Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - January 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (6/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/8)-(6/3/5/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/8)-(6/3/5/7/8)-(6/3/5/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/5/8)-(5/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/8)-(5/2/8/1)-(3/5/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/6/1)-(5/2/8/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/8/1)-(3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/1)-(3/5/1/6)-(10/4/3/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(10/4/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6)-(10/4/3/8/1)-(10/3/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (10/4/3/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/3/8/1)-(10/4/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/3/8/1)-(10/4/3/8/1)-(10/4/3/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/3/8/1)-(10/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/3/8/1)-(10/3/1/6)-(5/6/7/1/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (10/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/6)-(10/3/1/5/6)-(10/3/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/1/6)-(5/6/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/1/6)-(5/6/7/1/4)-(6/8/2/5/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-6   WIN (5/6/7/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1/4)-(5/6/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1/4)-(5/6/7/1/4)-(5/6/7/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/1/4)-(6/8/2/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/1/4)-(6/8/2/5/4)-(2/7/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-7   WIN (6/8/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/5/4)-(6/8/2/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/5/4)-(6/8/2/5/4)-(6/8/2/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/2/5/4)-(2/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/5/4)-(2/7/5/3)-(8/3/6/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-8   WIN (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DED-9   WIN (8/3/6/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/4/5)-(8/3/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/4/5)-(8/3/6/4/5)-(8/3/6/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S ALL EARS Dec07 Nov18 Nov03     (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of EARSAHEAD by EUROEARS)
CARRY THE FLAG Nov24         (courville ricky)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FLAGSTAFF by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
TUSSLING CHARLIE Dec16         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of TUSSLING TETON by TETON FOREST)
OOEY GOOEY CHEWY Dec15 Nov30 Oct26     (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of JERSEY HEIST by JERSEY TOWN)
GRACIOUS KAT         (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of GRACIOUS LADY by SAINT BALLADO)
UPTURNED BRIM Nov15 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of NEGOTIABLE by HAT TRICK (JPN))
WAY OUT FRONT         (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of A PRETTY HANSEN by HANSEN)
MOTOR CITY         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of COUNTRY VILLA by PANCHO VILLA)
KONTEEKEE Dec30         (chatters benar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HEIR TO GLORY by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
DED-2   01/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARAHIN Dec08 Nov15 Oct20 Jun30 Jun17 (escobar alison)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUNANDHIDE WIND Jan06 Dec27 Nov17 Jul31 Jun26 (del erick)ROSIER R 119 5.00 9% 10.50    
G E H GIANTS WAY Dec20 Dec08 Nov09 Oct20 Aug19 (west henry)STOKES A 119 20.00    
NOCOMET Dec30 Nov25 Oct28 Jul28 Jun30 (senegal dalt)DEL-CID MARLON 111 15.00    
PITALE Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 May28 May12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
HULLINAHURRY Jan05 Dec19 Nov22 Nov09 Oct20 (cormier houston)STOKES J 123 4.00    
UNCLE BRAD Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 Sep10 (ward ronnie)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00    
PLENTY OF CENTS Dec20 Nov22 Nov09 Oct11 Aug27 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROLL ON OUT Dec19 Dec01 Nov22 Nov04 Aug10 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
10  PINK HIGGINS Dec21 Nov25 Aug12 Jun24 Jun04 (dunn r)MAGNON H 116 20.00    
SCR  MESABI Jan06 Dec01 Nov01 Sep03 Aug07 (melancon donald)FUSILIER C 119 10.00    
SCR  NEW DICE Dec21 Nov15 Oct27 Aug13 Jul22 (borel renay)VARGAS P 119 15.00    
 
DED-3   01/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYMANROWEN Dec30 Dec02 Nov02     (shamsie mike)BIRZER E 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of STELLA HEY STELLA by RULER'S COURT)
WHISKEY RED Dec29 Dec14 Nov21 Oct11 Aug03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 5.00    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of SCARLET TRIBUTE by GOLD TRIBUTE)
CATALINA DAY Dec30 Dec02 Nov04 Oct12   (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by CATALINA RED out of DOUBLE POINTS DAY by STORM DAY)
BLUME Dec20 Sep03 Jul02 Jun04 May09 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
  (by TENPINS out of HEAVENS HALL by GRAEME HALL)
PRINCE PERFECTA Nov11 Jan22 Jan13 Jan05 Dec17 (johnson henry)VARGAS P 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
STYLING HOOK Dec14 Nov15 Feb25 Feb09 Jan13 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOOKS CROSSING out of GOOD STYLE by GIROLAMO)
LIVE AFFAIR         (lara jorge)DEL-CID MARLON 118 12.00    
  (by MISTER DANCE out of BAILEYS AFFAIR by MISTER BAILEYS (GB))
 
DED-4   01/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKY TOPAZ Nov29 Nov18 Oct26 Jun29 Jun09 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCARY FAST SMILE Dec15 Dec01 Nov20 Oct27 Sep08 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
J C'S IN TOWN Dec27 Dec14 Dec01 Oct20 Sep03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 3.00 10% 9.40    
BIG BROTHER Dec08 Oct27 Aug05 Jul08 Jun30 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
NOW NOW MAN Dec27 Dec01 Nov11 Oct18 Jul31 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00    
MIND ON MY MONEY Dec21 Dec01 Oct20 Aug27 Jul09 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 116 10.00    
REVENIR Dec14 Nov08 Oct25 Sep23 Sep04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
DOUBLE TRAP Dec29 Dec06 Nov18 Oct20 Sep11 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 6.00 6% 17.10    
TEMPRANO Dec21 Nov18 Nov01 Oct19 Jul30 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 8.00    
10  U S NAVY CROSS Dec18 Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Jun17 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY PARTY Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 (west henry)STOKES A 119 2.50    
SCR  INTO WISHING Jan04 Nov08 Oct26 Aug27 Aug05 (turner patti)BIRZER E 116 6.00    
 
