Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/5/1)-(7/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(7/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(7/5/4)-(6/1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(6/1/2/5)-(4/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/5)-(4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/5)-(4/3/2)-(7/1/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(7/1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(7/1/3/4)-(1/2/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/4)-(1/2/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/4)-(1/2/4/8)-(4/5/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/8)-(4/5/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD CITADELLE Jun26 Jun07 May29 Sep26 Sep08 (wilson ariane)WALKER M 124 12.00    
2  SONG OF INDY Jun26 Jun07 Oct24 Oct13 Sep26 (rogers mic)AYALA J 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  UP IN ARMS Jun26 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SO MOXIE Jun26 Jun06 May17 Mar22 Feb25 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00    
5  RIVERSIDE WALK (GB) Jun27 Jun06 Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 (hayes w)MORALES PABLO 124 1.40 50% 1.00    
6  DANCE OR STROLL Jun26 Jun07 Oct04 Aug24 Aug08 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 8.00    
 
PID-2   07/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISASTER RECOVERY Jul12 Jun27       (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
2  DOM GERVASIO May25 Apr16 Mar24 Feb01 Dec21 (engler jeff)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  LEFT ON BOYLSTON Oct08 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 Apr15 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00    
4  DIAMONDHARD STONE Jul11 Jun06 Oct17     (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
5  BLUE COSMO Jun26 Jun12 Jun05 May24 Jan14 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 118 4.00 21% 3.90    
6  GEMINI MOON Jul03 Jun14 May23 Jun03 May19 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 3.50    
 
PID-3   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) May29 Apr07 Mar24     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 116 10.00    
SCR  LUNAR ICE Jan22 Jan01 Dec02 Nov13 Oct21 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
3  REVEILLE SONG Jun21 May27 Jan26 Dec07 Oct06 (trombetta mic)ROJAS MARTINA 109 6.00    
4  BRODY'S JESSICA Jul02 Jun13 Apr16 Mar01 Feb14 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
5  FLOAT AWAY Jul05 Jun19 May22 Oct03 Sep15 (bourke john)ALLEN D 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  BLAME IT ON PARIS Jul11 May20 Apr14 Mar02 Aug26 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 116 1.80    
7  TERRAZZO Jun13 Aug01 Jun28 Jun01 Mar12 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
PID-4   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD DELIGHT Jun21 Jul20 May02 Mar21 Jan26 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  RAINAS ROLLIN Jun27 Jun06 May22 Oct13 Sep29 (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
3  WARRIOR'S MISS Jun22 May25 May12 Apr26   (girten t)GALLARDO A 116 8.00    
4  SAILOR'S SALUTE Jun20 May29 May22 Oct10 Sep15 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 10.00    
5  PHANCY PHILLY Jul13 Jun15 May25 May11 Apr20 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MADE TO HUSTLE Jun28 Jun20 Aug11 Jul18 Jul11 (rogers ronald)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 38% 1.60    
7  STRAIGHT MADNESS Jun27 Jun06 May29 May16 Oct10 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00    
 
PID-5   07/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Princess Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE KELLY Jun30 Jun18 Jun02 May18 Apr27 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 118 2.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of KELLY MAC by THUNDER GULCH)
2  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Jul05 Oct26 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALPHA out of LADY CARSON M D by LORD CARSON)
3  MALDIVES MODEL Jun20 Jun02 Oct22 Jul25 Jun30 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
4  TACTICAL PAJAMAS Jul05 Jun19 May22 Apr22 Feb18 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 1.60 54% 0.80    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SALISHAN by BANKER'S GOLD)
5  QUARTERFLASH Jul05 Jun13 May22 Apr20 Mar31 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TEASE by CROWD PLEASER)
6  LOVELY EVER AFTER Jul11 Jun21 May24 Sep19 Sep05 (girten tim)SPIETH S 118 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVELY REWARD by GULCH)
 
PID-6   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH SEA Jun14 May18 Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
2  MILITARY DRILL Jun21 Jun05 May22 May15 Apr08 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
3  NOTACATBUTACARD Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 May24 Oct18 (hoffman mark)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 16% 5.40    
4  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Jun05 Oct20 Sep29 Sep12 Aug22 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 May26 Apr07 (brooks gerald)WALKER M 116 12.00    
6  CHAMPION BY DESIGN Jul11 Jun20 May23 Feb06 Jan03 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00    
7  BLUE SKY'S ABOVE Jul04 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug30 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
8  PRESS SNOOZE Apr23 Mar26 Feb03 Aug31 Jul25 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
 
PID-7   07/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLDS ON HIGH Jul10 Jun14 May19 Apr15 Feb15 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
2  DAWGMENTALITY Jun21 May30 May15 Apr15 Mar15 (potts g)WALKER M 116 2.50 20% 3.90    
3  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Jul10 Jun14 May30 May15 Apr08 (hamm tim)GALLARDO A 116 10.00    
4  ROSE'S PEPINO Jun20 Jun05 May22 Mar06 Feb23 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 116 15.00 5% 17.20    
5  INAPPROPRIATE Jul10 Nov14 Oct12 Sep10 Aug14 (gutterson kat)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
6  AMERICA'S GUEST Jul10 Jul04 Jun14 May24 Apr22 (wismer s)ALLEN D 116 3.50    
7  BUCKTOWN Jul06 May04 Mar17 Feb11 Dec28 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
8  PITTSBURGH Jul10 May06 Mar17 Feb12 Dec03 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPENDOLINI Oct25 Oct07       (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 109 5.00    
2  SHY DA RUNNER Jun16 May26 May05 Mar28 Mar02 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 116 12.00 10% 8.60    
3  TURNS Jul10 Jun21 May30 May17 Apr26 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DEACON DOUGIE Jun24 Aug22 Jul14     (dacosta )GALLARDO A 116 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  UNCLE JOCK Jul10 May30 May15 Apr21 Sep20 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 116 3.00 11% 8.10    
6  PURE SPRING Jun07 May17 Oct20 Sep27 Sep06 (boyer j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
7  WILLIE WANDO Jul10 Jun07 May17 Oct25 Sep27 (pappada michael)BOWEN ROCCO 116 4.00    
8  GOOSE HUNTER Jul10 Jun05 Dec02 Oct18 Oct11 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.