Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/2/7)-(3/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(3/4/2)-(7/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(7/1/6)-(5/1/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(5/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(5/1/3/8)-(7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (5/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/8)-(7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/8)-(7/1)-(4/9/5/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(4/9/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(4/9/5/7)-(7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-7   WIN (4/9/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/7)-(4/9/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/7)-(4/9/5/7)-(4/9/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/5/7)-(7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5/7)-(7/5)-(4/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/6/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/6/5/9)-(7/6/5/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(4/3/6)-(9/7/8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(9/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (9/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/3)-(9/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/3)-(9/7/8/3)-(9/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINNAMON DREAM Sep04 Aug18 Jul26 Jun27 May24 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00    
2  SO SOFTLY Sep04 Jun07 Apr15 Apr07 Mar15 (caban carl)RIVERA R 117 3.50 10% 8.70    
3  SHEA ON A MISSION Aug18 Jul09 Jun09 May20 Apr23 (maymo ale)VARGAS A 122 4.50    
4  MILWAUKEE BAY Sep04 Aug12 Jul05 Jun19 Jun07 (gonzalez-mili)RANGEL JOEZER 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  SIRENETTA Sep04 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 (gallimore tre)TORRES WESLEY 118 5.00    
6  IYIYI Sep04 Jul12 Jul04 Jun27 Jun19 (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 116 2.00 7% 12.60    
 
PRX-2   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMMA MIA ESTERINA Sep04 Aug21 Jun27 Jun10 May10 (guerre)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  TRUE PHENOMENON Aug28 Aug03 Mar21 Feb08 Jan23 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  SWEETEST MOMENT Sep04 Aug03 Jul12 Jun14   (thompson m)HENRY JR 120 12.00    
4  CAPE NEDDICK Sep04 Aug19 Jul04 Jun12 May24 (montoya )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.00    
SCR  CHARLY'S CHOO CHOO Jun27 Jun10 May20 May08 Mar21 (tzortzakis e)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00    
6  SOCIAL REBEL Jul26 Jun20       (whylie herold )MOYA F 120 20.00    
7  ONLY GIRL Aug28 Jul26 Jul17 Jul05 Jun27 (hogan willi)RAMOS C 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  WILD N' SASSY Apr20 Mar21 Feb18 Jan22 Dec29 (cooper ste)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00    
 
PRX-3   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT'S HERO Sep05 Aug23 Jun27 Jun06 May08 (curry dee)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
2  FATIH Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 Jun18 (farro patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 8% 11.90    
3  JACKIE'S PRIDE May01 Apr05 Mar17 Jan31 Dec08 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  NORTHWOODS Sep01 Sep16 Aug31     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 3.00 16% 5.40    
5  HOT LOVE Sep05 Aug22 Aug13 Aug02 Jun21 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 5.00    
6  IF WE GET LUCKY Sep07 Jul13 Jun14 May19 May03 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
 
PRX-4   09/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Aug10 Jul03 May29 May09 Apr10 (lake a)MOYA F 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
2  SHESASUPERFREAK Aug30 Aug18 Jun18 May22 Apr12 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
SCR  BABY FADE Sep20 Aug28 Jul26 Jun26 May16 (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
4  BRAVO ZULU Sep06 Aug24 Jun09 May07 Apr20 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 6.00    
5  ARUMA Aug30 Aug03 Apr10 Mar21 Feb15 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 122 5.00    
6  SASSY CHARLEE Apr19 Mar31 Mar10 Feb18 Jan18 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 8% 12.00    
7  FLASHING DIAMOND Aug30 Aug09 Jun15 May22 Apr18 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
PRX-5   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATTY'S UNCLE Sep05 Aug09 Jul04 Jun21 May22 (pattershall ma)MOYA F 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
2  DESANTIS Jul12 Jun13 May24 May03 Mar28 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 5.00    
3  NORTH POLE Sep05 Jul12 Jun14 May31 May03 (gonzalez-mili)OCASIO M 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  SCAMP WALKER Jun21 May30 May21     (gue)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
5  BEYOND BEST Aug19 Jul25 Jul10 Jun18 May24 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
6  DEPLANE Aug23 Jul03 Jun06 May22 Apr17 (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
7  FICTIONALFAIRYTALE Sep05 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 10.00    
8  IMPETUD Sep16 Jul29 Jun25 Jun02 May21 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-6   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE A DINI Aug23         (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  AULA Jul26 Jul01 May19 Apr22 Oct27 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
3  ZOPPI FISCHBEIN Aug21 Jul11 Jul03 Jun14 May24 (mos)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
4  TIO TONY Aug04 Jul01 Jun09 Apr29 Apr06 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
SCR  FOUR DAYS EARLY Sep04 Aug02       (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 120 6.00    
6  DUDLEY DICKERSON Sep11 Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 May29 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00 ★    
7  PLENTY OF TIME Jul24 Jun04 Apr29 Jan19 Nov23 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
 
