Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(2/5/6)-(4/9/10/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/9/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/9/10/1)-(2/5/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/9/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/10/1)-(4/9/10/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/10/1)-(4/9/10/1/5)-(4/9/10/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/10/1)-(2/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/10/1)-(2/5/6/4)-(1/7/6/10/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(1/7/6/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(1/7/6/10/5)-(6/4/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/7/6/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/10/5)-(1/7/6/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/10/5)-(1/7/6/10/5)-(1/7/6/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/10/5)-(6/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/10/5)-(6/4/5/3)-(8/6/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/3)-(8/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/3)-(8/6/4/1)-(1/7/6/10/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/1)-(1/7/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/1)-(1/7/6/10/3)-(3/7/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/7/6/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/10/3)-(1/7/6/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/10/3)-(1/7/6/10/3)-(1/7/6/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/10/3)-(3/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/1/5)-(3/7/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS DAMIAH Dec08 Aug05       (marrero nesto)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00    
2  MIA'S CAT Jan07 Nov03       (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 15.00    
3  SHE'S THAT GIRL Dec16         (galvan baltazar)WALES GARY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEA'S DREAM Dec15 Nov25 Jun30 May06 Apr26 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00    
5  MISS UNCONCERNED Jan14 Dec24 Dec09 Nov25 Oct15 (rivera xavie)ARROYO S 122 1.00 64% 0.60    
6  GROUND STOP         (damen daniel)BATISTA A 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
7  STORM CREED Jan05 Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 Sep06 (parra hern)URDANETA J 122 3.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   02/14/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICIOUS MOVES Jan31 Jan10 Dec16     (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00 ★    
2  DREAM TRAP Jan18 Dec22 Dec01 Oct16 Sep26 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 111 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  SPIRIT OF POWER Jan27 Jan19 Oct29 Aug24 Jun02 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 118 1.80    
4  OUR FORTUNE COOKIE Jan31 Jan17 Oct29 Oct14 Sep03 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00    
5  MARTINI'S AMICA Feb03 Jan12 Dec30 Dec15 Aug26 (amado enrique)REYES LEONEL 118 10.00 20% 4.00    
6  LA DAME DE FER Jan31 Jan14 Dec14 Dec01 Oct16 (james gerald)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00 6% 15.10    
7  D'ORO BABY Jan31 Jan14 Dec31 Dec15 Nov02 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 6.00    
8  ZIPPY ZINNY Jan31 Jan14 Dec30 Dec15 Oct06 (nunez mau)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 8.00    
 
TAM-3   02/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLPO D'ORO Jan05 Dec13 Oct04 Sep03 Apr14 (ryan s)CASTANON L 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  BALLINDINE Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 Oct06 Sep09 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00    
3  AIRMAN Feb02 Aug30 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 (lopez r)MORALES PABLO 119 12.00    
4  TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE) Dec03 Apr02 Feb18 Jan07 Dec03 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  TORO FORWARD Jan05 Dec13 Oct11 Sep24 Sep06 (aguayo ramo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 ★    
6  GENERAL COMMAND Jan06 Dec13 Aug20 Jul29 Apr22 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
7  MUSIC GEM Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 Aug18 May31 (perkinson c)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 30.00    
8  MORETHANICANHANDLE Jan06 Dec01 Oct06 Sep09 Jul09 (breen ke)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
9  HUMBLE WARRIOR Jan06 Nov16 Oct10 Sep13 Jul15 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 33% 2.00    
10  SUENO PROFUNDO (ARG)         (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 119 4.50 6% 15.70    
SCR  ERUDITE (FR) Jan26 Dec13 Jun30 May03   (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 112 30.00    
SCR  THREE O ONE Jan20 Dec31 Dec22 Dec06 Oct11 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 20.00    
SCR  DIAL HIM UP Jan24 Jan06 Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 (mendieta ale)MORELOS E 119 15.00    
 
TAM-4   02/14/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODS HOLE Jan19 Jan03 Dec27 Oct07 Aug25 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
2  SHABAM Jan27 Nov29 Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  STRIKING CHROME Jan19 Jan03 Dec15 Sep16 Jul30 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.00    
4  CHICA BOOM Jan24 Jan03 Nov29 Sep03 Aug24 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 15.00 8% 10.90    
5  TWIRLING GRACE Feb04 Jan27 Dec30 Jun25 Jun04 (cordero anton)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00 17% 4.80    
6  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Dec24 Sep22 Jul30 Jun23 Jun02 (braddy j)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
7  SNEAKY CHEEKY Jan31 Dec30 Dec09 Nov12 Nov02 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.50    
8  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Jan27 Jan01 Dec07 Oct29 Oct14 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 122 12.00    
 