DED-5   01/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT CROWN Dec21 Dec07 Nov21 Nov04 Oct11 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 121 12.00 9% 10.30    
BYATHREAD Nov15 Oct28 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (landry jacob)DEL-CID MARLON 114 20.00    
SALUTE NOW Nov23 Nov04 Aug12 Jul13 Jun18 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 3.00 18% 4.40    
SHANKINSTINE Dec19 Nov16 Sep12 Jun24 Jun12 (ramirez e)STOKES J 121 4.00    
SILVER CHALICE Nov09 Aug29 Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 6.00    
IT'S A BIRD Dec21 Nov25 Oct19 May12 Jan21 (ali anci)POMPELL L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
XANTHUS WRATH Dec21 Dec08 Nov09 Oct13 Sep11 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00    
PLAY MASTER Dec21 Nov25 Jul13 Jun09 May21 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
DOUBLE PRIORITY Dec30 Dec08 Nov09 Oct28 Sep10 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
10  JAMAICAN ME Dec21 Oct28 Sep10 Aug10 Jul07 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50 45% 1.20    
 
DED-6   01/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOLCROSS Jan06 Dec18 Nov22 Nov02 Oct13 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00 7% 14.40    
BUNKIE'S SONG Dec21 Dec08 Nov01 Aug04 Jul14 (daigle walte)DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00    
HAIL SOUTHERN Dec27 Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 May29 (del erick)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
HUNTER QUICK Dec28 Dec16 Nov18 Nov10 Oct18 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 6% 15.80    
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Dec15 Nov18 Oct21 Aug21 Jul08 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 116 6.00 39% 1.60    
SCHNELL Oct12 Sep02 Aug03 Jun30 May12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.00 18% 4.50    
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Dec28 Nov08 Oct12 Jul28 Jun16 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 116 3.00 10% 8.80    
OJITOS Jan04 Dec19 Nov21 Nov03 Sep29 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
MEAN CRUISER Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 Jul06 Jun01 (segura kearney)STOKES J 116 8.00    
10  TARGET PRACTICE Dec28 Dec07 Oct28 Oct18 Jul29 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 6.00    
SCR  LOUIS LE GRANDE Jan06 Dec28 Dec07 Nov24 Nov16 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 4.50    
SCR  VANGILDER Dec15 Dec07 Oct28 Sep20 Sep11 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 119 10.00    
 
DED-7   01/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Jan04 Dec06 Nov09 Oct14 Jul07 (toups brent)POMPELL L 116 20.00    
SENSE OF FLURRY Dec30 Dec15 Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
MADISON'S SCREEN Jan05 Dec13 Oct12 Aug28 Jul14 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 12.00    
SCRAPBOOK Dec30 Nov25 Nov03 Sep09 Aug26 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
TENSAS BERTIE Dec21 Nov29 Oct28 Jun03 May19 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 116 6.00 8% 11.40    
SIMPLE PLEASURE Dec13 Nov30 Jul14 Jun18 Jun03 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 1.80 28% 2.50    
BE A BANDIT Jan04 Dec13 Nov30 Nov02 Aug05 (zenon shelto)DEL-CID MARLON 111 15.00    
ATOMIC ROSE Dec30 Dec08 Nov21 Jul04 Jun18 (lorefice matt)STOKES J 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
SPLICER Dec30 Dec02 Nov19 Oct01 Sep18 (hewitt michael)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
 
DED-8   01/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAIN Nov22 Oct28 Aug27 Jul15 Jun09 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 5.00    
TENNESSEE MOON Jan06 Dec19 Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
ROSES ARE GRAY Dec13 Nov22 Nov03 Aug26 Jul08 (garza e)POMPELL L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FASTED Dec30 Dec08 Nov25 Nov09 Oct20 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
BLESSED ANNA Dec19 Nov30 Oct25 Sep09 Aug05 (shumake phi)MELANCON JANSEN 116 10.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  CARPE HORSESHOE Dec30 Dec16 Nov17 Nov03 Oct19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 2.00    
FOUR PRINCESSES Nov25 Nov04 Jun29 Jan28 Nov23 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
GIMME CANDY Dec29 Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 Apr07 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 121 12.00    
SCR  ZERO POINT ZERO Dec16 Nov29 Oct28 Oct12 Jul21 (morrell cynthia)FUSILIER C 119 20.00    
 
DED-9   01/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIT THE BULLSEYE Dec19 Nov29 Nov03     (pedigo randy)STOKES J 120 20.00    
COOL RIDE Dec28 Dec16 Nov03 Jun05 May11 (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50    
MATZOH BALL Dec31 Nov29 Nov03     (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
CAJUN CYCLONE Dec31 Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 Oct13 (courville ricky)ROSIER R 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
I NITA WARRIOR Dec19 Dec06 Nov18 Oct26 Aug19 (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKING TOBE Dec16         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
WICKED PUNCHES Dec19         (breaux samu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00    
HANGIN' TUFF Dec28 Dec07 Nov17     (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
ZESTINY         (dison ma)STOKES A 120 15.00    
10  NOT LIKELY Dec28 Dec07 Oct28 Sep12 Aug29 (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00    
11  KAH NIGH Dec21         (dussette alvin)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
SCR  MIDLAND KID         (daigle walte)DEL-CID MARLON 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.