Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/4/1)-(3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/5)-(7/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(7/4/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3)-(7/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(3/6/9/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-5   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/3)-(3/6/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/3)-(3/6/9/1)-(1/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/9/1)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/1)-(1/7)-(1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HAW-8   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/4/2)-(1/7/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET HOTSHOT Apr14 Mar24 Sep16 Aug30 Aug09 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
2  CHICKS FOR FREE Apr14 Mar24 Nov30 Nov18 Oct31 (zawitz joel)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50    
3  TONALTALITARIAN Oct29 Oct11 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 8% 12.30    
4  FLYING SAMURAI Apr14 Mar30 Sep28 Sep11 Aug30 (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 ★    
5  KRAMDEN Apr13 Oct31 Oct14 Sep26 Sep09 (castro is)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00    
6  UNIFIED WEEKEND Apr14 Mar30 Jan28 Dec30 Oct27 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 0.80 67% 0.50    
 
HAW-2   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIGATOR Mar30 Feb15 Dec21 Dec08 Oct30 (reid r)COLON H 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  STRANGE ARRANGE Mar30 Mar06 Feb01 Sep12 Aug09 (watkins m)EMIGH A 124 1.80    
3  AUTOPILOT Jan04 Dec16 Nov08 Oct14 Aug27 (arnett jon)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  TONYS MORNING LINE Apr06 Nov18 Nov07 Oct24 Oct03 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  LUCKY SHOT Mar30 Sep25 Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
 
HAW-3   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST KITTEN Apr13 Mar23 Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
2  BALI DREAMIN Mar30 Feb16 Jan26 Dec22 Aug03 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 1.60    
3  KAELY'S SISTER Mar30 Sep25 Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  SHEZ STUCK UP Apr06 Nov18 Oct17 Sep02 Aug19 (mcdonnell be)GILES EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
5  RACEDAY ATTIRE Nov18 Sep09 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 (zawitz joel)FELIX E 122 4.50 8% 12.20    
 
HAW-4   04/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONI'S COUP Oct24 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Sep23 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
2  ITWASTHISBIG Apr06 Mar07 Feb23 Jan18 Dec21 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50    
3  ACTION SEEKER Apr07 Mar07 Feb16 Jan13 Nov30 (arnett g)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PATH TO SUCCESS Apr06 Mar24 Feb29 Feb03 Jan13 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  CATEGORY TEN Apr07 Mar01 Feb01 Dec22 Nov27 (meraz anto)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00    
6  MCMONEY Mar22 Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 Nov04 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  COMEDIC TIMING Apr06 Mar21 Feb07 Jan03 Dec21 (villa francisc)COLON H 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-5   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH VALOR Oct26 Sep23 Aug25 Jun19 May22 (arnett jon)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Apr13 Nov17 Oct31 Oct04 Sep20 (haran john)FELIX E 122 6.00    
3  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Apr06 Jul26 May31 May18 Apr30 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNCAPTURED PULSE Apr06 Mar31 Oct07 Sep23 Sep16 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
5  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Apr13 Mar24 Jan13 Dec05 Aug27 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
6  WINGING WAYS Apr06 Nov17 Nov04 Oct10 Oct03 (quinonez max)COLON H 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
7  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Apr06 Mar23 Jan21 Dec30 Dec02 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
HAW-6   04/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUREATE Apr13 Jul13       (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GIANNO Apr13 Mar23 Nov24     (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.00    
3  SHARP STICK Apr07 Mar01 Dec30 Aug28 Jun29 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  HOT CUPPA COFFEE Oct28 Sep16 Aug17 May06   (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
5  ALVIN Feb02 Jan11 Nov30     (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 6.00    
6  ICE AXE Apr06 Oct26 Sep29 Sep08 Jul27 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
7  COWBOY CAUSE Mar15 Dec08 Nov15     (litfin veronic)COLON H 118 20.00    
8  THE RIDGE Apr07         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 5.00    
9  PERFORMANCE PLUS Mar23 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec22 (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 118 8.00 12% 7.00    
 
HAW-7   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERDUE HONOR Oct06 Aug20 Jul19 May20   (roussel j)FELIX E 122 1.60 74% 0.40    
SCR  UNCLE DICK Jul23 Jul05 Jun18 May31 May04 (gonzalez agusti)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
3  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Apr06 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 Jun03 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
4  MAD DRAGON Apr13 Aug06 Jul30 Jun25 May25 (bigelow e)MOJICA O 122 5.00 ★    
5  STOLICH Aug31 Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 Jun27 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 ★    
6  JUST BECAUSE Apr20 Mar15 Mar02 Feb10 Dec29 (litfin veron)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
7  GETTIN PAID Apr13 Mar08 Jul31 Jul07 May08 (childers vance)COLON H 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  MASQUERADE BALL Apr20 Apr06 Sep29 Aug31 Jul27 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
 
HAW-8   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSED (GB) Mar16 Feb15 Jan04 Oct22 May29 (gonzalez a)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00 61% 0.60    
2  PALACE MAGIC Apr13 Mar23 Feb13 Dec12 Dec05 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 ★    
3  SIGNATURE STREET Sep27 Sep06 Aug19 Jul20 Jun10 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
4  FRANKEL BABY Nov08 Sep24 Aug19 Jul08 May27 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 ★    
5  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Dec01 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Sep04 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50    
6  BALI BABY Oct24 Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 Aug09 (zawitz joel)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 6% 16.90    
7  DESSERT FIRST Mar23 Mar02 Feb02 Jul13 Jun08 (lopez elias)COLON H 122 3.50 7% 14.40    
8  SHORT STRAW Mar24 Oct24 Sep26 Sep04 Aug13 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
9  RUNNERS HEAT Aug31 Aug06 Jul16 Jun22 Jun11 (wilson sharo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.