Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - April 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(6/8/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-2   WIN (6/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/3/2)-(6/8/9/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/9/2)-(1/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/2)-(1/2/7/3)-(8/6/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(8/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(8/6/2/5)-(6/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (8/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/5)-(6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/5)-(6/9/5)-(3/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-5   WIN (6/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/5)-(6/9/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/5)-(6/9/5/7)-(6/9/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/5)-(3/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/5)-(3/6/8)-(6/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
OP-6   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/7)-(3/6/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(6/5/7)-(4/1/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
OP-7   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/9/1)-(6/5/7/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(4/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(4/1/10)-(3/8/1/9/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-8   WIN (4/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/10)-(4/1/10/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/10)-(4/1/10/6/3)-(4/1/10/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/10)-(3/8/1/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-9   WIN (3/8/1/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/9/10)-(3/8/1/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/9/10)-(3/8/1/9/10)-(3/8/1/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY COMMANDER Mar24 Feb02 Jan13 Nov04 Jun25 (fires h)COURT K 121 2.50    
2  TYRONA Mar07 Feb02 Dec30 Dec08 Oct11 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.50 54% 0.90    
3  WAR MUSIC Mar24 Feb11 Jan06 Sep29 Aug11 (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 116 10.00    
4  GHOST BAYOU Mar02 Jan12 Dec30 Dec02 Nov09 (rufino eusebio )VAZQUEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FEARLESS KRISTIE Mar22 Mar03 Dec15 Oct10 Sep16 (jordan todd )BARBOSA CARLOS 118 4.00    
6  DELPHIA Mar10 Feb18 Feb04 Jan13 Dec09 (mcknight norman)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CODE FOR SUCCESS Mar15 Mar01 Jan27 Nov19 May25 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
OP-2   04/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTERY MAN Mar01 Feb09 Jan28 Sep24 Aug28 (martin timot)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 20.00    
2  PULL MY CHAIN Dec16 Sep18 Aug27 Aug12 Jun17 (martin william )BOWEN ROCCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DESOTO'S WAR Mar09 Feb13 Dec30 Dec03 Aug06 (broberg k)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 ★    
4  REUP Mar21 Feb16 Jun17 Jun07 May06 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00    
5  DRILL'S LI'L MAN Mar22 Mar03 Feb19 Jul03 Jun12 (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 123 20.00    
6  VERB Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 Nov23 Sep25 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  WHOOPING JAY Dec29 Dec16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep29 (petalino joe)WALES T 121 20.00    
8  PALACE KITTEN Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 Nov22 (gibson jo)TORRES A 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
9  WYFIRE Feb09 Jan06 Dec05 Nov24 Sep09 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00 13% 6.90    
 
OP-3   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY FOR TROUBLE Mar21 Feb02 Dec31 Dec17 Nov08 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  SISTER ELLA Mar23 Mar07 Feb10 Jan18 Nov16 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  JANUARY JUBILEE Mar21 Jan12 Dec31 Nov24   (hartman chri)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SINGSATIONAL Jan21 Dec15 Oct12 Sep22 Aug26 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 3.50    
5  CHIP SHORTAGE Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 Jan12 Dec16 (jordan t)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
6  SHOW ME THE CANDY Mar08 Feb02 Dec20 Nov22 Oct11 (cates al)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
7  MISS SAIPAN Jun17         (gutierrez)TORRES A 121 10.00 10% 8.70    
8  RONNIE'S DEAL Aug05 Jul17 Jun25     (tranquilino sa)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
 
