Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/1/2)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(4/1/5)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/4/6)-(2/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/3/5)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(6/1/4)-(6/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/2/1)-(4/2/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMIN' ANNA Jul07 Jun09 Dec08 Oct28   (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by STORM WOLF out of BEWITCHING ANNA by ALAJWAD)
MELINOE Oct24 Oct08 Aug28 Jul18 Jul08 (meyers sha)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PERSEPHONE'S DAWN by GHOSTZAPPER)
AZTECA GIRL Oct13 Sep22 Sep01     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 121 3.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ROYAL SEPTOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LINDA'S TAJ Oct13 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jun22 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 4.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
UNCONSCIOUS MIND Oct13 Sep22       (davis e)PELTROCHE F 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by WAR DANCER out of MISS GOLDEN FREUD by FREUD)
SCR  CLARIFICATION Oct13 Sep22 Aug26 Aug03 Jul14 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 4.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
 
CT-2   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY CHARLIE Sep27 Sep01 Jul21 Jul01 Jun03 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
SLIPPIN JIMMY Oct28 Sep01 Jul22 May25 Sep23 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
SUPER QUALITY Oct07 Aug03 Jun18 Apr28 Apr15 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
HAPPY CHAMP Oct11 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50    
NEWS BOX Oct12 Aug28 Jul24 May13 Apr14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
ROCKY DICE Oct06 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Aug03 (murdock stephen)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
 
CT-3   11/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE'S GIRL Oct14 Sep02 Aug25 Jul28 Jun24 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
AIM'S JUBILEE Oct14 Sep14 Sep02 Aug12 Jul27 (reggetts s)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 20.00    
JUBA BABY Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 Jul28 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
JUBA'S PARADE Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.20 50% 1.00    
LUCKY BLONDE Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Jul29 Jun02 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  BACHELORETTE Oct18 Jan21 Dec30 Nov02 Oct07 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
BARBERS POINT Oct14 Sep08 Aug15 Jul29 Jun01 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESSURE Oct12 Aug09 Jul07 May11 Apr21 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.20 25% 3.00    
SCR  PERSONAL FINANCE Oct19 Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 Jul28 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
MINEOLA MIKE Oct21 Sep13 Aug30 Aug12 Jul14 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
RAGTIME RICHES Oct12 Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 Jun25 (farrior anthon)REYNOLDS C 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
NORLANDER Oct21 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 Jul26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50    
TAPADINE Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul04 Jun25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
CT-5   11/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE Oct13 Oct28       (hamlin kathl)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 12.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BENEDICTA by ORIENTATE (GB))
MISS ARGENTINA Oct13 Sep23 Sep02     (larrosa a)BOCACHICA J 114 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DEPUTY JOLIE by DEPUTY RUMMY)
BABY BREEZE         (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by GANDHI out of BABY LEXI by STORM BOOT)
RIGHT TO REFUSE Sep08         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 1.20    
  (by REDESDALE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
MACHEN MARGARITAS Oct03 Jun06       (baird micha)RIVERA JAVIER 121 6.00 14% 5.90    
  (by MACHEN out of GRAPEFRUIT LEAGUE by LATENT HEAT)
PALACIO Oct13 Aug12       (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 121 10.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of DESERT DAYLIGHT by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
 
CT-6   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEN CAN DO IT Oct12 Sep13 Aug21 Aug04 Jul08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 7% 13.70    
MARCHED Sep28 Sep15 Aug18 Jul20 Jun25 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
COMMAND THE CAT Sep09 Jun16 May19 Apr15 Nov18 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
RIVER CROSROAD RVF Sep16 Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BUFF'S EYE VIEW Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 May13 Feb09 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
SOCIAL CHIC Oct14 Aug25 Aug03 May19 Apr22 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 1.20 66% 0.50    
THEWITCHISGONE Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 May27 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
 
CT-7   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST James Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY BEAUTY Oct14 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RUNAWAY BRAE by YARROW BRAE)
RAN OUT OF TRAINER Oct14 Sep29 Sep22 Aug05 Jul06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TONALIST out of MY GIRL TRICKSY by HAT TRICK)
KRISTINACHRYSALIS Oct14 Sep29 Jul14 May25 May01 (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 121 15.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZ HER NOW by TIZNOW)
MAKANI Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 121 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
LONA LEE Oct12 Sep21       (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
DIRECT THE CAT Oct14 Sep22 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 0.20 49% 1.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
MAD SWANN Sep22 Aug31 Aug10     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 20.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
CT-8   11/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUSUALLY LUCKY Aug03 Jun23       (mcclure diana )ARAUJO DENIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE Oct13 Sep09 Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00 6% 15.20    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 Jul28 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 4.50    
LA MADDALENA Oct13 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 Aug05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 1.80 60% 0.70    
VERY VENUS Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
ABUNDANT STORY Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 Aug11 Jul24 (sharp j)WHITACRE GRANT 120 20.00    
DENALI D'ORO Oct13 Sep16 Aug19 Jun30 May11 (schlicht erika)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 5% 18.20    
FRENCHIES GOLD Oct13 Sep09 Aug03 Jun10 May25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.