Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/8/4/2)-(1/3/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/2)-(1/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/2)-(1/3/6/7)-(5/9/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-3   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/7)-(5/9/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/7)-(5/9/2/7)-(3/6/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/7)-(5/9/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/7)-(5/9/2/7/1)-(5/9/2/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/2/7)-(3/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/2/7)-(3/6/4/5)-(2/9/1/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/5)-(2/9/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/5)-(2/9/1/3/7)-(3/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/9/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/3/7)-(2/9/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/3/7)-(2/9/1/3/7)-(2/9/1/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/1/3/7)-(3/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/3/7)-(3/4/1)-(2/5/10/8/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/5/10/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/5/10/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/10/8/4)-(2/5/10/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/10/8/4)-(2/5/10/8/4)-(2/5/10/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU BELIEVE IN ME         (fincher rhett)BURNINGHAM J 123 4.00 12% 7.60    
2  SMOKIN MOTION Dec30 Dec17       (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 123 3.50    
3  SASSY SPRY Sep12 Sep02 Jul21 Feb22   (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 10% 8.50    
4  HIDDEN LOVE Dec28 Nov30 Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  ACESANDDIAMONDS         (thompson kev)DEL-CID MARLON 115 12.00    
6  MODDIE         (nelson r)STOKES J 123 6.00    
SCR  SHEHASANATTITUDE         (husak j)THORNTON G 123 8.00    
 
DED-2   01/27/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLEEP BLEEP Jan13 Dec14 Oct27 Jul13 Jun15 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 5.00    
2  GUITAR DOCTOR Dec30 Dec07 Nov17 Oct14 Jan20 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PEANUT N IKE Jan06 Dec16 Nov30 Oct20 Aug05 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
4  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Jan13 Dec01 Nov09 Oct18 Jul28 (averett ronnie)STOKES J 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  MO CREDO Nov30 Nov15 Oct14 Aug10 Jul23 (shumake phi)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
6  RISKY PRIORITY Dec30 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Aug21 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 119 8.00    
7  GOLDENLUTE Dec20 Nov30 Nov01 Jul22 Jun24 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 8.00    
8  THROWIN' SHADE Jan13 Nov15 Oct06 Aug13 Aug05 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
DED-3   01/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR SPECK Dec30         (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by APRIORITY out of DICKSON STREET by STORM BOOT)
2  RUN CARLOS Dec20 Dec02 Nov02 May04 Apr14 (ward ronnie)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 4.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  K R POWER STORM Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 Feb04 Jan07 (roberts roy)ROSIER R 123 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by POWER JAM out of STORMY BRICK ROAD by STORM PASSAGE)
4  JOSIE'S PRIORITY Dec07 Nov02 Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 (robbins jr)STOKES J 123 10.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of EQUESTRIAN JANET by BRAHMS)
5  LOVELY SASSICAIA Oct07 Aug10       (thomas lee)POMPELL L 123 6.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of LOVELY R R by CARSON CITY)
6  TRIPPIN ON BEAUTY         (gomez rafae)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of BELLA'S BEAUTY by ANNOUNCE (GB))
7  HABANERO TOM Oct29 Oct07 Aug13 Jul23   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S READY out of CANDY ASSAY by LEMON DROP KID)
 
DED-4   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ROJO Dec14 Nov29 Nov18 Nov01 Jun23 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 6.00 ★    
2  LOUIS LE GRANDE Jan06 Dec28 Dec07 Nov24 Nov16 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 10% 9.00    
3  VIM AND VIGOR Dec15 Nov23 Oct21 Sep02 Jul23 (bryant al)FUSILIER C 119 15.00    
4  VANGILDER Dec15 Dec07 Oct28 Sep20 Sep11 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
5  I WILL STAND Jan04 Dec16 Oct14 Aug30 Jul19 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  MACHINEGUNPREACHER Jan04 Dec18 Oct28 Sep03 Aug21 (shumake phi)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
7  INTO WISHING Jan04 Nov08 Oct26 Aug27 Aug05 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG MONEY MACHINE Jan06 Dec07 Nov18 Oct19 Jul27 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
9  SPHEROID Jan04 Dec02 Nov17 Oct19 Jul23 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
 
