Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - April 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(6/2/7/4)-(6/2/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/9/5)-(3/5/6/2/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/5)-(6/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/5)-(6/2/9/5)-(6/2/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/9/5)-(3/5/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/9/5)-(3/5/6/2/8)-(9/1/5/6/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (3/5/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/2/8)-(3/5/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/2/8)-(3/5/6/2/8)-(3/5/6/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/6/2/8)-(9/1/5/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/2/8)-(9/1/5/6/7)-(5/1/7/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (9/1/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/6/7)-(9/1/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/6/7)-(9/1/5/6/7)-(9/1/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/5/6/7)-(5/1/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/6/7)-(5/1/7/2)-(1/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/2)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/2)-(1/7/3)-(3/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(3/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/7/6)-(3/5/8/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BID ON BLUE         (brown a)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SYNERGIST by SMOOTH BID)
2  EXCLUSIVE ORIGINAL Mar28         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of ORIGINAL GOLD by SLAVIC)
3  THOR'S LAD         (campbell larry )BOCACHICA O 116 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of THOR'S DAUGHTER by TIZNOW)
4  IRISH WIZARD Jan03 Dec02       (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
5  BIG BOY OVI         (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
6  UNCLE PRESS Jul06 Jun16 May18 Apr27 Apr13 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BACK DOOR CUT by CIVILISATION)
7  MIC'D UP         (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.50 ★    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of OVERHEAR by E DUBAI)
 
CT-2   04/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Apr05 Mar14 Mar01 Feb09 Jan31 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
2  CLEARLY VISIBLE Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jan05 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR Mar14 Feb29 Feb02 Dec07 Nov24 (beattie cody)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 3.50    
4  PRACTICALLY THERE Mar29 Dec09 Nov10 Nov01 Oct20 (campbell t)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Apr06 Mar28 Feb01 Jan10 Nov30 (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
6  TIMEISGOLDEN Mar15 Feb28 Jan26 Jan05 Nov18 (cornwell james)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
7  SOMMER VELVET Apr06 Mar29 Mar16 Aug18 Jul08 (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
8  THUNDERTURTLE Mar29 Feb15 Jan27 Nov15 Sep14 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
 
CT-3   04/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN SABINE Jan27 Jan05 Dec15     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of JUNGLE DIAMOND by JUMP START)
2  UNITE THE GIRLS Mar20 Mar06 Feb02 Jan03   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  MASH TATERS Apr06 Mar20       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TWO STONESRBETTOR by BUSTIN STONES)
SCR  FULL OF CHARM Jul20 Jul06       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of FULL OF INTENT by MASTER COMMAND)
5  SHOTGUN MARGARET Feb16 Jan27 Dec15 Oct27 Oct12 (shuler r)LARROSA G 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
6  AIM'S REDIRECT Apr06         (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by REDIRECT out of EVEN AIM by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  QUINN ELIA Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jan05 Oct27 (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of UNMISTAKABLE by MALIBU MOON)
8  GHOSTLY ANNA Mar08 Feb10 Feb02 Jan14 Dec15 (atkins)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
9  LADY RAMBO Mar20         (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 8% 11.90    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of EURO INDIAN GIRL by EUROSILVER)
 
