Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/2)-(3/5/6)-(6/1/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/1/4/8)-(7/5/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/8)-(7/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(3/4/5/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/4/5/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/10/2)-(3/4/5/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/10/2)-(3/4/5/10/2)-(3/4/5/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/5/10/2)-(6/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/10/2)-(6/1/4)-(2/1/3/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/3/9/4)-(6/1/3/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   09/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANNIE MAE Aug25 Aug06 Apr10 Mar20 Mar02 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
BUMP IN THE NIGHT Aug26 Aug07 Apr27 Apr12 Mar14 (rice linda)COA J 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
LADY FORTUNA Aug26 Jun27 May24 Apr07 Mar28 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
OUR FIRST LADY Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun19 Jun05 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
TOMAKI Aug27 Jul29 Jan19 Nov06 Oct16 (areche thalia)CRUZ JOEL 121 12.00 8% 10.90    
JAYLA Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 Jun17 May29 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50    
 
FL-2   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR REWARD Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 Jun28 May19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50    
BANKERS ROSE GOLD May23 Apr29 Mar29 Mar06 Feb09 (lucas bo)DAVIS A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
IMALOTTALADY Jul30 Jul10 Jun05 May20 May06 (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 6.00    
NURSE BUNNY Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.00 19% 4.20    
CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Aug26 Jul27 Jun26 Nov24 Oct25 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
CREWS IN TO WIN Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 Jul04 Jun25 (d'alessandro r)BROWN DALTON 121 15.00    
BELLA BANKER         (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 121 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
FL-3   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION NAVY Aug12 Jul22 Jun19 Nov22 Oct30 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
BILLIEVE IN JOSH Jul16 Nov30 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 (ficarella brook)ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
DOROTHYS HAPPINESS Aug20 Jul22       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.40 54% 0.90    
SMILE TAKES CHARGE Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Nov20 Oct19 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 4.00    
DEVIL'S CAY Aug12 Jul28 Jul12 Jun23 May11 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 11% 8.10    
STEWIE Aug28 Jun26 Jun12 May28 Apr29 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 6.00 10% 9.20    
 
FL-4   09/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DON'T POKE THE CAT Jul15 Jul08 Jun26 Jun11 Dec22 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 121 4.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 4.00    
DEVIL OR ANGEL Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 May20 May07 (lecesse michae)COA J 123 3.50    
MR. EINSTEIN Jun19 Jun08 May28 Apr15 Mar01 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 20.00    
OUR MAN MIKE Jul23 Jun26 Nov20 Oct23 Oct04 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
GINNSU WARRIOR Sep03 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 Nov06 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00    
GOLDEN REIGN Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 May29 May20 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Aug21 Aug13 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
JITTER JUICE Aug21 Aug05 Jun19 Oct11 Sep20 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
 
FL-5   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRACIOLE Aug27 Jan12 Jun17 May06 Apr22 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 118 10.00 8% 10.80    
HOLEY MATRIMONY Aug14 Jul31 Jun11 May28 May21 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 118 4.00    
PERUVIAN BOY Mar02 Feb08 Jan27 Dec21 Nov23 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
SMOKIN' ALONE Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 Jun12 May21 (sabine michael)BROWN DALTON 120 6.00    
BREAKING STONES May22 Apr13 Feb19 Feb04 Nov22 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
SNEADS Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 Jun26 May28 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Aug11 Jul29 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 (potts wa)DAVIS A 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
FL-6   09/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACOBA Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 Jul01 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
RINGGOOD Aug21 Jul24 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ASAP RESTORATION Aug27 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 May20 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
BLU GROTTO Feb18 Jan12 Jan01 Dec01 Oct13 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
PARADE FIELD Aug05 Jul10 Jul01 Jun03 May21 (murphy t)DAVIS A 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
MASETA Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 (murphy timothy)COA J 122 20.00    
BUCK WILD Jul04 Jun12 May28 Jan11 Nov29 (wadams dewight )ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
INTERSTATE Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
RILEY BEE Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (lopez arcadio)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00    
10  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 (dixon lin)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  DELTA RIDGE Aug27 Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 Jun18 (rice kevin)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00    
 
FL-7   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY QUINN Aug21 Aug07 Jun18 Nov22 Nov13 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  EROS'S GIRL Jul02 Jun10 May07 Mar10 Feb19 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 4.00    
MISTY GALE Aug07 Jul22 Jun05 May20 Mar30 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00    
SPECIAL PAL Aug14 Jul17 Jun24 Dec29 Nov21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50    
IN TRAFFIC Aug26 Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 (rivera davi)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TRY IT AGAIN Sep02 Jul28 Jun30 May24 May02 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.00    
GRAND LADY INDY Aug21 Aug07 Jul30 Jul17 Jul01 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 121 6.00 49% 1.00    
PRINCESS SONYA Aug13 Jun17 Nov15 Jul31 Jul12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
SWEET SHALLOTS Aug07 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00    
DIVA BANKER Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jul05 May25 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 6.00    
 
FL-8   09/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLURRY OF ROSES Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jul16 Nov13 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
GALLEY HEAD Aug27 Aug14 Jun08 May01 Aug12 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
SWEET SUGAR BABY Aug28 Aug19 Jul17 Jun03 May13 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 6% 15.20    
SHASI Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 May03 Apr20 (mastin k)DAVIS A 124 3.50    
TRUE MARTINI Aug27 Jul15 Jun19 May17 Apr25 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
M. A. S. SCRUVES Aug27 Jul24 Nov01 Oct18 Oct03 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 15.00    
SWEET SENSATION Aug28 Jul24 Jun17 Jun03 May21 (beech e)BROWN DALTON 122 12.00    
TINTAGEL Aug27 Jul29 Jun18 Nov13 Oct23 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.