Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/5/7)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-2   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(3/2)-(6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/5/1)-(3/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(3/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/8/2/4)-(2/8/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/4)-(2/8/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/4)-(2/8/9/3)-(2/5/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/3)-(2/8/9/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/3)-(2/8/9/3/1)-(2/8/9/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/9/3)-(2/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(3/4/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-8   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/6/3)-(2/5/4/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/4/3)-(3/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-9   WIN (3/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($13K) 45 M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGLE SATURDAY Nov13 Sep21 Nov22 Nov02 Sep29 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 6.00    
2  GOLD MEMORIES Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
3  DEL MAR LABOR DAY Dec13 Nov29 Oct27 Jun03 May06 (mckinney )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 20.00    
4  GRANTASTIC MARIA Apr15 Mar26       (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
5  JULIE'S PASSION May29 May21 Apr21 Apr01 Mar10 (s)DE CRUZ 123 3.50    
6  MUCH ALOHA Dec13 Nov29 Oct27 Oct14 Sep09 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 123 1.00 33% 2.10    
 
HOU-2   01/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSWISH Dec09 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 12.00    
2  CLAUDETTE HEIR Nov24 Oct27 Sep24 Sep08 Jun24 (young bob)ALVAREZ L 123 2.00 63% 0.60    
3  CHA CHA DANCER Dec09 Nov21 Nov09 Sep24 Sep07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 6.00    
4  CASHMERE DANCER Nov09 Oct27 Sep01 Jun15 Jun02 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50    
5  BACK IN CHARGE Dec13 Nov24 Oct27 Oct05 Sep24 (eoff terry)BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAPETOWN CANDY Sep05 Aug20 Jun17 May20 Mar26 (tuley r)GONCALVES R 123 8.00    
7  SUPER CINDY Nov24 Nov08 Oct05 Sep23 Sep13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  VA VOOM Dec09 Dec01 Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 (scholl kevin)WADE LYNDIE 123 4.50 ★    
 
HOU-3   01/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT MONEY Nov24 Oct19 Sep22 Nov21   (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 123 6.00    
2  TEXAS SKYWALKER Nov30 Mar04 Feb05 Jan22 Jan07 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 9% 9.80    
3  TAPISTAR Jul15 May14 Apr16 Mar15   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 62% 0.60    
SCR  KLIMTOMANIAC May28 May12 Apr16 Apr08 Mar12 (govea c)GONCALVES R 123 4.50    
5  CLASSIC RUNNER Dec17 Nov24 Oct21 Oct06 Sep06 (govea cesar)BURGOS SAMUEL 123 30.00    
6  OPTIMAL TRIP Nov21 Oct26 Sep12 Aug13 May28 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 3.00 ★    
 
HOU-4   01/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE CARROUSEL Nov21 Nov09 Oct26 Sep29 Aug26 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 121 2.00 16% 5.40    
2  IMA SKY TRAVELER Jul01 May18 Apr29 Mar05 Feb04 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 1.60    
3  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Jul03 Jun17 Jun09 May18 Apr21 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 121 12.00    
4  HAILEY'S JEWEL Jul03 Jun09 May29 May13 Apr29 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
5  WAVING BYE May14 Apr22 Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  MOR PEANUTS May14 Apr23 Apr02 Mar04   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
HOU-5   01/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG POWER RED Dec16 Sep01 Jul23 Jun15 May27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 12.00    
2  ROYALLY Dec16 Dec09 Nov20 Nov11 Oct14 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
3  TAG ME Dec15 Dec07 Nov09 Oct13 Sep13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  LIARS CLUB Dec15 Nov29 Nov17 Oct28 Oct14 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 121 4.00 12% 7.40    
5  LEMON KICK Sep03 Aug14 Jul09 Jan14 Nov12 (govea cesar)BURGOS SAMUEL 121 12.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S MAP Sep20 Sep11 Aug30 Jul24 Jul03 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50    
7  EXETER Dec02 Oct28 Oct06 Aug07 Jul23 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 8.00    
 
