Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(6/2/1)-(9/4/6/8/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(9/4/6/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(9/4/6/8/7)-(4/3/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/4/6/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/8/7)-(9/4/6/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/8/7)-(9/4/6/8/7)-(9/4/6/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/6/8/7)-(4/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/4/6/8/7)-(4/3/2)-(5/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(5/3/4)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/2/5)-(9/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(9/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (9/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/5)-(9/2/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5)-(9/2/5/1/8)-(9/2/5/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Apr09 Mar21 Feb29 Feb07 Jan11 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
2  NOBLE JON Mar21 Mar07 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 8.00    
3  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Mar27 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 (moreno ti)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
4  PORTAL ONE Mar21 Feb29 Jan24 Jan08 Dec06 (montford lesl)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHARGE TO VICTORY Apr12 Mar29 Mar02 Feb09 Dec09 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
6  LOST IN NEWYORK Feb07 Jan12 Dec07 Nov17 Jul06 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60    
 
PEN-2   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRECHMO GIRL Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 Dec21 Dec01 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 6.00 5% 17.20    
2  WILD CREATION Jan10 Nov09 Oct16 Sep14 Aug23 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 4.50 30% 2.30    
3  WIN FOR LAILA Mar22 Mar13 Feb22 Dec28 Dec14 (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 10.00    
4  DISCO DAISY Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00    
5  LADYNESS Apr25 Mar22 Feb09 Jan11 Dec21 (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00    
6  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Mar22 Mar08 Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
PEN-3   05/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPIN HARD Mar06 Feb16 Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 (jacklin theodor)RODRIGUEZ E 120 50.00    
2  MARCUS JUNIUS Mar30 Mar06 Jan04 Dec09 Nov11 (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50    
3  DORSODURO Mar01 Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 (rideout rona)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
4  MUSKOKA GIANT Mar06 Feb16 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 (beattie sandee)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  LONG TOM Mar30 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan10 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
6  MIGHTY MINION Mar29 Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 May25 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 12% 7.50    
7  COUSIN BOB Jan10 Dec08 Oct25 Sep07 Aug25 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BUSHWICK BRUISER Apr25 Apr05 Mar07 Jan31 Nov29 (deiter kell)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 10.00 5% 18.30    
9  MINEOLA MIKE Mar22 Feb21 Jan31 Dec31 Nov04 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
10  DON'T QUESTION ME Mar30 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Dec21 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA PRIMA Mar14 Feb28 Jan28 Nov22 Oct09 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
2  JACK'S LILLY Apr02 Feb29 Feb02 Jan26 Dec29 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 8% 11.20    
3  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Feb29 Feb08 Jan25 Dec16 Nov04 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  NO EASY ANSWER Mar27 Feb21 Sep06 Jun30 May06 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
5  ASHLEE'S RING Apr12 Mar27 Feb08 Jan25 Jan06 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00    
SCR  MUSKOKA SUMMER Mar13 Feb08 Jan26 Dec14 Dec01 (rideout ronald)FLORES E 120 5.00    
 
PEN-5   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPORICAL Feb21 Feb14 Jan19 Dec15 Nov30 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 119 3.00    
SCR  CHUCK ADAMS Mar25 Feb21 Dec06 Nov15 Nov03 (kravets b)VARGAS L 119 4.00    
3  NORTHWOODS Mar15 Feb22 Jan25 Jan12 Dec13 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
4  MALIBU'S BOSS MAN Mar22 Mar01 Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 114 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  CHUCKA MOON Mar15 Dec06 Feb10 Jan20 Nov18 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Apr10 Mar25 Mar06 Jan26 Dec29 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECTACULLARI Apr02 Mar14 Jun15 Apr28 Mar10 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.00    
2  MIKEY'S JEWEL Mar14 Feb29 Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
3  DESI'S REWARD Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 Sep20 Sep14 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  BILLIEANNE Mar25 Mar13 Feb23 Jan26 Nov22 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00    
5  LOVE IS STRONG Mar22 Mar13 Feb22 Aug24 Aug08 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  KATY THE CAT Mar21 Feb29 Jan31 Jan10 Dec07 (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 4.00 ★    
7  SERENE WARRIOR Mar14 Feb29 Feb02 Dec07 Nov24 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50    
 
PEN-7   05/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRITICAL THINKING Mar01 Jan19 Dec13 Dec01 Nov08 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 4.00 ★    
2  LORD WINSALOT Mar21 Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 Jan19 (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
3  CAJUN OCCASION Apr06 Mar21 Feb29 Feb16 Jan19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
4  SPINNING MUSICIAN Apr08 Mar01 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 8.00    
5  COPPERHEAD CREEK Mar15 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 Dec28 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Mar21 Jan26 Dec29 Dec10 Nov19 (murtough step)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
7  TWIXTER Mar15 Mar06 Feb16 Jan31 Dec27 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 12.00    
8  PRATT Feb22 Feb09 Jan10 Dec13 Dec01 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 ★    
9  TRIBAL NOTION Feb29 Feb09 Jan19 Dec13 Dec01 (o'callahan carl)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.