Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - April 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(2/1/7)-(3/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(3/5/1)-(2/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/1/4)-(4/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/6/3/5)-(4/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/5)-(4/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/5)-(4/3/6/2)-(2/4/8/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/2)-(2/4/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/2)-(2/4/8/6)-(9/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/6)-(9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (9/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/8)-(9/7/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/8)-(9/7/8/3/6)-(9/7/8/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLIE RULER Mar31 Dec12 Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  MISS WINDY SLEW Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb04 Dec29 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWEET NELLIE Mar30 Feb25 Jan01 Aug31 Aug13 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.50    
4  HELEN MAE'S SONG Mar31 Feb01 Dec21 Jul06 May30 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 5.00    
5  COOKIN ROSES Mar31 Nov14 Oct17 Sep23 Sep05 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 122 4.50 ★    
6  THINK BLUE Nov11 Oct21 Oct10 Sep19 Sep02 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  TAP N TWINE Mar31 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Jun18 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
 
HAW-2   04/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT ROAD Mar24 Mar07 Jan01 Nov19 Oct07 (block chris)MOJICA O 118 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of EARLYBIRD ROAD by CHEROKEE RUN)
2  RAVIN'S TOWN Jul09         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DANCE PLAY by MALIBU MOON)
3  HAY MOON Oct16         (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DUVESSA by MORE THAN READY)
4  MONEY AIN'T ENOUGH         (tracy tann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 6.00    
  (by STROLL out of TOUGH RIPPLES by GOOD AND TOUGH)
SCR  GAVEL Jan18 Nov24 Sep03     (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
6  PIRATE MARMALADE Mar24 Sep29 Aug31 Aug20 Jul26 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  MIDTERM Feb16 Sep03       (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BETRUETOYOURSCHOOL by SILVER TREE)
 
HAW-3   04/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUILTING PARTY Aug31 Aug10 Jun18 May31 May07 (kirby fran)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Dec16 Oct27 Oct10 Aug10 Jun08 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
3  CAT ATTACK Dec23 Sep04 Jul20 Jun22 May21 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
4  BABY GUNDIN Mar13 Jan31 Nov18 Oct09 Sep11 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 5.00    
5  FIRESIDE KITTEN Mar13 Feb28 Jan17 Dec07 Oct23 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
HAW-4   04/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLIE'S RAINBOW Mar30 Nov18 Oct31 Oct10 Sep05 (mosier haro)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  OPALINE Apr07 Aug03 Jul16 Jun08 May20 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
3  NIFF Mar30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 Aug24 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
4  LUNARCHY Mar30 Nov18 Oct31 Sep08 Aug03 (meraz anto)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
5  STARSOVERPARADISE Jul22 Jun25 Jun04 May20 Apr30 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00    
6  YOU'RE A DANDY Mar30 Dec03 Nov05 Oct23 Oct05 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 122 3.50    
 
HAW-5   04/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM ATTACK Nov18 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 Aug27 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
2  BAR MONEY Mar24 Nov07 Oct14 Sep12   (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 12.00    
3  MISS RIVER RAT Mar24 Feb15 Jan07 Dec10 Dec03 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.00 12% 7.30    
4  WILDWOOD TRIPLE Apr02 Mar12       (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
5  RUMBRANDT Mar30 Nov07 Oct12 Aug16 Jul09 (boyce michele)COLON H 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  R KATIEBUG Mar24 Feb21 Aug24 Jul30 Jul12 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 3.00 21% 3.90    
7  REBA ATTACK Mar24 Jul11 Jun21 May25 May16 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
 
HAW-6   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITE LIES Aug31 Aug17 Jul06 Jun14 May21 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50    
2  CHROME ATTACK Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 Apr23 (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RACETOTHEFINISH Nov07 Oct17 Aug26 Aug05 Jun14 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  RAINY MOUNTAIN Jun14 Jun01 May14 Apr23 Mar30 (kirby j)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  COMMISSIONER GULCH Nov07 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug24 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
6  RIETTA Mar24 Feb21 Aug16     (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
7  CANTOO Nov07 Oct03 Sep19 Sep02 Aug15 (wainwright john)FELIX E 122 8.00    
 
HAW-7   04/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GITA'S LAD Mar24 Jan03 Dec01 Oct19 Sep04 (young r)FELIX E 124 5.00    
2  DOUBLE THUNDER Feb17 Jan27 Dec18 Dec07 Nov15 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  ROCKET HOTSHOT Mar24 Sep16 Aug30 Aug09 Jul09 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
4  DANVILLE Feb25 Jan10 Oct15 Aug16 Jul23 (winebaugh )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  ROGUE ELEMENT Mar31 Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 Sep15 (cook brian)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
6  FLYING SAMURAI Mar30 Sep28 Sep11 Aug30 Jul19 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00 7% 14.00    
7  CHICKS FOR FREE Mar24 Nov30 Nov18 Oct31 Oct21 (zawitz joel)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00    
8  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Mar31 Jan07 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
 
HAW-8   04/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUTURE VISION Mar30 Nov04 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
2  KEEN RESPONSE Mar24 Nov11 Oct24 Oct14 Sep16 (mosier haro)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
3  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Mar30 Oct18 Sep20 Sep02 Aug09 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 8.00 ★    
4  SPEEDY G Oct31 Sep26 Sep09 Jun08 May25 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 10.00    
5  STORM BORN Mar30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct24 Oct14 (castro isidr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
6  MISTER CHARMING Mar24 Sep23 Aug13 Jul16 Jun22 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00 ★    
7  ONE WAY HOME Mar24 Nov18 Nov11 Oct24 Sep19 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  SCAT SHACK Mar31 Dec06 Nov20 Nov05 Oct04 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  UNIFIED WEEKEND Mar30 Jan28 Dec30 Oct27 Sep16 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 2.50 74% 0.30    
SCR  NOT VERY GENTLE Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 Jul09 Jun21 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.