Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (7/6/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/10/3)-(7/6/10/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/10/3)-(7/6/10/5/3)-(7/6/10/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (8/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/7)-(8/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/7)-(8/3/2/7)-(8/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/12/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/12/4/2)-(7/1/12/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (1/6/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7/8)-(1/6/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7/8)-(1/6/2/7/8)-(1/6/2/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (2/4/7/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/5/11)-(2/4/7/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/5/11)-(2/4/7/5/11)-(2/4/7/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAD'S ON A ROLL Aug04 Jul15 Jun25 Jun16 Jun03 (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 108 10.00    
2  NINTH OF APRIL Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May28 Mar25 (potts wayne)BATISTA A 121 4.00    
3  ANTONOV Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun02 May20 (ryan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRENCHY DEPARTED Jun23 May28 Mar26 Feb15 Jan27 (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 10.00    
5  PLEASANT VALIANT Jul15 Jun17 May28 Apr26 Mar19 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 115 4.50 ★    
6  OKLETSGO Jul29 Jul08 Jun04 Apr21 Feb26 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 18% 4.60    
7  TAP THE CANDY Aug05 Jul08 Jun06 May21 Apr20 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  FIRE KING Aug04 May21 Apr22 Mar19 Feb09 (camejo m)COTTO L 117 10.00    
9  STEEL PIER Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 Jun11 (carango an)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
10  GENERAL COMMAND Jul29 Apr22 Apr12 Mar15 Jan27 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 114 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  MORETHANICANHANDLE Jul09 Jun04 Apr28 Mar18 Feb22 (breen kell)RIVERA R 116 12.00    
SCR  SAILOR'S RETURN Aug05 Jul15 Jul08 Jun10 May28 (gomez pomp)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 3.50    
 
MTH-2   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Aug11 Jul14 May28 May13 Feb22 (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00    
SCR  THROWBACK Jul08 Jun09 Apr07 Jan20   (camejo jos)RIVERA R 112 12.00    
3  ASTONISHING ANABEL Jul28 Jul09 Jun10 Feb10 Jan04 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  WHEELINGNDEALING Jul28 Jun30 Jun18 Feb08 Jan18 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  BELMAR SUMMER Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 May20 Apr22 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 110 3.00 9% 9.60    
6  LONDON LADY Jul28 Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 May28 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 8.00    
 
MTH-3   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SAKAMOTO Jul28 Jun04 Mar15 Feb15 Nov20 (sweezey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
2  FLIRTINI Aug05 Jul07       (schistl r)VARGAS A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAPESTRY COLORS Jul02 Aug20       (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 115 6.00    
4  KINGDOM QUEEN Aug05 Jun18 Jun04 Mar25 Feb24 (schistl rafa)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
5  ON THE PAYROLL Jul09 Dec11 Oct22     (margotta anthony)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00    
6  HIHELLOHOWAREYOU Jul19 May28 Apr28 Mar12 Jan25 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 115 4.00 8% 10.90    
7  FREE TO ROAM Jul02 Jun03 Mar30 Feb15 Jan18 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 108 4.50 ★    
8  INSATIABLE Jul22 Jul02 Jun04 Dec31 Dec04 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50    
SCR  ATHENA'S WISDOM Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 May05 Apr19 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
 
MTH-4   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT A NET Jul23         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of GIFTED GAB by APTITUDE)
2  LILY THE KID Jun09 May20       (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 112 8.00 6% 14.70    
  (by ALI out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
3  ROCKY SEAS Jul21 Jun09 May20 Aug12   (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
4  TWYLA Jul07 Jun09 May20 May03 Feb22 (carang)GONZALEZ JR 124 15.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VINDYS MIGHTY QUIK by VINDICATION)
SCR  CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO Jul31         (gutterson kat)OLVER MADISON 112 15.00    
  (by HEY CHUB out of SENSATIONAL TOY by UNKNOWN)
6  KATE'S CUBAN KISS Jul23 Jun20 May31     (krebs steven)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00    
  (by CUBA out of KATE'S COZY KISS by COZY DELL)
7  CHARLIZE CHUB Jul30 Jul05 Jun19 May29 Apr10 (wyner harold)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEY CHUB out of WINK FOR ME by GIMMEAWINK)
8  CARATS FOREVER Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 Jun24 Jun04 (owens jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 0.60 57% 0.70    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CARATS NOT CARROTS by HIT THE TRAIL)
 
MTH-5   08/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONEGAL DREAMER         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
2  TWO'S A CROWD         (ryan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MAHABODHI TREE by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  ROI SOLEIL         (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 117 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EDEN'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  PERROTTO         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00 ★    
  (by REDESDALE out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
5  INVOLVEDNTERACTION Aug04         (camejo m)COTTO L 117 20.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of PI by FLATTER)
6  BINGO WAS HIS NAME Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03   (delgado h)LUZZI J 117 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SCANDALOUS SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  HORSEPOWER Jul08         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  ZINGALES KING Jun24 May26       (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DISCREET DECEIT by DISCREETLY MINE)
9  AGUILA REAL         (gomez pompe)MARTINEZ ERASMO 117 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PIRATE QUEEN by BARON DE VAUX)
SCR  EL ALACRAN Aug04         (gomez pompeyo)KAY R 117 15.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DOOWOP SHEDOO by SCAT DADDY)
11  RAPTURE BAY         (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 117 6.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SPINDLE by MARI'S BOOK)
12  JOHNNY FROM BOSTON         (falcone robe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50 ★    
  (by SKY MESA out of CAMILLE CLAUDEL by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  ARROW SPEED         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of AVIE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST         (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 5.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
 
