Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/7/8)-(6/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/8)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8)-(6/4/3)-(5/7/1/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/1/4/3)-(6/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/7/1/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/7/1/3/4)-(4/8/6/5/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/7/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3/4)-(5/7/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3/4)-(5/7/1/3/4)-(5/7/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3/4)-(4/8/6/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3/4)-(4/8/6/5/3)-(7/2/9/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (4/8/6/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/5/3)-(4/8/6/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/5/3)-(4/8/6/5/3)-(4/8/6/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/6/5/3)-(7/2/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/5/3)-(7/2/9/1)-(5/2/3/6/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (7/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/1)-(7/2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/1)-(7/2/9/1)-(7/2/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/9/1)-(5/2/3/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9/1)-(5/2/3/6/9)-(6/3/9/4/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (5/2/3/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6/9)-(5/2/3/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6/9)-(5/2/3/6/9)-(5/2/3/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6/9)-(6/3/9/4/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/3/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/4/8)-(6/3/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/4/8)-(6/3/9/4/8)-(6/3/9/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Jul01         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 12.00 10% 8.80    
2  BUDDY BUDDY Jul15 May27 Apr27 Mar31 Feb24 (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
3  ALLEN CAN DO IT Jul08 Jun22 Apr28 Apr15 Mar31 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
4  HONEYQUIST Jun15 May13 Apr22 Mar31 Dec03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 50% 1.00    
5  ENTRY TIME Jul08 Jun15 Jun02 Apr14 Mar31 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
6  FIBER STRONG Jul08 Jun22 Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 114 10.00    
 
CT-2   08/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Jul13 Jun01 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 (atkins mich)ESQUILIN J 120 30.00    
SCR  SMALL PAW Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 May26 May06 (jackson ang)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DE'S CASTLE Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 Apr27 Apr13 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 1.80 50% 1.00    
4  ROCKING TO HOME Jul13 Jul06 Jun01 May20 Apr14 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.50    
5  ABENDEGO Jul15 Jun03 Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
SCR  TALKING TEDDY Jul13 May13 Mar30 Feb15 Jan26 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 113 5.00    
7  RIVER ROYALE R V F Jun24 May06 Apr13 Feb23 Jan04 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
8  PINNACLE REEF Jul13 May26 May19 Apr27 Feb16 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 106 8.00 10% 9.50    
 
CT-3   08/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNIPER GRACE Jul08 Nov24       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00 ★    
2  PRETTY CASTLE Jul08 Jun01 May25 May04 Apr13 (boykins k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
3  VIESTE Jul27 Jul08 Jun23 Oct13 Sep23 (schiano-dicola )BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  S S FOUR QUEENS Feb16         (lucas antho)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  OWLHOOT Apr07         (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00    
6  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May12 Apr28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 70% 0.40    
7  LADY GANGSTER Jun17 Jun01 May20 Apr29 Apr07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00    
8  UNALTERED Jul22 Jun23 Jun01 May11   (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   08/04/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOPWATCHSONNY Jun01 May11 Apr20 Apr06 Feb25 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
2  SEEMS TO WHISPER Jul07 Jun09 May28 May20 May06 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.00    
3  HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Jun22 Jun01 May11 Nov30 Oct28 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Jun30 Jun10 May27 May20 Apr27 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUEEN CASHMERE Jul08 Feb08 Jan20 Jan06 Dec14 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
6  GRAM'S GAL Apr07 Feb17 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
7  KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Nov03 Sep21 Aug26 Aug13 Aug05 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 112 5.00 26% 2.80    
8  ULTIMATE BREEZE Jul07 Jun15 May06 Apr15 Mar30 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
9  LADY SPARROW Jan20 Nov09 Oct19 Sep22 Sep02 (conn p)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
 
CT-5   08/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFIRE Jul14         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
2  JUGSY May12 Apr20 Mar31     (ceciliano misae)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JAMIE'S SILENT BID by BANKER'S GOLD)
3  GHOST OF ALCINA Jul01 Jun10 May11 Mar31   (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  FAR MORE Jun23 May12 Apr07 Mar01 Jan18 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May19 Apr28 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 9% 10.20    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of SECRET TRACKER by CIMARRON SECRET)
6  XTENDED STREAK Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May19   (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
7  RUMORGOINGAROUND Jul14 Jul01       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 30.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of WISH AHEAD by DEFRERE)
8  JUBASLILBALLERINA Jul14 Jun02 May12 Apr07 Mar09 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  LIME STAR Jul14 Jun23 May11 Apr20   (conn p)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of MIDNIGHT STAR by BOLD BADGETT)
10  HARLAN'S VALENTINE Jul14 Jun02 May11     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of HARLAN'S TREASURE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
CT-6   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICROSCOPE May29 May06 Mar26 Feb26 Feb10 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jul14 Jun03 May12 Apr01 Mar11 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  CANTAKEITANYMORE Jul16 May05 Apr08 Mar01 Feb01 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
4  CHARLIE POTATOES Jul14 Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr01 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
SCR  MUSICAL AMERICA Feb17 Jan22 Jan12 Dec29 Dec16 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAKE WAY Jul14 Jul01 May18 Apr27 Mar17 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 112 15.00    
7  KING THEO Apr21 Mar05 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 (lauro c)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TRICK Feb20 Feb06 Jan18 Nov16 Nov05 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 113 12.00    
9  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Jun24 Apr21 Mar09 Jan20 Dec08 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 10% 8.80    
 
CT-7   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED KING Jul01 Jun02 May20 May13 Apr22 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
2  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Jun23 May12 Mar31 Feb22 Nov11 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Jul15 Jun23 May27 Apr13 Jul18 (magee kie)BOCACHICA J 110 4.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  VAIL OF HONOR May12 Mar11 Feb10 Jan11 Jan15 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
5  C R'S MANDATE Jun23 May12 Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  FIELDSTONE Jul15 May26 Apr23 Mar22 Feb26 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FROG TOWN Jul14 May18 Apr08 Feb20 Jan28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00    
8  CRYPTIC CODE May15 Apr22 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
9  SPUNMAN Jun23 May12 Mar31 Jan27 Jan06 (runco c)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 Nov13 Feb20 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   08/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jul21 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar30 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 116 6.00    
2  BERTRAM FLIGHT Jul21 Jun23 May13 Apr27 Mar30 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
3  LOGSTRADAMUS Jun16 May25 Apr27 Apr06 Feb23 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  MAKIN' GOLD Jul21 Jul06 Jun16 Jun03 May13 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ELEANORS JACK Jun23 Apr14       (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 120 20.00    
6  PERSONABLE Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  NOCASHREFUNDS Feb08 Nov23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
8  ROAD SLEW Sep17 Aug26 Aug11 Jul16 Jul02 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  JUBA BOUND Jul21 Jun16 Jun02 Mar10 Feb24 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 6% 15.00    
10  PAYMENGOLD Jul22 Jul06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 3.00    
SCR  NEVERPOPTHECORK Jul15 Jun03 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
12  LORD OF CORK Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May13 Apr14 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.