Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - February 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (10/6/4/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/4/2/1)-(10/6/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/4/2/1)-(10/6/4/2/1)-(10/6/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/4/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/4/2/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(1/2/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/1)-(1/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/1)-(1/2/7/4)-(9/7/3/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-3   WIN (1/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/3/4)-(1/2/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/7/4)-(9/7/3/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/4)-(9/7/3/5/10)-(7/4/2/6/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-4   WIN (9/7/3/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/5/10)-(9/7/3/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/5/10)-(9/7/3/5/10)-(9/7/3/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/3/5/10)-(7/4/2/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/5/10)-(7/4/2/6/5)-(1/6/2/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (7/4/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/2/6/5)-(1/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/6/5)-(1/6/2/4)-(8/3/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/8/4)-(1/6/2/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/2/4)-(8/3/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/4)-(8/3/9/5)-(1/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (8/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5/10)-(8/3/9/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/9/5)-(1/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/3)-(1/9/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/3)-(1/9/3/8/7)-(1/9/3/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUT IT BACK DAVE         (mojica edith )VARGAS P 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRAVE DAVE out of EEPOPPORKAHAH by KELA)
SPECIAL STORMY Dec08 Nov24       (chatters benard)BIRZER E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of HEAD FOR HOME by WHISKEY WISDOM)
DONEGAL DREAMER Jan21 Dec08 Aug20     (noel dane)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
WHATDIDWEDO Jan11         (noel dane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MIDNIGHT BALLET by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
LEGENDARY DRAGON Dec06 Nov15       (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 5.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BERTIE'S IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
MIGHTY MESSAGE Dec16 Nov12       (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIANT REVIEW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GARFISH         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00    
  (by YANKEE GENTLEMAN out of SCARLET TRIBUTE by GOLD TRIBUTE)
PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Jan21 Nov02 Oct07 Sep12 Aug21 (husak j)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LA BOMBA by MENIFEE)
HE'S ALL EARS Jan20 Dec07 Nov18 Nov03   (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of EARSAHEAD by EUROEARS)
10  SLEW SKIES Jan13 Dec09 Nov24 Oct21   (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CIELO GRIS by TWIRLING CANDY)
 
DED-2   02/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OURPERFECTPRINCESS Dec28 Nov17 Oct21 Aug06 Jul24 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 3.50 14% 6.00    
SAY WHAT Jan26 Dec28 Nov04 Aug06 Jul04 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 116 4.50 15% 5.50    
APRETTYLULABY Dec15 Oct28 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 12.00    
BARRANCA Dec15 Nov22 Nov08 Oct19 Jun24 (zenon shelton)FUSILIER C 116 15.00    
FROSTY BREW Jan19 Dec30 Nov30 Nov20 Oct18 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
TAYLOR'S SECRET Dec27 Dec15 Nov25 Aug12 Jul06 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
DEBBIES PASSAGE Jan05 Dec13 Nov11 Oct28 Oct11 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 116 8.00    
SCR  ZERO POINT ZERO Dec16 Nov29 Oct28 Oct12 Jul21 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
GABY'S PROMISE Jun08 Oct13 Aug19 Jul28 Jul15 (giangrosso r)DEL-CID MARLON 111 15.00    
 
DED-3   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSEPH H Dec16 Nov29 Oct28     (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
MAGNOLIA SPEED Jan13 Dec28 Dec16 Nov17 Oct21 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
TOP PRIORITY Dec31 Nov17 Oct21     (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
TIZNOW TOM         (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMOKEY G Jan13 Dec02 Nov17     (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
POUND OUT A DEAL Dec28 Dec02 Nov10 Oct21 Jul20 (pomier d)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
KNIGHT'S GOLD Jan05         (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
HALF GUILTY Jan13 Dec16       (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 8.00    
AUTUMN ROB Dec02 Nov10 Oct28 Aug29 Jul20 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
10  LEXINGTON RIVER Jan13 Dec19       (bryant al)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
SCR  MIDLAND KID         (daigle walte)DEL-CID MARLON 115 20.00    
SCR  I NITA WARRIOR Jan20 Dec19 Dec06 Nov18 Oct26 (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
 
DED-4   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLEVER PRINCE Jan05 Dec02 Aug10 Jul29 Jun30 (bonin jr)POMPELL L 123 8.00    
REGINALD AURELIUS Dec08 Nov22 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 123 15.00    
RAZZ Jan12 Dec08 Nov22 Oct27 Aug11 (prejean raymond)STOKES J 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
PAC THE PULPIT Dec19 Apr27 Apr13 Feb10 Jan18 (zenon shelto)DEL-CID MARLON 118 15.00    
GTUONE BUCK Nov22 Jun26 Jun04 May14 Mar24 (larrosa a)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
SAUCY ARGUMENT Jan11 Jun29 Jun01 May18 Apr19 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 123 15.00    
GONE SOLUTION Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Jun23 May26 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
SOULOLOGY Jan12 Dec19 Dec07 Nov22 Feb28 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00    
DEAL WITH HIM Jan06 Dec16 Dec08 Nov01 Apr16 (landry r)THORNTON G 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
10  PROUDTOWN Jan05 Feb25 Feb01 Dec19 Nov25 (west henry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRUE CRIMSON Nov15 May26 May12 Mar22   (gelner scott)ROSIER R 123 8.00    
SCR  LITTLE WARRIOR Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov22   (melancon donald)FUSILIER C 123 8.00    
 
