Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(2/3/4)-(2/7/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(2/7/6/5)-(7/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/5)-(7/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/5)-(7/4/2/1)-(13/12/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (7/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/1)-(13/12/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/1)-(13/12/6)-(8/9/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (13/12/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (13/12/6)-(13/12/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (13/12/6)-(13/12/6)-(13/12/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (13/12/6)-(8/9/7/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (13/12/6)-(8/9/7/6/1)-(14/10/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-7   WIN (8/9/7/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/6/1)-(8/9/7/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/6/1)-(8/9/7/6/1)-(8/9/7/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/7/6/1)-(14/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-8   WIN (14/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (14/10/4)-(14/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (14/10/4)-(14/10/4)-(14/10/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JET FLIGHT Apr21 Apr06 Sep28 Sep03 Aug27 (perez manny)COLON H 116 8.00    
2  BOURBON LIFE Apr25 Apr07 Mar02 Feb02 Dec15 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 116 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  LITTLE STEVEN Apr21 Mar14 Feb10 Jan11 Dec16 (winebaugh cheryl)MOJICA O 122 1.60 33% 2.00    
4  SILVER CHILLER Apr21 Mar24 Jul20 Jul13 Jun18 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANCIENT MAN Apr13 Apr06 Mar24 Nov14 Oct31 (hughes w)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
6  T LAW Apr21 Aug30 Aug20 Jul30 May29 (moreno irv)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50    
 
HAW-2   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLOTROPE Mar31 Feb02 Jan12 Nov21 Oct18 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
2  SAMARITA Apr10 Dec02 Oct13 Sep19 Sep03 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 5.00 56% 0.80    
3  FIRST LOVE Apr20 Mar21 Mar01 Feb03 Jan11 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  CALY BALI Feb15 Dec30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 (rosin w)FELIX E 122 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Mar30 Feb07 Oct02 Aug17 Jul29 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 122 3.00    
6  BALI BABY Apr27 Oct24 Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 (zawitz joel)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
SCR  MITOLE MAGIC Mar30 Jan14 Dec16 Nov05 Sep16 (davis christo)HERNANDEZ K 116 6.00    
8  ANGEL EXPRESS Mar30 Sep21 Sep04 Aug13 Jul19 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  PROBLEMATICA Apr07 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 Dec08 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 116 10.00    
SCR  NIFF Apr14 Mar30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
SCR  SHORT STRAW Apr27 Mar24 Oct24 Sep26 Sep04 (rodriguez jose )REYES ANGEL 122 30.00    
SCR  ADIOS MUCHACHAS Apr06 Mar23 Mar08 Jan12 Oct11 (mason ingr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 116 15.00    
 
HAW-3   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME HEIST Apr21 Mar31 Nov20 Oct21 Oct06 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 2.00    
2  RIVZONAROLL Mar31 Feb22 Dec21 Dec02 Sep28 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Apr16 Nov18 Sep23 Aug30 Aug13 (bentler don)FELIX E 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  BOURBON TEDDY Apr21 Mar31 Mar23 Nov13 Nov01 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RED LABEL Apr17 Mar15 Feb22 Jan11 Jul26 (lynch e)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
 
HAW-4   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA HOOT Apr20 Mar31 Oct03 Sep16 Aug23 (perez manny)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
2  STYLE Apr13 Feb24 Feb04 Jan10 Nov25 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 1.20 39% 1.60    
3  STACK SHACK Apr20 Apr13 Mar31 Jan04 Dec10 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
4  TAP N TWINE Apr20 Apr14 Mar31 Aug16 Jul27 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 20.00    
5  LADY ATLANTIC Apr20 Apr07 Mar23 Mar23 Oct29 (ryan a)MOJICA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GO STORMIN GIRL Apr07 Mar31 Jan03 Oct23 Sep26 (cook brian)COHEN DAVID 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  SUMMER AT THE SPA Apr20 Feb07 Dec08 Nov10 Oct25 (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
HAW-5   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUNG MISCHIEF         (essenpreis edward)MOJICA O 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of YOUNG ROYALTY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
2  PONTUS Apr13         (manley steve)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 9% 9.90    
  (by GIO PONTI out of AGILE WONDER by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
3  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET Sep16 Sep01 Aug20 Jul30 Jul07 (clay pat)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 4.50    
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
4  TOSCANO         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LAUDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  LA PERFECT BEE         (dorochenko)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 10.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of PERFECT LA COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
6  LONE RETURN Mar23 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
7  RIVER RIDGE Apr13         (campbell michael)FELIX E 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of VIOLENCIA by VIOLENCE)
 
