Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Sunday - March 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (3/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/4)-(1/2/4/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/6)-(7/5/2)-(6/9/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-3   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/9/1/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/3/8)-(6/9/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/3/8)-(6/9/1/3/8)-(6/9/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-5   WIN (1/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5)-(1/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-6   WIN (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/8)-(9/8/3/2)-(5/9/10/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-7   WIN (9/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/3/2)-(9/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/3/2)-(9/8/3/2)-(9/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/3/2)-(5/9/10/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-8   WIN (5/9/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/7)-(5/9/10/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/7)-(5/9/10/2/7)-(5/9/10/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/24/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABULOSITY Mar15 Mar03 Feb18 Jun11 May26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50    
MUSTANGMAGNA Mar10 Mar02 Feb18 Jul06 Jun15 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
MARINA Mar01 Feb07 Jan13 Dec16 Nov21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 34% 1.90    
PIECE OF ME Mar10 Mar03 Feb16 Jan04 Dec18 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
DIXIE TRIXIE Mar10 Jun04 May14 Apr21 Mar25 (dieter dalton)BACON W 120 15.00    
MIDSUMMER SOIREE Mar10 Feb16 Sep27 Sep06 Aug01 (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 125 3.50 22% 3.60    
ANGIE'S REVRAC Mar10 Oct28 Oct21 Oct07 Sep04 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
FON-2   03/24/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVE Mar08 Feb25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun17 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
ORCADIAN STORM Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Dec13 (sanderson br)BETHKE A 125 10.00 18% 4.70    
LOVENSEEK Mar02 Feb25 Sep30 Aug06 Jul29 (bunn shawn)BACON W 120 12.00    
CAPTAIN DON Mar08 Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 Aug27 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 14% 6.30    
DAAHERS BULLY Mar08 Feb24 Dec30 Dec06 Nov11 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 2.50    
JUSTIN SPEIGHT Mar02 Feb24 Oct07 Jul23 Jul15 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 8% 12.20    
GRAND PRADO Mar08 Feb22 Feb07 Jan04 Nov25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
RETALIATED Mar08 Feb25 Mar11 Feb11 Nov30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50    
 
FON-3   03/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEY SISSY Apr05 Mar29 Feb16 Feb02   (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 120 12.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of ON HOLD by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
TEDDYISTRUCKING Mar08 Feb17 Dec13     (ramaekers eric)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GATEAU ST HONORE by DON GATO)
TALL TALE Feb25 Feb08 Jan05 Nov10 Sep22 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 121 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of ABSOLUTE BEARING by MIZZEN MAST)
RICHIE'S GAL Mar10 Feb25 Feb17 Dec16 Dec01 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 121 12.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of RAVIN'S RICH GIRL by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
OLIVIA'S HOPE Mar03 Sep01 Aug04 Jul08   (hines han)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
CANARY NATION Mar10 Sep22 Sep08 May26 Apr21 (foley sea)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of YADDO CANARY by MINESHAFT)
MISS YOU NO MORE Mar10 Feb17 Nov08 Oct13 Sep09 (rushton templ)BACON W 116 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by ELMAZEED out of MISS YOU HOME by FIVE STAR DAY)
MASTER JANE Mar03 Sep04 Aug19     (rushton temple)RAMOS B 121 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
FON-4   03/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDIES CLAIM Mar10 Feb25       (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00 5% 18.30    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of SPANKED by DEPUTY MINISTER)
TRAINCY Mar10         (rivera grego)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of BRIDAL TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
CALL ME SUGAR         (thomsen paula)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of GOLDEN BROWN SUGAR by MINE FOR GOLD)
FABLED TALE Mar10         (hoffman rober)BACON W 116 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of TALETOBETOLD by TALE OF THE CAT)
MAY B BETTER Mar10 Feb25 Oct07 May20 Mar10 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 3.50    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of PRINCESS PATTY B by ALPHABET SOUP)
DIAMOND GO GIRL Mar10 Feb25       (donlin d)RAMOS B 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by SING BABY SING out of FIFTY CURLS by CURLIN)
S C HUSKER GIRL Feb25         (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 121 15.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
EYE EYE BIRDIE         (emerson elisabet)MARTINEZ A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of P R KIPLING'S GOLD by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
RUN FOR MRS RIGGS Jun17 May12 Apr29     (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by BANDWIDTH out of BACKINTHEGAME by LANGFUHR)
 
