Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/4/5)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/5)-(3/1/2)-(4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(4/1)-(4/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(4/3/2)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(2/1)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/1/5)-(2/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKEN Aug30 Aug12 Jul18 Jul04 Dec12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.50 43% 1.30    
2  MONSTER HUNTER Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Aug06 Jul16 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 20.00    
SCR  RUN ROCKY Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 Jun17 Aug09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
SCR  BABA LOOEY Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jun26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
5  OHIO PLAYER Jul31 Jun22 May01 Apr01 Mar11 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Sep04 Apr24 Apr01 Mar11 Feb27 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
7  PRIVATE DRIVE Sep10 Aug12 Jul31 Jul16 Jun22 (guidry terrance)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  PECKS NOT BAD Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May01 Apr04 (jackson james)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
9  JOSH'N Sep07 Aug01 Jul25 Jul04 Jun19 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-2   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS HOG Sep16         (langley josh)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  DRILL EM Sep16         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
3  DUO         (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
4  JOHN FITZGERALD         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
5  DRILL'S BOY Sep16 Aug30 Aug22 Aug10 Jul22 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
6  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Sep16         (dac)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 6.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
7  JAC'S EMPIRE Aug26 Aug10       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 1.40 28% 2.50    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
TDN-3   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO DIALED IN Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  GOOD ON YA Sep11 Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  AL LOVES JOSIE Aug23 Jul26 Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  AYE AYE SIR Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 May22 Nov02 (rettele richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
5  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Sep10 Aug29 Aug10 Jul09 Jun13 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50    
6  MIGHTY LES Aug19 Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 Jun08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00    
 
TDN-4   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLEX RICHES         (meyers sh)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  FUNNYSTASTIC         (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  ELECTRIC MELODY         (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 118 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  EXALTADA         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of TITAN'S TREASURE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  COMPLEXITY GIRL Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul22   (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 118 4.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
6  DREAMING OF WAR Sep09         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
TDN-5   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHLOES ANGEL Sep03 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jan23 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
2  CHECK OUT LINE Aug14 Jul17 Jul09 Jun10 Apr29 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRULY INCLUSIVE Sep09 Jul04 Jun03 May04 Mar12 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  AUJARA Aug15 Jun05 Feb12 Jan23 Jan04 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  CARMEN OHIO Sep03 Aug14 Jun27 Jun08 May21 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 3.50    
6  DANZA MAGIC Sep03 Aug10 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
 
TDN-6   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Sep16 Jul22 Jul04 Jun17   (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 10.00 10% 9.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
2  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Aug30 Aug10       (meyers sh)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by ARMY MULE out of HOLIDAY STORM by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  SECRET CALLER Sep16         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SECRET HAUL by DUNKIRK)
4  WONDER WORLD         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HEY MONBA by MONBA)
SCR  SIOFRA Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 Jun17   (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
SCR  ANOTHERWINNER Aug28 Aug14       (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
 
TDN-7   09/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY JUNGA Sep05 Aug13 Jul10 Jun08 May21 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  STEP AHEAD Sep05 Jun08 May23 Apr29 Mar26 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50    
3  BIG POPPER Sep05 Aug19 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 119 4.00    
4  JOHNNNY'S GAME Sep05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 Mar08 (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 32% 2.20    
5  RULE IT Sep05 Jul29 Jul10 Jun13 Apr21 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 10% 9.30    
6  FOOD FOODIE Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
 
TDN-8   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON OVER ICE Sep12 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 14% 6.40    
2  MR LOOOCH Sep10 Aug29 Aug10 Jul16 Jun13 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 1.80 39% 1.50    
3  CYBERTIME Jul27         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 3.00    
SCR  CLASS ACTOR Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 Jul11 Jun27 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 15.00    
5  COURTHOUSE COVE Aug27 Aug19 Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 (meyers shane)HOUGHTON D 121 6.00    
6  EXCITEMENT Aug30 Aug10 Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.