OP-4   04/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALMILLA'S BET Feb10         (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 115 30.00    
2  LINE RUNNER Feb23         (martin timot)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 5.00 18% 4.70    
3  SUENA Mar09 Feb24       (dixon tim)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
4  TANDI SUE Mar22 Mar08       (von do)FUENTES A 124 3.00    
5  MOR HAPPY HOURS Mar29 Jan20 Dec11 Nov10 Sep22 (vance d)JUAREZ NIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUN FOR HOME Dec01 Nov10       (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  UNION DAME Mar08 Feb04 Dec17     (santamaria carlo)BEJARANO R 124 3.50    
8  SEVEN NATTY PATTY Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 Aug10 Jul08 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
OP-5   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POWER ALLEY Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Nov02 Sep24 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00    
2  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Mar22 Mar14 Feb25 Feb10 Jan27 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 12.00    
3  HUSKER BUTCH Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Jan27 Dec30 (riecken bruc)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 10.00    
4  SPEIGHTSVILLE Mar17 Feb24 Nov14 Oct11 Sep16 (trout r)QUINONEZ S 121 20.00    
5  CROCODILE TEARS Aug16 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May28 (rarick w)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABSOLUTE CHAOS Mar22 Mar09 Feb11 Feb11 Jan28 (stuart shea)JUAREZ NIK 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
7  CACTUS Mar14 Feb11 Jun15 Apr28 Apr01 (cunningha)DE CRUZ 121 5.00 ★    
8  BALSA Mar22 Mar10 Feb09 Nov02 Oct10 (cravens r)TORRES A 124 4.00    
9  INDULGE Mar14 Feb25 Jan26 Jan04 Oct12 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
OP-6   04/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DINNER AT CRUMPIES Mar22 Mar09 Dec17 Sep09 Jul09 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
2  AFLEET SKY Feb25 Jan26 Dec17 Jun19 May06 (milligan allen)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00    
3  LOCHMOOR Mar22 Mar02 Feb09 Jan01 Apr29 (riecken b)TORRES A 124 1.60 64% 0.60    
4  STUCK N SNOW Mar15 Feb25 Feb03 Jan05 Apr08 (von donn)QUINONEZ S 117 15.00    
5  CYBERTOWN Mar29 Feb17 Aug15 Jul21 Jul08 (rufino eusebio )VAZQUEZ A 124 20.00    
6  BLACK APPLE Mar09 Feb11 Dec17 May14 Apr16 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 8% 12.10    
7  MAN IN THE CAN Mar22 Mar09 Feb09 May06 Mar26 (moquett rona)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 5.00 ★    
8  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Mar22 Mar02 Feb09 Jan06 Dec16 (knott s)BEJARANO R 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-7   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAILSTORM Mar08 Jun01       (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 122 12.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HAPPY MESA by SKY MESA)
2  GO THE DISTANCE         (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of BELLA COACHELLA by FAVORITE TRICK)
3  OKIE CLIPPER         (murphy swa)COURT K 122 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SECRET FILE by SMART STRIKE)
4  STORMS HOME         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of NELLA VETRINA by BERNARDINI)
5  CAPITAL CONNECTION Mar15 Jan27       (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CONNECT out of KARAOKE QUEEN by FLATTER)
6  COACH JIMI D Mar30 Mar08 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 (divito p)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHANGHAI SNOOKIE by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
7  RONALDINHO Mar09 Feb16       (miller pe)TORRES A 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of APALACHEE SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  GIMMEETHREESTEPS         (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 20.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of AMANDA'S ICE BOX by ICE BOX)
9  CHARBON Mar15         (rosin w)QUINONEZ S 122 6.00 ★    
  (by COAL FRONT out of PURE RIDE by SIMON PURE)
 
OP-8   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VODKA MARTINI Mar29 Jan26 Nov10 Oct11 Jun02 (broberg k)TORRES A 121 8.00 20% 3.90    
2  MANTA REY Mar29 Feb11 Dec29 Dec09 Oct10 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
3  BRESLAU Mar29 Feb24 Dec29 Dec15 Oct23 (hobby ste)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.50 ★    
4  W W SCOUT'S HONOR Feb24 Jan01 Dec09 Nov07 Jul04 (becker scott)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 6.00 52% 0.90    
5  CODE FIVE Mar14 Feb23 Dec10     (owens kory)QUINONEZ S 118 20.00    
6  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Mar14 Jan01 Dec09 Aug09 Jul19 (divito j)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 ★    
7  MUSICAL MAESTRO Mar16 Feb19 Jan06 Dec17 Jun26 (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 124 30.00    
8  CATHEDRAL BEACH Mar24 Feb23 Feb02 Nov17 Feb10 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 4.00    
SCR  CHIRINGO Apr07 Feb22 Feb07 Oct25 Sep13 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.50    
10  MIDNIGHT TAXES Mar15 Feb25 Feb03 May28 May06 (hartman chris)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-9   04/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STILLBILLY Mar07         (moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 108 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  DEVIL'S SHADOW Mar15 Mar07 Feb25 Feb09 Sep11 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 115 50.00    
3  YOU'RE ON MUTE Feb11 Jan06 Dec06     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  PRINCE IS MY BOY Mar15 Mar07 Feb11 Oct26 Aug27 (rosin w)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 15.00    
5  BOOTS N BOURBON Feb25 Jan13       (fires h)COURT K 115 50.00    
6  GET AWAY WITH IT (IRE) Mar29 Mar08 Feb23 Jan12   (martin ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 12.00    
7  EQUATE Mar08 Feb11 Jan06     (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
8  CAPTIVE AUDIENCE Mar01         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
9  STRICKLAND Mar24 Mar07 Feb11 Jan12 Dec16 (brennan t)TORRES A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  OUR HEAVENLY GIFT Mar29 Mar15 Feb25 Feb04 Jan01 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MY BROTHER MIKE Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Jan26 Dec16 (simonovich dan)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00    
12  RAINBOW MAN Mar28 Feb29       (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
SCR  OUTLAW RUN Mar30 Mar14 Feb25 Feb09 Jan01 (cline n)ZIMMERMAN R 119 12.00    
SCR  I GOT A GUY Feb23 Jan12 Dec16 Dec09 Sep23 (martin ti)TORRES A 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.