CT-4   04/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Mar30 Feb21 Jan26 Jan10 Dec22 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
2  RIDE THE RAPIDS Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan13 Dec09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 10% 9.20    
3  FLAT DISCOUNT Mar29 Feb03 Jan26 Jan05 Dec12 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
4  EMBERLY Apr12 Mar30 Mar15 Mar08 Feb28 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
5  DULCE KIARA Oct14 Sep09 Aug10 Jul21 Jul01 (demario charles )CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
6  NIGHTTIME JUSTICE Mar21 Jan26 Dec28 Nov15 Oct17 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
7  UNCAPTURED RUBY Jan27 Jan05 Dec16 Dec02 Nov16 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 120 20.00    
8  FORTUNATA ITALIA Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Nov12 Oct19 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Feb02 Nov22 Nov08 Oct05 Sep13 (martinez josep)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   04/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR JERRY Feb16 Jan26 Dec30 Nov22 Oct16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
2  MO EH HENNESSY Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Feb10 Jan26 (brown kei)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
3  GLENHOLME Mar29 Dec01 Nov10 Nov03 Oct20 (garrido raul)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 20.00    
4  AIR KENNEY Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
5  AKITO Mar19 Jan11 Dec27 Dec18 Nov15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 15% 5.90    
6  BOSS HOLIDAY Mar21 Mar06 Jan24 Dec08 Oct05 (albright amy)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
7  SMOKIN SMITTY Apr05 Mar28 Mar13 Feb24 Feb17 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  TIZAFASTBULLET Mar14 Feb22 Jan12 Dec10 Nov24 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00    
9  LANDON JACK Mar30 Feb24 Jan27 Jan12 Dec15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
10  MONEY MAC Mar20 Feb24 Feb03 Jan27 Jan13 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 5.00    
SCR  THANK YA PETE Aug26 Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 Jul01 (cooney s)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   04/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL SURPRISE Mar07 Feb17 Jan04 Nov29 Oct20 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  ONE CANDY CASTLE Mar21 Mar01 Feb09 Feb03 Jan04 (johnson r)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIME TO CHOOSE Mar14 Mar01 Feb09 Feb03 Dec14 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
4  SUGAR LIPS Mar20 Nov30 Nov24 Oct27 Oct18 (carlisle )SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 30.00    
5  CANDY FOR JUBA Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Nov25 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  CALYPSO JOHN Mar07 Feb17 Jan04 Oct13 Sep29 (contreras jav)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 8.00    
7  RAISE A RUCKUS Mar28 Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 6.00 8% 11.70    
8  VALHALLA'S PALACE Mar29 Feb15 Jan24 Dec15 Nov03 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00    
 
CT-7   04/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENGUIN POWER Nov16 Oct14 Aug25 Jul13 Jun17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
2  GOLDEN KEY Mar02 Dec14 Nov16 Oct14 Aug25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 ★    
3  MATH MAN MARCO Jun17 May19 Apr28 Feb22 Dec14 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PINK DINGHY Mar02 Feb03 Dec08 Aug18 Jul21 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
5  ROCKET APPEAL Mar20 Mar02 Feb07 Dec14 Jul21 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Apr04 Mar16 Feb07 Jan25 Nov22 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
7  AMIDSHIPS Mar21 Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00 5% 17.70    
8  ALLEN CAN DO IT Mar16 Feb29 Feb07 Jan25 Nov29 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00    
9  ICING Mar29 Feb18 Feb11 Jan05 Nov15 (allen ferris)MENA E 120 4.50    
 
CT-8   04/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARNOUGHT Mar29 Mar13 Feb10 Jan25 Jan10 (clatterbuck f)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
2  EISELE Mar28 Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 Sep30 (hummer)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00    
3  LOST WEEKEND Mar29 Mar08 Dec01 Nov09 Apr15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 66% 0.50    
SCR  ROLL ME OVER Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec12 (cuttino marion)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
5  OCEAN STORM Mar29 Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 Jan04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 9% 9.90    
6  GET OFF MY CLOUD Mar28 Mar13 Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 ★    
7  AIR MEDAL Jan25 Dec01 Nov18 Nov11 Oct25 (gazzier kristy)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00 ★    
8  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Mar28 Mar13 Mar02 Jan31 Jan12 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  SIENTE EL AMOR Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Nov11 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
10  SETTLEMENT DATE Apr13 Mar29 Mar13 Mar02 Feb15 (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
11  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Apr13 Mar13 Mar06 Feb15 Jan31 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
SCR  LEG UP Mar28 Mar06 Jan31 Jan04 Dec09 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00    
SCR  NEVER GREW UP Apr05 Mar10 Mar01 Feb09 Jan06 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  SIMPLY JACK Dec09 Sep20 Aug20 Jul31 Jun07 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.