TAM-5   02/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANTASKET BEACH Jul23 May31 Apr27 Mar22 Feb22 (breen j)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 33% 2.10    
2  LAPINSKI UNION Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 Oct13 Aug10 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00    
3  LINO'S KID Mar22 Feb26 Jan16 Dec19 Nov29 (perkinson c)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 30.00    
4  AWESOME HONOR Jan21 Dec13 Nov24 Aug13 Jul01 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
5  BARREL OF QUESTS Dec31 Nov16 Nov02 Sep17 Jul02 (granitz ant)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  IT'S GRAVY Jul16 Apr01       (breen j)CENTENO E 119 6.00 12% 7.40    
7  WOW WISH Dec23 Dec03 Oct01 Aug13 Jul14 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 25% 3.00    
8  PRALINE'S CAT Jan24 Jan05 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
9  SAMARITANO Jan05 Dec13 Aug18 Jul14 Jun11 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
10  STORMY VICTORY Dec31 Oct20 Aug24 Aug03 May19 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 119 6.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  BOLD BLUE Jan21 Dec27 Dec16 Mar15 Feb04 (barron rory)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00    
SCR  DISTORTED TIMES Aug19 Jul15 Apr28 Apr12 Mar24 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 119 30.00    
SCR  MORE CHANCES Dec31 Sep28 Sep20 Sep02 Aug03 (roque elis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
SCR  LORD OF THE NILE Jan06 Nov24 Oct06 Jul01 May06 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00    
 
TAM-6   02/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S IN CHARGE Feb04 Jan05 Dec13 Nov22 Oct27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 4.50    
2  POLITICAL RIOT Jan20 Jan05 Dec06 Aug26 Aug03 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00    
3  BEAR CREEK Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Sep27 Sep18 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  AUGER Jan15 Oct23 Oct06 Sep18 Sep07 (rivera xavie)MORELOS E 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
5  WANDERING WEST Jan26 Oct14 Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 119 10.00 18% 4.50    
6  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Nov04 Oct11 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 121 1.60 37% 1.70    
7  LORD BARNA Jan07 Dec30 Dec15 Jul05 Jun13 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
8  SKIPPERINI Dec27 Dec16 Oct22 Sep23 Apr29 (puckett dwi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 8.00    
 
TAM-7   02/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AQUARIUS MOON Jan17 Dec07 Oct08 Sep03 Aug18 (stormfelt juli)CASTANON L 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of REMEMBER THE KEG by TAPIT)
SCR  SECRET TREASURE Jan17 Dec23 Jun09 May14 Apr08 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
3  SILENT MODE Oct26 Sep29 Sep06 Mar25 Feb25 (saville niall)CENTENO E 122 20.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of VAGUELY FAMILIAR by A.P. INDY)
4  GOING CONCERN (GB)         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  ADMIRAL CURL Dec23         (hunt donald)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DOTHRAKI SEA by UNION RAGS)
6  BIG COMMERCE Jan11 Dec10 Nov03 Mar18 Feb18 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHE'S A WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  LEGITIMIZE         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 122 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of MISS EXCLUSIVE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  MAGISTRATE Jan17 Dec28 Dec02 Oct26   (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  AU PARADIS         (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 3.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TAM-8   02/14/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLDS ON HIGH Feb04 Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
2  H C HOLIDAY Jan27 Dec24 Nov18 Nov05 Oct10 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00    
3  ALVY Jan13 Jan03 Dec24 Nov22 Nov03 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING RAMOS Jan27 Dec30 Jun10 Apr29 Mar26 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 15.00    
5  HOP AND SCOTCH Jan28 Dec24 Dec16 Dec01 Oct27 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
6  DEEP FAITH Jan27 Dec15 Oct20 Sep20 Aug19 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 11% 8.00    
7  EXACTING Feb02 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Oct06 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
8  CUPID'S DUDE Jan26 Nov04 Oct07 Aug19 Jul16 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 118 4.00    
9  KERNESS Dec09 Sep13 Aug26 Jun28 Apr22 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
10  EMBER Jan26 Jan14 Dec20 Nov17 Nov05 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 118 6.00 6% 16.20    
 
TAM-9   02/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS TENKO Jan27 Oct27 Aug31 Aug03 Jun11 (simone micha)ARROYO S 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  LOVE RHAPSODY Jan24 Dec14 Nov24 Sep01 Aug12 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 112 12.00    
3  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Dec23 Dec01 Nov03 Oct08   (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 1.80 54% 0.80    
4  WAR MUSEUM Jan27 Jan19 Sep03 Aug11 Jun30 (ryan s)BATISTA A 119 3.50 7% 14.30    
5  GLORIOUS WAVE Jan27 Jul09 May26 Apr22 Apr01 (drake rob)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 ★    
6  EMPIRE GIRL Jan27 Jan14 Dec31 Dec22 Dec06 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 121 30.00    
7  LADY AZTECA Jan24 Dec17 Oct28 Sep01 Jul30 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  BEASTIE GIRL Jan27 Jan19 Nov22 Sep09 Aug17 (rountree cathy)BUSH V 119 12.00    
9  ENCHANTMENT (FR) Dec30 Nov22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
10  SUSIE'S SAVER Jan27 Jan12 Dec29 Dec08 Dec01 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 12.00    
SCR  C C'S FREEDOM Dec15 Aug18 Jul15 Jun04 May05 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
12  TAP AND CHU Jan14 Dec22 Dec13 Apr15 Feb11 (cahill steven )CEDENO CAROL 119 20.00    
SCR  SYLLABUS Jan27 Jan19 Dec08 Sep29 Sep08 (dominguez lu)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Feb01 Dec08 Oct24 Sep09 Aug26 (hunt donald)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.