Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - June 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/4/7)-(8/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/7)-(9/5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7)-(9/5/7/8)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (9/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/8)-(9/5/7/8/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/8)-(9/5/7/8/4)-(9/5/7/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/5/7/8)-(3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/8)-(3/2/4)-(1/3/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/3/9/5)-(1/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/9/5)-(1/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/5)-(1/5/6)-(7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(7/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(7/1/5)-(11/10/12/5/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(11/10/12/5/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(11/10/12/5/4)-(7/9/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (11/10/12/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/10/12/5/4)-(11/10/12/5/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (11/10/12/5/4)-(11/10/12/5/4)-(11/10/12/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/10/12/5/4)-(7/9/4/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/1)-(7/9/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/1)-(7/9/4/1)-(7/9/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   06/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAVELLER May28 Jul25 Jun30 Jun20 Jun02 (depasquale kimbe)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
PARTNER TOURS May27 May20 Oct20 Sep02 Aug20 (fennessy john)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00    
SCR  RANSEUR Jun01 May11 Apr27 Apr07 Mar01 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
CITY LEADER Jun05 Apr24 Apr12 Mar08 Dec02 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00    
PREGAME May27 Apr05 Oct11 Sep27 Aug28 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
SELASSIE May28 May03 Mar17 Feb17 Jan18 (matz mic)GALLARDO A 124 8.00    
CROWNED JEWEL May27 Apr24 Apr05 Mar15 Feb28 (connelly teres)ALLEN D 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH HEADED Jun05 May27 May01 Mar20 Feb01 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
PID-2   06/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIMA PRINCESS May29         (cheeks katy)ALENCAR WALBER 120 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
HAZARD PAY May29         (hamm tim)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MS DUPREE by VIOLENCE)
ANHINGA Jun05         (skawinski car)CARPIO JAIMEN 120 8.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of BLUE BIRD LADY by CONGRATS)
TWO SCOOPS         (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MY SUGAR by CONGRATS)
WILLOW OAK         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of JOYFUL CAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
HEY SCOOTER May31         (cash nor)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
GOLDEN DOGECOIN         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MULTITUDE by TIZNOW)
RAGTIME KITTY         (davis christ)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.50 7% 13.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MOON KITTY by WILDCAT HEIR)
GOOD NIGHT SALLY         (wismer glenn )WALKER M 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of GOOD SALLY by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
10  COURAGEOUS ARI Jun05         (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 20.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of THATZA WRAP by HARD SPUN)
 
PID-3   06/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF KONA Mar30 Mar01 Jan27 Dec23 Nov11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.00    
HUSH OF A STORM Mar02 Jan05 Dec16 Nov30 Oct18 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Jun05 Apr26 Mar24 Mar10 Feb16 (connelly teresa)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
ALEJANDRO Jun08 May27 May07 Apr21 Mar30 (cash l)ROJAS MARTINA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S A MESS May31 Apr27 Apr07 Mar02 Sep18 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
 
PID-4   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER EVE May27         (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 32% 2.20    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SKY MYSTIC by SKY MESA)
SHE'S GOT RHYTHM May27 Sep26 Sep06     (russell randal)ALLEN D 124 8.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of CHAMPAGNE RHYTHM by EDDINGTON)
REIGERT GIRLS Jun04 May20 Dec29 Nov15 Oct16 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of REIGERT by INTO MISCHIEF)
MODAROSA May18 Nov02       (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ESSENTIAL ROSE by BERNARDINI)
SHEZ UNTAPPABLE May27 Jul26       (russell rand)AYALA J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHEZA MAGIC MATCH by ZULU MAGIC)
R PENELOPE May27 Jul26       (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 124 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LA GREY ZULIANA by BORREGO)
SCR  ASHERAH'S RUN Sep26 Sep06       (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 20.00    
  (by JACOB'S RUN out of DIXIE FELINE by LANGFUHR)
HOPE SHE COMES May27 Sep26 Sep06 Aug25 Jul26 (morrell justin)LOPEZ DERECK 114 15.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of DELILAH'S SEVEN by SKY MESA)
FLEUR DELACOUR Dec20 Dec02 Oct25     (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of NO SEE UM by GREATNESS)
 
