07 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00    
 
FG-9   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DIVA Mar21 Feb09 Jan19 Nov18   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MO TOM out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
WILLIAM'S LEGACY Oct16         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS MATZOBALL by SMOKE GLACKEN)
DELIGHTFUL HALO Sep14 Jul16 May27 Mar24 Feb16 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
ABOUT TO SET SAIL Feb10 Jan18 Jan01 Nov18   (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BEDAZZLE SEATTLE by GILDED TIME)
CONGRATULERA Oct29 Jul20 Jun22     (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of PACHANGERA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
COPPER CRUSH Oct16 Sep14       (calhoun will)TORRES A 122 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NOTAYANKEEFAN by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
PRETTY PRAIRIE Jun15 May16 Apr18     (breaux samuel)PARKER L 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of ENDURING ERIN by KELA)
FROM SCRATCH Sep11 Aug15 Jul21 Jun08   (forster t)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAMING OF SUSIE by COWTOWN CAT)
GIRL FROM DE BAYOU Nov13 May22 Apr13 Feb23   (roberts r)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DOUBLE DOSE by DEVON LANE)
10  MO FOR US Nov09 Sep29 Jun16 May25 Apr27 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MO TOM out of BOVELL ROAD by GRAEME HALL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.