FON-5   03/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NONA Mar10 Oct21 Sep30 Sep13 Aug30 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 1.20 41% 1.50    
  (by GRAY METEOR out of ELUSIVE VACATION by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
LADY MAZATLAN Feb25         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of LADY LUCY by INTO MISCHIEF)
ALL LEGS Mar10 Feb25       (musquiz j)DELORME L 125 10.00 9% 9.80    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of SWAN'S WING by TENPINS)
CLARA SMILES Feb25         (condon schuyler)LUARK M 125 15.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of LIGHT DEELITES by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
THATTA PEPPA Mar10         (thomsen p)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of GOLD 'N WHITE by ALKE)
CHAMPAGNE CHANNEL Mar10 Apr08 Mar24 Mar10   (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPANKED by DEPUTY MINISTER)
DIAMONDSFORAYBRIE Mar10 Feb25       (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of SAMI'S SONG by KISSIN KRIS)
GO LILLY GO Mar10 Feb25       (coughlin chri)FACKLER CHRIS 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ANOTHER VEGAN by ISTAN)
 
FON-6   03/24/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARBO SPEAKS Mar10 Mar01 Oct21 Aug06 Jul21 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
FASHION FACT Mar10 Feb24 Jun03 May19 May12 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 5.00 10% 9.40    
D'WILD MUFFIN Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec28 Dec16 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
MY GOLDEN BLING Mar10 Mar02 Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
CELTICS WILDCAT Mar10 Aug05 Jul19 Jul08 Jun21 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 2.00 25% 3.00    
NEBRASKA RED Mar10 Jun04 Jun03 May19 Apr28 (mcclain stanle)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE EMILY Mar17 Mar01 Feb24 Sep23 Sep08 (bunn shawn)BACON W 120 15.00    
MILLI STARR Mar10 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 (luke l)LUARK M 125 10.00 5% 18.80    
 
FON-7   03/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE MY TIME Mar16 Oct29 Oct22 Oct07 Oct01 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 15.00    
BIG HEARTED FACTOR Oct29 Oct21 Sep09 Jul30 Jul15 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00 7% 12.50    
COWORKER Mar15 Mar01 May19 May13 Apr29 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 4.00 13% 6.40    
SUBSCRIPTION Jun16 May28 May12 Apr29 Apr15 (thompson grady)LUARK M 125 12.00    
RAFAEL'S SURPRISE Mar09 Feb24 Feb17 Dec14 Nov21 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
SCR  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR Oct22 Oct08 Jul03 Jun19 May20 (hawley joe)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
SCR  CHIEF TY HE Mar08 Oct30 Oct29 Oct08 May14 (hemmer terrel)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
BIG BIZ Mar02 Oct29 Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 5.00 21% 3.80    
BRUIN MAGIC Mar15 Feb25 Oct27 Oct21 Sep24 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 0.80 31% 2.20    
10  FRANKS DEHERE Mar08 Feb24 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 (bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
 
FON-8   03/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREW CASA Sep15 Aug25 Jul31 Jul23 Jun30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00    
SECRET MISTRESS Mar01 Apr24 Apr04 Mar11 Feb20 (sanderson br)BETHKE A 125 6.00    
STREAKIN' EASY Oct22 Sep29 Aug18 Jul30 Jul23 (condon schuyler)LUARK M 125 12.00    
THINKITASADONATION Feb16 Feb04 Jan13 Oct04 Sep15 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
T R'S FIRST Mar10 Feb10 Jan19 Jan06 Dec21 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  AKASI Mar01 Feb10 Jan12 Dec13 Nov25 (thompson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
REINA DEL SUR Mar10 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 Aug12 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
PALM COURT Mar10 Feb25 Oct22 Oct08 Aug27 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50    
DOLLY DIMPLE Mar10 Mar01 Oct29 Oct22 Oct01 (bliss dean)BACON W 120 10.00 25% 3.00    
10  SHACKED STATESIDE Mar10 Jan13 Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 (donlin d)DELORME L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.