PID-5   06/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPLECROSS (IRE) May29 Apr02 Aug14 Jul23 May29 (depasquale ki)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SUSIE'S SAVER Jun03 Apr27 Apr12 Mar22 Mar02 (amaya joan)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00    
SWEET NOLA May29 Mar03 Dec07 Nov02 Oct14 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.00    
UPPITY UP Jun04 May20 Oct25 Oct11 Oct02 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 6.00    
CAT ONE May22 Nov10 Oct13 Sep11 Aug01 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 118 1.80 28% 2.50    
RIA FORMOSA May29 May11 Apr04 Mar23 Oct19 (fennessy john)ROJAS MARTINA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FOLLOW THROUGH Oct11 Oct02 Sep11 Sep04 Aug11 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 10.00    
SCR  GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME May29 Mar30 Feb28 Jan31 Jan13 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 118 5.00    
SCR  ZORA Jun03 Sep11 Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 (carr-rozantz ca)BAYS BROOKE 112 20.00    
 
PID-6   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLAIR May27 Dec27 Dec06 Oct28 Oct01 (allen lisa)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  SERENADE A KITTEN Jun04 May27 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 (valdez m)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00    
SCR  GOOGLY EYES May27 Jan19 Dec09 Oct29 Sep28 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
MITOLE MAGIC May27 Mar30 Jan14 Dec16 Nov05 (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
IMMORTALLOVE Mar31 Feb17 Dec20 Oct24 Oct03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Jun01 Mar22 Mar01 Feb04 Dec31 (cash l)ROJAS MARTINA 122 12.00    
NO TAPPIN OUT May21 Apr20 Mar13 Feb23 Nov29 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
SCR  A THOUSAND PLANS Jun05 May21 May06 Sep25 Sep01 (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 8.00    
RILEY JEAN May20 Apr18 Mar06 Feb10 Jan13 (amoss th)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00    
 
PID-7   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Tom Ridge Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONCE DE LEON May25 May04 Mar30 Jul23 Jun15 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
SCR  BUCCHERINO May05 Mar25 Nov11 Oct08 Sep09 (velazquez alfred)MARTINEZ W 118 3.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELLIMBUSTO by FIRST DUDE)
SHE'S FIRE May27 Nov04 Oct15 Sep26 Sep16 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 113 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY WISH LIST by FLATTER)
ADIOS NOW Apr28 Mar29 Mar10 Jan31 Jan05 (tharrenos will)CIVACI SAHIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of STANDBYYOURMANGIRL by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
GOING UP May22 Oct23 Sep26 Aug05 Jul16 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
SWEET SODDY J May18 Apr28 Apr06 Mar15 Feb24 (cash l)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
HECTOR May20 May04 Apr14 Sep20 Sep05 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
SCR  ROI SOLEIL Jun16 May19 Apr18 Aug20   (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 118 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EDEN'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
TWILIGHT DANCER Jun04 Feb19 Jan30 Dec26 Nov28 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
10  APOLLO TEN Apr18 Nov04 Sep22 Aug25   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
11  MR SKYLIGHT May18 Apr20 Mar16 Feb10   (mott riley)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LIGHT BRINGER by NORTHERN AFLEET)
12  VOTE NO Mar23 Feb02 Jan06 Oct08 Sep13 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SISTAS READY by MORE THAN READY)
 
PID-8   06/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING ROUND Jun04 May28 Oct16 Sep13 Aug30 (valdez moise)AYALA J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWITCHRATTLENROLL May29 Mar14 Feb29 Jan31 Jan10 (valdez m)RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00    
ELSA'S ROCKET May22 Jun14 May03 Apr12 Mar25 (bowersock ma)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
ENCHANTED MELODY Apr10 Apr02 Mar06 Feb19 Jan25 (gilmartin bre)CARPIO JAIMEN 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  QUEEN OF HEARTS May18 Apr26 Apr14 Mar29 Feb09 (fennessy john)WALKER M 118 12.00    
PRETTY FLATTERING May28 Mar09 Jan17 Dec29 Sep19 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Jun04 May28 Oct16 Sep28 Aug30 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
TUDOX RUE MAJESTIC May28 Sep13 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (depasquale ki)ROJAS MARTINA 122 10.00    
STARSHIP MACYS Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 Aug01 Jul11 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.