HOU-6   01/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENZODINI Dec15 Sep17 Aug23     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KARAKORUM ELEKTRA by FREUD)
2  SKI CAT Nov04 Oct21       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KITTY FOYLE by TAPIT)
3  I AM ON THE LIST Dec09 Nov20       (dunn as)GONCALVES R 122 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DANCE CLUB by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  MACHO GRANDE Nov24 Nov03 Oct21 Sep16 Jun18 (eoff terry)BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ARTISTICDIFFERENCE by ESKENDEREYA)
5  PHILANTHROPER Dec14 Oct20       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SENSEU'VBEENGONE by STREET SENSE)
6  KENTUCKY DAWN Sep28 Aug31       (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of EARNINGS RELEASE by EL PRADO (IRE))
7  PACIFIC THEATER Dec09 Nov13       (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BY THE SHORE by INCLUDE)
8  KANTAKE         (pish dann)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 8.00 24% 3.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TAKE CHARGE by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
 
HOU-7   01/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEBONNET GIRL         (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 ★    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
2  FLYING FIRST CLASS Nov28 Jun03       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 58% 0.70    
  (by BRADESTER out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
3  BLUE HEAVENLY         (govea c)GONCALVES R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANNONBALLCUPCAKE by LEMON DROP KID)
4  CREAM PUFF REAPER Oct13 Sep13 Jul02 Jun16 May28 (silva mig)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 30.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ROYAL MARQUE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
5  DULCE AMANECER YG Sep16 Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 15.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of LET'S GET FISCAL by BANDINI)
6  EARLY SPRING Jul02 Jun03       (dupuy allen)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of SHINING CITY by KANSAS CITY)
7  PARIS GARTERS Oct18         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 8.00    
  (by BONDI out of MOLLY WARMFLASH by GRASSHOPPER)
8  UPTOWN GOLDENGOODS Oct28         (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SHE'S GOT DA GOODS by LYRACIST)
9  HOLIDAY PRESENCE Nov18 Nov08 Oct11 Sep30   (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of I'M IN HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  OKIE BLING Nov30 Oct28 Sep30     (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 122 3.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of BOSTONIAN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
HOU-8   01/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN BIGBADJON Nov11 Jul03 May28 May06 Apr15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 30.00    
2  INEXORABLE Dec29 Nov16 Nov03 Oct11 Sep14 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 4.00 50% 1.00    
3  JIM NED Dec17 Dec02 Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT PRANKS Dec13 Nov11 Sep24 Aug27 May06 (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.50 7% 12.80    
5  TIBURON Nov28 Oct22 Oct01 Sep12 Jul23 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
6  TEJAS Dec17 Nov17 Jun03 May06 Apr15 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50 ★    
7  VARSITY Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Nov15 Oct13 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
8  LIONS NOT SHEEP Dec16 Dec08 Jun19 May20 Apr14 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 10.00    
9  EXCAPING THE BLUES Dec09 Nov20 Sep22 Aug26 Jun17 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 8.00    
 
HOU-9   01/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DICE ARM Jul01 Jun08 Jun23     (dunn ashley)BRACHO A 123 3.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HIPPOCAMPUS by TAPIT)
2  TIZ A KNOCKOUT Jun08 May18 Apr14 Mar31 Feb17 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 123 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIZ CHAMP by TIZNOW)
3  WARRIOR'S RETURN Sep12 Sep03 Jul29 Jul02   (john)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WARRIOR MAID by HOLY BULL)
4  LEOPARD BAIT Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 Jul23 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MISS SPOT ON by UNION RAGS)
5  LIGHTNING MELODY Oct19 Sep01       (govea c)GONCALVES R 123 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
6  PLATINUM PHANTOM Jul23 Jul03 Jun16 May29   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 15.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  EXCLUSIVE ACCESS Nov08         (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PLEDGE PIN by CHATAIN)
8  CONCEAL Apr16 May28       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TEMPTRESS by TAPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.