DED-5   02/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BITSY'S DOUBLE DAY Aug06 Jul23 May12 Apr26 Mar03 (ramirez e)STOKES J 120 8.00    
SERENA'S SERENADE Jan06 Nov09       (knudsen kent)ROSIER R 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
GRACE'S VISION Jan06 Dec20 Dec13 Dec02 Nov16 (daigle walt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
SCRAPPY Jan06 Dec14 Nov21 Jul29 Jul23 (bernard john)POMPELL L 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
TENSAS CLEAR Jan25 Dec28 Dec14 Nov30 Oct27 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN'S SOLDIER Jan25 Nov16 Aug05 Jun16 Apr12 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 6% 15.70    
NALIYA MARIE Dec06         (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
GLORIOUS GEARS Dec21 Dec06 Nov09 Jul13 Oct12 (mason shane)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
SHE'S THE SHERIFF Jan06 Dec16 Nov11 Jun29 Jun02 (silva walter)DEL-CID MARLON 118 10.00    
10  TIZ A BREAKUP Dec20 Dec06 Aug12 Jun17 Aug04 (bernard john)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
SCR  SHEHASANATTITUDE         (husak j)THORNTON G 123 6.00    
SCR  ACESANDDIAMONDS Jan27         (thompson kevin)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
 
DED-6   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTERN BANKER Dec19 Nov17 Oct27 Aug27 Aug06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00 35% 1.90    
OUT MAKING TREBLE Jan05 Dec19 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 (mason shane)FUSILIER C 123 6.00 6% 14.60    
MAGNOLIA RIDGE Jan12 Mar23 Jan22 Jan01 Dec16 (breaux samu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
FORTY STRANGERS Jan12 Dec13 Nov17 Oct28 Oct13 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
BUFFETT Dec29 Dec13 Oct27 Oct06 Aug11 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50    
EAGLEFORD Jul31 Jul16 Jun24 Jun16 May27 (bryant georg)MAGNON H 123 6.00 35% 1.90    
D W STRONG Dec01 Oct27 Aug19 May19   (butler w)STOKES J 123 8.00    
DEFINE Jan12 Dec30 Nov30 Sep20 Aug30 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 4.00    
GROSSE TETE IAN Jan05 Nov16 Nov04 Oct07 Sep09 (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
SCR  AWESOME CAJUN Dec19 Nov22 Oct27 Jul27 Jul07 (coats t)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
SCR  IRON N STEEL Jan18 Dec20 Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Jan27 Jan05 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00    
 
DED-7   02/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SON CARLOS Jan11 Dec28 Nov09 May22 Feb15 (dunn ray)STOKES J 119 10.00    
BET AGAIN Dec14 Nov15 Jul06 Jun08 Apr29 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 20.00    
RISKTAKER Dec28 Nov18 Oct18 Sep10 Aug14 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
SEEHOSS Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 (daigle walte)DEL-CID MARLON 114 10.00    
FLOWER CAT Dec20 Nov15 Oct27 Jun25 May27 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
ROCK SOLID WORDS Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 Sep03 Aug05 (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Jan15 Dec30 Dec14 Nov23 Sep04 (thompson kevin)ROSIER R 119 20.00    
HEARTTHROB HALO Dec28 Dec14 Nov24 Nov11 Oct20 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
LION HEART LEGEND Dec28 Nov29 Nov11 Oct07 Jun16 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 3.50 12% 7.60    
10  CPRIORITY Dec30 Dec14 Nov30 Oct13 Mar26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 8.00    
SCR  RISKY PRIORITY Jan27 Dec30 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50    
 
DED-8   02/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 34 F PT- 9:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDA FAYE         (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.00 56% 0.80    
VALERIE'S CHANCE Nov16         (garcia jose )DEL-CID MARLON 113 8.00    
RUN FOR JOY Nov10 Oct21 Sep30     (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 3.00 5% 18.90    
TALL TALE Jan05 Nov10 Sep22     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 118 15.00    
MALLORY UNBRIDLED Jan06 Dec13 Oct25 Sep03 Aug06 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
MARY WHO Jan18 Dec13 Aug14     (bryant a)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
BOLD EXAGGERATION Nov30 Nov21 Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 (tillis e)STOKES J 123 6.00    
DYLAN'S DREAM Jan05 Nov30 Nov10     (arndt theodore)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
GEMMY Jan11 Dec28 Dec14     (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.