MTH-6   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE AMERICA Jul23 Jun30 Jun11 May21 Mar10 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 27% 2.60    
2  COWBOY JIM Jul30 Jul07 Jun18 Oct18 Sep18 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 117 8.00    
3  CANTANKEROUS CAT Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May20 Apr21 (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  THREETHIRTYTHREE Jul22 Jul01 Mar29 Feb25 Jan29 (hernandez jose)LUZZI J 124 5.00    
5  I RUN Jul28 Jun29 May26     (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 5.00    
6  LYFE IS SIMPLE Jul29 Jul08 Jun30 May28 May21 (king b)PARISH R 117 30.00    
7  LOOKIN' SUPER Jul08 Jun11 May20 Apr08 Mar26 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 4.50 19% 4.20    
8  EAST COAST GIRL Jul15 May29 Apr22 Mar05 Jan27 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
MTH-7   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGE DAVIS Jun25 Jun02 Apr13 Feb25 Jan13 (mcgaughey)VARGAS A 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
2  BABY BOOMER Apr01 Jan06 Nov27 Aug26 Jul31 (ward dan)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 8% 11.90    
3  TAP FIRST Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 Jun25 Apr16 (ramirez silvin)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
4  FITTS Jul02 Jun16 May29 Sep18 Sep04 (berrios manuel)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
5  BUMP N RUN May21 May06 Feb08 Jan15   (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 115 15.00    
6  YEAGER Jul14 May14 Apr21 Aug22   (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 25% 2.90    
7  KING MOONRACER Jul04 Jun24 May28 May13 Nov05 (weaver george)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 8% 12.30    
8  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 Apr16 Mar12 (ryan s)LUZZI J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN QUICK Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 May28 Dec09 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  JESTERS HONOR Aug04 Jul02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug13 (dini mike)FERRER C 120 4.00    
11  CHIRINGO Jul23 May13 Apr16 Mar11 Dec11 (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 115 4.00    
SCR  EXTENDO Jul16 Jun17 May20 Jan18 Nov04 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.50    
SCR  HARDSCRABBLE May29 Mar11 Feb12 Jan15 Apr30 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00    
 
MTH-8   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sorority Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILA JUNES Jun16         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of OVER THE ROCKS by OVERANALYZE)
2  D'LIGHTFUL SUMMER Jul29         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HOT SUMMER by MALIBU MOON)
3  CLASSY CHICK Jul29 Jul14       (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SAAR TREATY by SAARLAND)
4  LAGONISI Jul26         (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 117 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CERSEI by MALIBU MOON)
5  KISS FOR LUCK Jul13 May23       (reid e)PENNINGTON F 117 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of VERO AMORE by MINESHAFT)
6  PRINCESS INDY Aug06 Jul15       (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 3.50 13% 6.90    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
7  WINE ON TAP Jul13 Jun18       (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 117 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS LA QUINTA by QUALITY ROAD)
8  CLASSY MISCHIEF Jul30 Jul13       (contessa gar)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
 
MTH-9   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUTH Aug05 Jun23 May29 Apr22 Jul23 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 108 4.00    
2  I LUCKED OUT Aug05 Jun18 Nov22 Sep24   (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  GOING IN STYLE Aug04 Jul15 Jun01 May14 Apr02 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 20.00    
4  LARGER THAN LIFE Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  BRAMBLE BLAZE Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May28 Apr26 (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 110 15.00 10% 9.20    
6  SHOW EM THE LIGHTS Aug06 Jul15 Jun23 May15 Mar22 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 110 30.00    
7  STIRLING'S GOLD Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 Apr05 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 12% 7.10    
8  CHIEF ENGINEER Aug04 Jul09 Jun30 May29 May21 (cash russe)RIVERA R 116 15.00    
9  MOST WANTED MAN Jul09 May20 Apr22 Mar17 Feb08 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50    
SCR  PEJA DU Aug05 Jul07 Jun04 May11 Apr21 (atras rob)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
11  AFY KID Aug05 Jan27 Jan06 Dec03 Nov13 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HUSBAND MATERIAL Jul22 Jun30 May29 Apr15 Feb25 (toner j)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.50    
 
MTH-10   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEA ON THE LAM Jul16 Jun24 Jun02 May21 Apr07 (forde )ROJAS EDUARDO 116 12.00    
2  TANKINATOR Aug12 Jul11 Jun13 May29 Apr26 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Aug12 Jul29 Jun05 May17 Feb22 (ramirez silvino)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00    
4  MR. EXTENSION Aug12 May29 May14 Mar17 Feb20 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  BOX OF CHOCOLATES Aug12 Jul29 Jun25 Jun09 May17 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  LUCKY AS A SEVEN Aug05 Jul19 Jun28 Jun20 May31 (diaz jorge)RIVERA R 116 5.00    
7  MISTER J T Jul29 Jun28 Jun12 May30 Apr26 (gonzalez claud)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.