DED-5   01/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEZA PRIORITY Jan04 Dec17 Dec03 Nov01 Oct18 (husak j)POMPELL L 118 12.00    
2  SALADO Dec21 Jul24 Jun25 May21 May01 (hewitt michael)ROMAN KEVIN 121 10.00    
3  SAILOR CHOW Dec29 Dec06 Sep18 Aug07 Jul22 (guillory j)BIRZER E 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  HULEN Dec06 Oct22 Sep30 Sep04 Jul29 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 20% 3.90    
5  MCLEAN Dec20 Dec06 May14 Jan27 Nov03 (alberto antonio)STOKES J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  GENTLEMAN'S SECRET Dec29 Nov18 Nov03 Oct20 Oct07 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  FEROCITY Dec28 Dec08 Nov18 Oct28 Sep15 (shumake phi)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.50    
8  ELUSIVE WAR Dec07 Nov25 Sep16 Jun30 Apr23 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 15.00    
 
DED-6   01/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIAS MOONBEAM Jan06 Dec02 Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 5.00 19% 4.10    
2  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Dec28 Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Aug12 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 Jul13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 7% 13.50    
4  SECOND OF JULY Dec08 Oct14 Sep03 Jun24 Jan08 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
5  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jan11 Dec18 Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 (romero j)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
6  BODE'S LIGHT Dec07 Nov03 Oct06 Sep03 Aug10 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 119 12.00    
7  NATE'S ATTACK Dec08 Jul22 Jul06 Jun15 May29 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIRTHDAY PARTY Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 (west henry)STOKES A 119 8.00    
9  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Nov16 Oct19 Jul06 Jun09 May25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
DED-7   01/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE THUNDER Dec18 Dec07 Nov15 Sep23 Sep15 (shumake l)STOKES J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHUT UP MAN Dec29 Dec15 Nov08 Oct19 Sep25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00    
3  PROVOST Dec28 Dec08 Nov08 Sep09 Aug19 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
4  INDIMAAJ Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 Jul06 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  KINGSWOOD Dec21 Oct25 Aug21 Jul07 Jun23 (shumake phi)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
SCR  RARE STRIPE Jan05 Nov20 Nov02 Sep29 Sep09 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 119 15.00    
SCR  AFFIRM CHIEF Dec20 Nov17 Nov03 Aug19 Jul28 (robbins ray)DEL-CID MARLON 114 15.00    
8  TRAPPE VALLEY Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Oct28 Oct07 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
 
DED-8   01/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVE TO SINGH Nov15 Sep12 May15 Mar02   (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
2  SPARKIN Jan12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov24 Sep11 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  SKIPPA Jan05 Dec20 Nov04 Sep04 Aug13 (fuselier jo)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50    
4  KIT KAT KIDD Dec20 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Jul29 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  A'DEBRIS Jan12 May18 Apr22 Jan12 Dec19 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 12% 7.50    
6  SILKY'S DANCE Sep05 Jul23 Jun18 May29 May07 (lara jorge)DEL-CID MARLON 114 15.00    
7  GILDERSLEEVE Jan12 Dec15 Nov30 Oct18 Aug29 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 12.00    
8  MOR BIG LEE Dec15 Nov08 Oct18 Aug04 Jul14 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 6.00 8% 11.80    
9  CLASSIC RED RACER Dec30 Dec15 Nov15 Oct18 Aug10 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 119 20.00    
10  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 Sep11 (husak j)POMPELL L 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  CUSTOM PRAYER Dec14 Nov15 Oct18 Aug11 Jun15 (ladner rann)FUSILIER C 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.