Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/8)-(6/5/1/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/8)-(6/5/1/2)-(6/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/2)-(6/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/2)-(6/4/7)-(6/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(6/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(6/3/7)-(8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(8/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(8/4)-(7/5/2/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/4)-(7/5/2/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(7/5/2/9)-(2/1/4/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/5/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/9)-(7/5/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/9)-(7/5/2/9)-(7/5/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/9)-(2/1/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/9)-(2/1/4/7)-(4/1/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(4/1/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/9/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/9/2)-(4/1/3/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTROSTATIC Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 Apr10 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 1.60 20% 3.90    
2  JOSH'S HONOR Jul30 Jul02 May22 Oct26 Oct16 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  MUTTLEY Jul30 Jul24 Jun24 Jun05 May27 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 12.00    
4  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Aug06 Dec23 Dec07 Oct13 Aug24 (markgraf d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
5  AESTHETICALLY Jul30 Jul17 Jun24 Jun03 May20 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
6  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Jul30 Jan22 Jan11 Jan01 Nov06 (wilson ariane )ALLEN D 122 20.00    
7  BEACH HOLIDAY Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 Jun12 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 7% 13.80    
8  CLEMSON TIGER Jul22 Jul03 Oct18 Sep21 Sep11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIDEN LANE Jul30 Jun26 Jun11 Apr20 Feb28 (hamm tim)MARTINEZ A 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
2  CLASSIC JULIA Jul30 Jun11 Apr25 Sep06 Aug08 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 May02 Apr01 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.00    
4  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Jul09 Jun26 Jun12     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
SCR  WOK DON'T RUN Aug04 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 Apr25 (vitali marcus )ORTIZ L 118 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  CAROLINA SUN Jul18 Jan10 Dec09 Nov03 Oct15 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
7  EQUINAMOUS Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 May22 Nov06 (bourke john)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
 
PID-3   08/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREY CHARMER Jul30 Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 Mar29 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
2  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Jul31 Jun20 May02 Mar15 Feb09 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 ★    
3  GUACO Jul30 Jul02 Jun12 Oct19 Sep05 (clarke mat)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50    
4  GOLDEN SODA Aug07 Jul17 Jul08 Jun05 May21 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
5  BEAR CREEK Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 Jun12 May21 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
6  RESIST THE DEVIL Jul24 Jul03 Jun24 Jun03 May20 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 115 1.60 38% 1.70    
7  MEAN TWEETS Jul30 Jul02 Jun11 May29 Apr21 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  LITTLE BIG Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun24 Jun03 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00    
 
PID-4   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUSTME IAMADOCTOR Jul31 Jul16 Jul04 Jun18 May22 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  DANCING MISCHIEF Jul25 Jul07 Jun14 May26 Jan28 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50    
3  WEEKEND CONCERTO May17 Apr20 Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  MEROKEE Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 May27 Apr26 (dini mike)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
5  SHE SPEAKS WELL Jul31 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May29 (maver eduardo)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00    
6  YANKEE HUMOR Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 Apr22 Apr02 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
7  MINELLA Jul16 Jun11 May26 May06 Jun24 (schneider kim)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  NEW BERN Jul28 Jun29 May25 Apr18 Apr06 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
9  YEAH TAKE THAT Jul31 Jul24 Jul16 Jun04 Nov16 (brooks gera)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 12.00    
 
PID-5   08/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 Jun24 Jun11 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 4.50    
2  WHERE YOU WAS Aug06 Jul22 Oct23 Oct11 Sep28 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 ★    
3  SAMURAI LEGACY Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 Jun12 Oct19 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
4  YADI Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Jun05 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE SINNER IS YOU Jun26 Jun10 May22 Feb20 Feb01 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
SCR  SUTTON BREEZE Jul29 Jul16 Jun04 May14 May06 (lopez ar)RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.00    
7  KHOZANDO Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May29 May21 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
8  RICHIESINTHEHOUSE Jul02 Jun12 Mar28 Mar06 Feb15 (radosevi)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 71% 0.40    
9  ERLAN Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 Apr06 Mar13 (kleine bernar)DELGADO DAVID 124 20.00    
 
PID-6   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIND YOUR OWN Jan05 Dec08 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 (delong ben)MURGIA A 122 20.00    
2  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 Feb03 Jan10 (hetrick )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Jul18 Jun11 May27 Apr24 Mar15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
SCR  SOLAIR Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 Dec27 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
5  WHEELINGNDEALING Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 May27 May04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  TALK MUCH Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 Jan20 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
7  QUEEN WIGGY Jul17 Jul02 May27 Oct18 Oct03 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  MOTITO Jul15 Jun19 Jun11 May20 Apr16 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
9  GIRL BYE Jul19 Jun30 Jun09 May14 Apr30 (fletcher)RODRIGUEZ O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Satin Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY SHOES May04 Feb24 May19 Apr01 Feb15 (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SILVERTONI by TAPIT)
2  QUEEN OF THE MUD (IRE) Jun22 May17 Oct22 Sep21 Aug31 (motion graha)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by KODIAC out of JAWLAAT by DAYJUR)
3  BABY NO WORRIES Jun01 May04 Mar16 Jan27 Dec23 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
4  MISS BETTY Aug04 Jul11 Jun19 May27 Dec13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by FROSTED out of TABLE THREE TEN by EL PRADO (IRE))
5  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Aug05 Jul18 Jun25 Jun06 Apr07 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 114 6.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of STREET DOLL by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  IMPLOSION Jul13 Jun03 Apr14 Mar03 Jan31 (giddings melan)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUITE EXPLOSIVE by EL CORREDOR)
7  HIDEKI Jul21 Jun07 Apr07 Mar20 Oct01 (walsh colleen)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of I'AM TOORIFIC by TETON FOREST)
 
PID-8   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 May22 Aug01 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
2  MAKE THE BED Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 May06 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  YANKEE TEA PARTY Jul04 Jan29 Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 (vitali j)STANLEY O 124 10.00 7% 12.70    
4  MOR SPRING SPIRIT May23 May09 Apr12 Mar13 Feb24 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  NOT TODAY GOVERNOR Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 May20 (markgraf david)BAYS BROOKE 117 20.00    
SCR  QOROKWE Jul10 Jun10 May29 May17 Apr28 (monserrate ma)DELGADO DAVID 124 20.00    
7  ELUSIVE CHANGE Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 Jun18   (russell rand)RINCON EDUARDO 124 12.00    
8  BLOODHOUND Aug05 May20 Oct10 Sep25 Sep08 (potts g)ALLEN D 120 4.00    
9  HOYLAKE Jul23 Jun18 Mar23 Feb16   (hetrick krist)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 ★    
10  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Jul17 Jun25 May22 Sep27 Aug21 (kintz matthew)FOX CHRIS 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.