HAW-6   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER THE MAINE Apr21 Apr06 Mar24 Nov11 Oct28 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
SCR  RED HORNET Apr07 Mar24 Oct24 Sep07 Jul21 (vanden britt)FELIX E 122 5.00    
SCR  SIERRA HOTEL Apr13 Jan21 Dec08 Nov17 Aug27 (rodriguez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  SIMPLE LOGIC Apr06 Jan28 Jan04 Dec07 Oct09 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
SCR  ROGUE ELEMENT Apr14 Mar31 Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 (cook brian)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
6  DYNABLUE Apr06 Mar23 Oct03 Aug27 Aug09 (poulos dee)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HONEST TO GOODNESS Sep21 Sep03 Apr16 Nov20 Nov06 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
8  LAND MARK DEAL Apr16 Nov10 Oct17 Sep30 Sep04 (manley steve)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00    
SCR  SON OF GRACE Mar30 Mar23 Nov04 Oct24 Oct04 (hughes ear)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 30.00    
10  BAKENEKO Mar24 Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 Oct07 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
SCR  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Mar20 Feb28 Jan26 Jan03 Nov30 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 4.50    
12  JEFF THE LION Sep04 Aug06 Jul12 Jun21 May18 (boyce mich)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 10.00 24% 3.30    
13  BEEALEA Apr21 Mar31 Feb15 Jan15 Nov04 (rodriguez eduar)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
HAW-7   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY PAL Apr07 Jun24       (winebaugh chery)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LATE BLACKSMITH Mar23 Nov11       (lopez elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 30.00    
3  POND Apr06 Mar24 Oct24 Sep03 Aug13 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 118 30.00    
4  PONCHO ATTACK Apr13 Mar23 Oct21 Sep23 Sep03 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
5  PIRATE MARMALADE Apr14 Mar24 Sep29 Aug31 Aug20 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 20.00    
6  GOD GUNS N GUTS Apr13 Mar23 Dec03 Nov11 Oct21 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00 5% 18.00    
7  DEFIANT MALICE Apr07 Mar23 Feb17 Dec08 Nov24 (arnett g)FELIX E 118 4.50 12% 7.20    
8  THE SPEEDY ONE Apr13 Mar22 Mar02 Jan11   (scherer gary)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
9  BORDER PATROL Dec20 Dec06 Oct12 Aug31 Aug16 (block chris)MOJICA O 124 2.00 14% 6.10    
 
HAW-8   05/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEGREE OF RISK Mar23 Aug03 Feb05 Jan02 Nov11 (harty eoin)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00    
2  RUNWITHHEART Mar23 Feb09 Dec22     (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 116 20.00    
SCR  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Feb10 Jan15 Nov24 Apr18 Aug20 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 6.00    
4  ICE SHARD Apr06 Oct09 Sep20 Aug16 Jul26 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPAN Apr20 Mar23 Nov29 Nov11 Oct21 (zawitz joel)GILES EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
6  DAPPER DUDE Apr06 Mar24 Feb25 Feb12 Dec30 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Mar10 Jan21 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 (hernandez arman)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
SCR  SUPER WISE Mar31 Mar14 Jan21 Jan07 Dec08 (scherer g)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
SCR  COOL AND COLLECTED Oct09 Aug24 Jul23 Jun08   (block chris)COLON H 122 20.00    
10  AQUACAT Oct11 Aug09 Jul05 Jun07 May21 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Mar23 Feb25 Jan04 Dec07 Aug17 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
SCR  MASTEROFHISCRAFT Mar08 Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 Sep22 (stidham micha)HERNANDEZ K 116 15.00    
SCR  RONIC Mar08 Feb10 Jan19 Nov17 Oct21 (arnett g)FELIX E 122 10.00    
14  DANVILLE Apr14 Feb25 Jan10 Oct15 Aug16 (banks chris)COLON H 122 20.00 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.