Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(3/2/4/1/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/2/4/1/8)-(4/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/2/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/1/8)-(3/2/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/1/8)-(3/2/4/1/8)-(3/2/4/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/1/8)-(4/1)-(5/3) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/3)-(3/4/1/9) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(3/4/1/9)-(3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/9)-(3/4/1/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/9)-(3/4/1/10/9)-(3/4/1/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/9)-(3/5/4)-(5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/1)-(3/10/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/10/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/10/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/1/7)-(3/10/6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTYATITSBEST         (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
SLY WINK Aug05 Jul13 Jun30     (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 1.40    
DELTA WISHES Aug04 Jun21 May17 Jan24   (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00    
PEPPER SWEET Jun08 Jun28 Jun02 May11   (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
BTP-2   08/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REZASROLEX         (morey william)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00 7% 14.30    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SISTER CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
AGENT KOSTA         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 12.00 8% 12.30    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CREATIVE ELEMENT by CREATIVE CAUSE)
POINT AT YOU         (claire alexis)MCKEE J 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SONG OF MY HEART by SONGANDAPRAYER)
PACIFIDERO         (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 15.00 8% 12.30    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of PROUDLY PACIFIC by PROUD CITIZEN)
MANSION PARTY Jul12 Jun23 Jun03 May15   (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MOONLIGHT JOKER Aug11 Aug03 Jul03     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 5.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLAIR DE LUNE by REGAL CLASSIC)
REVENGE TOUR Aug18 Jul29 Jul12 Jun22   (short travis)MARCANO Y 114 3.50    
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MR. BLUTARSKY         (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 7% 14.30    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of DELTA PRIDE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  DOUBLE DRIBBLE         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of DREAMOFJEAN E. by BRING THE HEAT)
SCR  LEVERET         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 10.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of SHEMAZON by CONGRATS)
11  KOLTEN'S PRIDE Aug08 Jul12       (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of FIGHT WITH PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
12  MOON CHARGER Aug08         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 10.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MOON KITTY by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  MEXITEXAFORNIA Aug11 Jul12 Jun08     (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
 
BTP-3   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGENT COOPER Aug17 Aug03 Jun30 May05 Apr19 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
SUPER BROTHER Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jul01 Jun07 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 115 3.50    
ALEXIS N NIKO Aug13 Apr01 Mar19 Mar10 Feb16 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00    
LAKE TAHOE Aug15 Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 May15 (davis joseph )CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
CAPE MARCO DRIVE Aug15 Jul29 May19 May06 Apr27 (lopez carlos )PANAIJO JORGE 120 4.00    
 
BTP-4   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COOL CAROL Jul03 Jan25 Nov10 Sep23 Aug24 (green troy)OUZTS W 124 4.50    
LITTLE LUCERITO Jul31 Jun21 Jun01 Nov28 Nov15 (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 119 6.00    
GENERAL GINNY Aug15 Jul21 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
HIGH MEADOWS Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 Jul05 Jun14 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.00    
JOLIE RULER Aug15 Jul12 Jul05 Apr02 Mar01 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
EIDA'S STORM Aug10 Jul21 Jul08 Jun22 Jun07 (aguirre j)CORREA L 124 8.00    
 
BTP-5   08/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD Tomboy Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING JEWEL Aug02 Jul06 Jun17 Jun02 Apr27 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLAZING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
1A  LADY JASPER Jul17 Jun05 May24 Apr24 Mar21 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 116 4.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
1X  BETTER HALF Jul22 Jun30 Jun07 May11 Apr05 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 116 4.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MINI MOM by PARENTS' REWARD)
CHICA CHULA Aug09 Jul27 Jul09 Feb22 Jan05 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 116 12.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of RAIN FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
BACK TO OHIO Jul11 Oct29 Oct03 Aug13 Jul08 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
SOFT TALK Jul22 Jun02 Apr27 Mar23 Nov15 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SMALL SECRET by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
FACTISIMFLASHY Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 May25 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 6.00    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  LEMON MOUSSE Aug01 Jul22 Jun30 Jun02 May11 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 8.00    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
CHANEL SPIRIT Aug14 Jul22 Mar23 Mar02 Feb20 (cline rob)CORREA L 116 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LATIN TUDOR by YES IT'S TRUE)
CANELA FINA Aug09 Jun30 Jun19 Jun01 May11 (dubie k)PILARES P 116 15.00    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
PRICELESS PICTURE Jul27 Jun30 Jun08 May17 Mar15 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of GOT BLING by LANGFUHR)
10  BUCKEYE BELLE Aug09 Jul05       (drury jr)MCKEE J 116 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LION BELLE by LION HEART)
 
BTP-6   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYED TODAY Jun05         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 5.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
GAPPER Aug15         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE GIRL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SOCIAL HISTORY Aug02         (danner do)CORREA L 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by DANZA out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
HERE'S THE SPIDER         (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 116 4.50 14% 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
HARSHA         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.00 14% 5.90    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of KERFLUFFLE by MR. SILVER)
COUSIN JOE Aug15 Aug02       (bogart robert)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
 
BTP-7   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMIT UP Aug10 Jul12 Jun24 Jun01 Apr27 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
ZIP IT SCOTTY Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 May27 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 120 4.00    
SAY IT AIN'T SO Aug09 Jul21 Jul12 Jun22 Jun15 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50    
BLACKSMITH STRONG Aug09 Jul26 Jun24 Jun03 May22 (green troy)COLON H 120 5.00    
D'MONEY HONEY Aug12 Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 Jun01 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
BTP-8   08/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD Buckeye Native Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCITEMENT Aug10 Jul22 Jun14 Nov30 Oct29 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 113 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
1A  CASUAL ATTIRE Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Jun14 May31 (hamm timo)CORREA L 119 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
1X  HIDDEN ACCESS Jul22 Jun02 May11 Apr12 Dec30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50    
  (by MOBIL out of PRESERVATION HALL by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Jul27 Dec30 Nov30 Nov14 Oct12 (davis scooter)STANLEY O 113 10.00    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of THE LADY WAFFLES by WAVERING MONARCH)
BIG TRUCK Aug05 Jun24 Jun02 May06 Dec28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
  (by BIRDRUN out of SMALL SECRET by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
RED HEAD KID Aug11 Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Dec07 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 118 12.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COMPLIMENT TREE by FLATTER)
BLAZING BURROUGHS Aug09 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 May26 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 120 20.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of POMMETTE by POMEROY)
ROMANTIC COWBOY Jun24 May11 Dec03 Oct31 Sep22 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVER by LOUIS QUATORZE)
BRONZE KETTLE Jul27 Jun14 May10 Apr12 Mar02 (pappada julie)WALKER M 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
DR. ZARNETT Aug03 Jun24 May24 Apr25 Mar23 (meyers sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ENGLATERRA by JOHANNESBURG)
FLAG RAISER Aug12 Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 Apr27 (gorham m)PEREZ E 113 8.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  RELISH THE RIDE Jun24 May31 May06 Dec03 Oct31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 6% 16.60    
  (by MOBIL out of CRYPTOS' BEST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
11  FIRST SONG Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 May31 Nov23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MINI MOSTEST by ATTICUS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.