PRX-7   09/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR ABBIE Sep12 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 May26 (kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 118 8.00    
2  UNADULTERATED Aug23 Aug11 Jun28 Jun07 May09 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 122 4.50    
SCR  RANDOM LUCK Sep09 Aug27 Aug11 Jul15 Jul02 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 8.00    
4  PEAK OF CHIC Jun12 May25 May04 Mar27 Mar07 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
5  IFIHADACHANCE Sep12 Aug11 Jul05 Jun10 May10 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
6  SPANIKOPITA Aug11 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 May15 (cole-davis tina)BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00    
7  J D'S VISTA Jun02 Apr26 Feb27 Jan04 Dec05 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BROAD JUMPER Aug23 Jul12 Jun20 May22 Mar21 (carango anthon)MOYA F 122 8.00    
9  OUR FANTASY Aug17 Jul15 Jun21 May31 Apr26 (arriagada ju)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
PRX-8   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAFFIC MASTER Nov26 Oct12 Sep15 Aug12   (velazquez dani)CORREA JULIO 118 8.00    
2  LEASE Jul19 Jun20 May22 Apr20 Feb25 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
SCR  BRETT'S WORLD Aug29 Aug16 Jul25 Jun09 May24 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 122 10.00    
4  SWING LOW Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 May27 May04 (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
5  EGOT A POKER FACE Aug18 Jun09 May19 Apr26 Mar31 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TEN GAUGE Sep03 Jun10 Apr30 Apr16 Mar17 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 ★    
7  EXIT RIGHT Aug30 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 May17 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.00 69% 0.40    
8  GLIDING AFLEET Aug18 Jul03 Jun06 May06 Feb19 (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00    
9  OCCASIONAL MOON Sep02 Aug24 Aug11 Jul22 Jul07 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 118 4.00 ★    
 
PRX-9   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORD ON A WING Aug21 Jul26 Jul04 May29 May02 (lake a)MOYA F 122 5.00    
2  ONE MORE SCOOP Aug18 Aug02 Jun06 May10 Mar28 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00    
3  SCARAMOUCHE Feb25 Dec24 Nov21 Sep24 Aug23 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
4  BEREN Aug21 Jul01 May13 Apr24 Mar27 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  AGGRANDIZE Sep03 Aug12 Jun27 Jun13 Jun06 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00    
6  HOLLYWOOD JET Jul26 Jun26 May29 Sep14 Sep04 (gonzalez-mili)OCASIO M 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  FINAL SHOT Aug30 Mar08 Jan30 Dec30 Dec13 (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 122 12.00    
 
PRX-10   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEVOUS JONES Sep07 Aug25 Jul05 Jun20 Mar29 (farro )GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
2  PORSUPUESTO Sep05 Aug29 Jul05 Jun28 May20 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00    
3  DANGNABBIT Aug28 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jul04 (guerrero me)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UPSTATE AND BACK Aug09 Jul27 Jul07 Jun02 May06 (coletti edw)PAREDES JHOVANY 111 4.00    
5  REFUND RIGLER Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jul11 Jun30 (guerrero me)RAMOS C 122 12.00    
6  LUCKY AS A SEVEN Aug28 Aug20 Aug05 Jul19 Jun28 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 122 8.00    
7  AVA K'S BOY Aug28 Jun19 May31 May10 Apr11 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
8  CENTER MID MADDIE Sep11 Jun19 May29 May10 Apr11 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
9  PERFECT SILENT CAT Aug30 Aug23 Jul11 May22 Apr17 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
10  RACK GIN Sep05 Aug28 Aug17 Aug05 Jul17 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.