Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/1/7)-(5/6/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(5/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(5/6/8)-(6/8/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/8)-(5/6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/8)-(5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/8)-(6/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8)-(6/8/1/2)-(7/8/10/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2)-(6/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/1/2)-(7/8/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/2)-(7/8/10/6)-(8/10/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/8/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/6)-(7/8/10/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/6)-(7/8/10/6/4)-(7/8/10/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/10/6)-(8/10/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/10/6)-(8/10/6/5)-(2/7/5/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/10/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/5)-(8/10/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/5)-(8/10/6/5/7)-(8/10/6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/6/5)-(2/7/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6/5)-(2/7/5/3/6)-(1/8/5/3/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (2/7/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3/6)-(2/7/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3/6)-(2/7/5/3/6)-(2/7/5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/5/3/6)-(1/8/5/3/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/8/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/3/9)-(1/8/5/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/3/9)-(1/8/5/3/9)-(1/8/5/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE REASON Dec16 Nov10 Oct25 Sep08 Aug25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Dec16 Nov10 Sep08 Jul07 Jun16 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.20 47% 1.10    
3  TARGE Mar04 Feb17 Jan21 Dec03 Nov25 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 113 5.00    
4  FORTES Nov10 Oct25 Sep08 Aug24 Jul07 (reynol)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND Dec06 Oct25 Sep12 Aug30 Aug01 (cuttino l)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
SCR  CALYPSO GHOST Dec09 Nov18 Oct20 Oct06 Sep17 (harting chri)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
7  HIPNOTIZADA Oct20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun28 Jun19 (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   01/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEETMARYSMAN Nov30 Nov11 Oct25 Sep15 Sep01 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  WATCHING SNOW FLY Dec09 Nov14 Oct25 Sep18 Sep04 (delong)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
3  BOP ZAPPER Dec09 Nov16 Nov10 Oct27 Oct05 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
4  CURB THAT TIGER Nov24 Oct25 Oct07 Aug17 Jul21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00    
5  ASTRAYAL Nov24 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug17 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  I SEE NOTHING Dec09 Nov24 Nov11 Oct20 Oct13 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
7  JOOBY DOOBY DOO Nov24 Oct27 Sep09 Sep01 Jul20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 8% 11.60    
 
CT-3   01/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL AMERICA Feb17 Jan22 Jan12 Dec29 Dec16 (hillega)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 ★    
2  ELEVATED FOREVER Dec15 Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 Aug11 (garrido raul)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
3  ENVISION SUCCESS Dec15 Dec06 Jul14 Aug18 Jul28 (hummer richa)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
4  MAKE WAY Dec13 Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
5  MOON OVER MONTANA Dec27 Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Oct21 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
6  NO FOOLING DUDE Dec15 Dec06 Nov09 Oct21 Sep14 (stahlin john)PELTROCHE F 122 1.20 15% 5.70    
SCR  HELL'S KITTEN Dec02 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
8  CAYENNE CREEK Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Dec14 (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
 
CT-4   01/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ARGENTINA Dec09 Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 117 10.00 10% 8.60    
2  GHOST OF ALCINA Nov17 Oct19 Sep23 Sep02 Aug04 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 8% 11.20    
3  KAALA Nov29 Nov02 Sep02     (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
4  YES TO LOVE Dec15 Nov08 Oct27 Aug10 Jul20 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00    
5  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Dec14 Nov29 Nov04 Oct13 Sep09 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00    
6  MAKANI Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  S S COSMOPOLITAN Dec09 Nov27 Oct03 Sep03   (jimenez)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
8  VERY VENUS Dec09 Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 Sep15 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 21% 3.90    
 
CT-5   01/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN FACTOR Dec08 Nov09 Sep07 Aug09 Jul12 (ceciliano mis)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
2  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Dec08 Nov30 Nov09 Sep07 Jul29 (straughn e)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
SCR  UNCLE REMI Oct22 Sep16 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
4  JUBAY Dec08 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 Aug17 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 ★    
5  FOREVER TAKES TIME Oct19 Jul08 Jun02 Apr14 Feb22 (barber c)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
6  TIMMY Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Aug11 Jul25 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 6% 15.80    
7  HOPPING HENRY Nov30 Jul08 May05 Mar31 Feb02 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
8  JUBA BOUND Dec01 Nov09 Oct21 Sep28 Sep15 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 1.80 22% 3.60    
9  SETTLEMENT DATE Dec08 Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 Jun30 (gomez r)LARROSA G 124 10.00    
10  COLT ROCK Dec08 Nov29 Oct16 Sep08 Aug17 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
 
CT-6   01/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEAR DARK         (harrison glenn)REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of CHASE ME NOW by TIZNOW)
2  NOBLE OBSESSION Nov09         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of JUNOON by STREET SENSE)
3  PASS THE CASH Dec15 Jul02       (cruz jesus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of ANALYZEYURSPENDING by OVERANALYZE)
4  BELLAFLEET Nov09         (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of BRIAN'S MARK by BENCHMARK)
5  QUEEN OF HEARTS Dec16 Nov30 Oct25 Oct16 Oct02 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 8% 11.80    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
6  SHEZA GRITTY BITTY         (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00 9% 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of BEACH TIME by BERNARDINI)
7  MIDCENTURY MODERN Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep01   (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 ★    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLEOPATTY by CAIRO PRINCE)
8  LATE NITE MISTRESS Dec06 Jun16 Apr19     (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LATE NIGHT POW WOW by FIBER SONDE)
9  NACHO GIRL Nov10 Oct19 Sep30 Jul15   (garrido raul)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of WINNING ENTRY by POINT OF ENTRY)
10  EMPTY CHAIRS Dec14         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 16% 5.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of YANGTZE DELTA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CT-7   01/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH FLIGHT Nov24 Nov11 Oct20 Sep30 Jul06 (espinosa )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
2  LUCKY ONE May19 Apr27       (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  CECIL THE GREAT Dec14 Nov10 Aug19 Aug05   (clement r)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00 5% 17.50    
4  MAGICAL SURPRISE Nov29 Oct20 Sep29     (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
5  TREASURER Dec01 Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 7% 13.40    
6  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Dec13 Nov15 Nov08 Oct25 Sep30 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 5% 17.70    
7  O'RIGSBY Nov18 Nov01 Oct18 Sep22 Sep01 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  CALYPSO JOHN Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug17   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
9  ONE CANDY CASTLE Nov24 Nov09 Oct28 Oct07 Aug26 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
10  LEG UP Dec09 Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 Oct12 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   01/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARGENT KOBE Dec16 Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Sep14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
2  MISS YOU AJAX Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
3  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct05 Sep20 (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 8% 11.50    
4  MOON SIGN Dec22 Dec01 Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 112 12.00    
5  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Sep29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 12% 7.20    
6  SEIZE THE BREEZE Dec14 Nov30 Nov15 Nov09 Oct19 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
7  ONLY GET'N BETTER Dec09 Nov11 Sep30 Sep02 Aug18 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
8  OCEAN STORM Dec09 Nov30 Nov11 Jul06 Jun02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
9  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Dec09 Nov11 Nov01 Oct14 Sep15 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  MARCUS JUNIUS Dec09 Nov11 Sep20 Aug30 Aug06 (caiazzo corb)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.