Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/4/3)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/1/5)-(5/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/7/1)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(3/8)-(3/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/8)-(3/5/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET LAUNCHER Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 May30 Aug08 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 125 3.50    
  (by FACTUM out of AUNT SIS by STRAVINSKY)
CARSON N SPENCE Jul18 Jul05 Jun05 May15 May04 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SWEET ANGEL ROAN by STREET HERO)
FATHER FRANK Jul18 Sep07 Aug19     (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
EARL'S STORMY WIND         (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by INDY WIND out of BRICK BY BRICK by GRAND CIRCUS PARK)
SCR  OBI KENOBI         (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 4.50    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
HEIDI N SEEK         (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
 
BTP-2   08/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISTIC LANEY Jul25 Jul10 Jun15 May31 May22 (fernandez edw)SOSA LAUREANO 118 4.50    
I'M LEGIT Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct21 Oct06 (melancon paul)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
STEALTH MODE Jun24 Jun03 May14 Apr25 Oct21 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
MINESTRESS Jul17 Jun07 May22 Apr25 Mar01 (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 1.80 57% 0.80    
DANZANITEAWAY Jul12 Jun28 May24 May15 May02 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 120 4.00    
PRINCESS ELLIE Jun22 Jun07 May15 Dec14 Sep27 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 118 3.00    
 
BTP-3   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN LADY (IRE) Jun28 May31 May11     (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
PEEKABOOWILLIE Jul18         (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50    
SISSY'S MAY Jul25 Jun20 May31 Oct21 Oct06 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
TIERNEY Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 May22 Nov30 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
CONCORDSDIFFERENCE Jul10 May17 May31 May04 Sep08 (jordan rick)BUSH V 122 6.00    
 
BTP-4   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF FAME Jul12 Jun11 May29 Dec06 Nov02 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
CRIME SPREE Jun26 May19 May04 Feb23 Jan12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.50    
KING OF KENTUCKY Jul05 Jun20 May23 May10 Mar27 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  OVERHAUL Jul13 Jun29 Jun19 May11 May26 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00    
FIRERY TALE Jul25 Jun20 Jun08 May18 Apr26 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
BEACH FRONT Jul19 Jun21 May23 May10 Apr13 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00    
ORB OF THE BORO Jul25 Jul05 Jun08 Sep01 Aug15 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
 
BTP-5   08/03/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY AND BOLD Jul13 Mar28 Feb15 Dec28 Dec09 (knippenbe)CORREA L 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
VOTARY Jul17 Nov29 Nov01 Aug30 Jun29 (peach a)OUZTS W 122 4.00    
CENTENARY Jul24 Jun22 May29 May15 Nov30 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT GRIND Jul18 Jul03 Feb21 Jan31 Sep07 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 6.00    
ASSET PURCHASE May18 Apr18 Apr22 Mar04 Jan29 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
SWEETS MAKER May06 Feb29 Dec07 Nov03 Jul14 (foley greg)MCKEE J 122 12.00    
WICKED FROST Jun27 Jun08 Apr25 Feb23 Jan18 (greenhill jef)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
GOLDBLOODED Aug27 Jul02 May20 Jan20 Dec31 (fernandez edw)SOSA LAUREANO 122 15.00    
 
BTP-6   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA'S KID         (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 125 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by FAST ANNA out of KID ROCKETTE by LEMON DROP KID)
WILDCAT DANCER         (drury jr)MCKEE J 125 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of POLITE COMPANY by QUIET AMERICAN)
PARTY POOPER Jul20 May30 May16 Apr25 Apr01 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 120 4.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
GOLDSTRIKER Jun27 Jun07 Oct31 Oct12   (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of MONGOOSE GOLD by MONGOOSE)
LIAM'S ROCKET MAN Jul20 Jun14 Apr10 Jan10 Dec11 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
COUSIN JOE Jul20 Jun07 May22 May04 Mar06 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
 
BTP-7   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 May15 May03 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00    
SCR  STRIDE Feb15 Jan18 Dec22 Sep23 Aug04 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00    
SCR  LAUGH A LOT Jun07 Sep14 Aug05 Jul12 Jun21 (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 1.80    
BRILLIANT JOURNEY Jul05 Jun07 May17 Oct04 Sep13 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  NOBRAG JUSTFACT May13 Feb13 Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 (heitzman eric)OUZTS W 123 4.50    
SCR  PERUVIAN LUCKY Jun25 Jun04 May13 Mar21 Feb22 (gerteisen)CORREA L 123 8.00    
NAVY CROSS Jul17 Jun26 Sep20 Aug23 Jul27 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS Feb17 Dec22 Sep15 Jul11 Jun20 (van thom)LEBRON VICTOR 123 6.00    
HEMP HEAVEN Jun27 May30 May07 Mar22 Feb16 (wittek karyn)SOSA LAUREANO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-8   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAMBLIN CHROME Jul27 Jul08 Jun24 May18 Apr30 (mauro ju)LAFRANCEJR DOUGLAS 123 12.00    
LEAD ACTOR Jul20 Jun29 Jun12 May25 May09 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 15.00    
HOMERUNHAPPY Jul20 May21 Apr16 Dec20 Nov08 (mcgovern shan)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 49% 1.10    
SHAMMAH Jul19 Jun06 May23 Feb17 Feb04 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.50    
CRONUS Jul19 Jun08 May30 Dec06 Oct17 (medina tomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 3.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  JAHEZ Jun22 May23 May15 Apr26 Mar27 (fernandez edward)GARCIA F 123 5.00    
AMICABLE (IRE) Jul20 Jul10 Dec17 Dec03 Nov15 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
MIKIE O'PRADO Jul11 Jun11 Sep13 Aug30 Jul13 (fosdick steve)MCKEE J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
CAPE MARCO DRIVE Jul10 Oct24 Sep28 Sep20 Sep07 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.